Am eight race card has been assembled for Morphettville this Saturday where it is Morphettville Guineas Day. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (12:46) National Jockeys Trust Handicap (70) 1200m
I reckon David Jolly has a borderline Stakes class animal in 2 Roccabascerana (Bet Now: $1.70). Trialled/jumped out super prior to resuming over 1100m here three weeks ago where the late market push said he was ready and after getting the lead cheaply, it was game over and he bolted in. Harder here, but if he’s head down the Stakes path, he has to be putting this field away.
Really interested to see how 5 Tubby Two Tracks (Bet Now: $4.00) goes for Chris Bieg. This filly does hold a nomination for the Caulfield Guineas so the stable must have an opinion of her and the evidence to date suggests she goes well. Debuted on the Parks track on June 8 and bolted up, albeit the depth was thin, but she put them away impressively and her recent jumpout was quite good.
The McEvoy had a couple nominated for this race but go with the sole rep in 1 Vinco (Bet Now: $5.50), a quality three year old resuming. Was a bit unlucky two back in the Fernhill before racing like a tired horse in a brutally run Champagne behind Castelvecchio, the highest rating 2YO race of last season. Loved the way he went in a recent Flemington and looks set for a good prep.
Race 2. (13:21) Seymour Bloodstock Handicap (80) 2600m
Think this is good placement from the Gelagotis boys when it comes to 4 Serenade The Stars (Bet Now: $2.90). He did a power of work over 2500m at the Valley last time to eventually get on speed and tried hard but was no match late for an in form Dabiyr. Massive drop in depth for this and if that last run hasn’t busted him, he should take some beating against this lot.
1 Bling Dynasty (Bet Now: $5.00) had been racing well for Paul Preusker without winning but his long run of outs came to an end when winning here two weeks ago, though he did his best to throw it away by wanting to drift out under pressure. Harder here and creeping up in the weights, but he does no work from the gate and now he’s won a race, he can go on with it.
3 Exalted Craftsman (Bet Now: $7.50) is a Grant Young trained stayer who is racing really well at the moment and seems to be enjoying hard racing. He ran over 2100m at Gawler last Wednesday where he tried hard and gave his all but was no match late for Spiegel Grove. Gets really good weight relief this time around and 2500m+ does seem to be where he runs best.
Race 3. (13:56) Roadside Services And Solutions Handicap (80) 2000m
5 Arty Lucas (Bet Now: $1.65) should be putting this field away. Had been struggling for a bit for Paul Preusker but he’s put it together at his past two, winning at Murray Bridge (Metro) before racing at this track/distance three weeks ago and pretty much winning like it was a barrier trial. This race doesn’t appear much harder and he isn’t badly treated at the weights. Looks the winner.
2 Aagas (Bet Now: $6.00) is an absolute beauty for Ryan Balfour who more often than not runs well at this level. His consistency was rewarded two weeks ago over 1950m on the Parks track, sitting near the speed before being asked for an effort on the turn by German and he found plenty under pressure to win. Like the way he’s going and should run another honest race.
You’d love to have a stable of horses that try as hard as 3 Flow Meter (Bet Now: $12.00) does. He rises back up to 2000m after racing over 1950m on the Parks track two weeks ago where he was chasing Aagas from a fair way out and tried really hard but that horse just packed too many punches near the line and was too good. He’s very honest and will run another solid race.
Race 4. (14:31) Happy 70th Barry Cole Handicap (75) 1500m
4 Flop (Bet Now: $5.00) looks one of the better bets on the card. On the seven day back up for Gordon Richards after racing over 1250m on the Parks track last Saturday where she got back in the run and was never really a winning threat but really liked the way she found the line late to run second to Magna Bella. Has won and placed in two of three runs when on the quick back up, so that box is ticked and she seems to have returned in excellent order.
3 Diapason (Bet Now: $2.60) is on the seven day back up after racing over 1400m on the Parks track last Saturday where I thought Pannell gave the mare a peach of ride and IMO, every chance to win, but was just no match late for the turn of foot produced by Dexter You Devil. Was accepted for the Balaklava Cup but stable elects to tackle this instead, where she’s a leading chance.
The late market flucs said 1 Blue Morpho (Bet Now: $3.60) would need the run when resuming over 1250m on the Parks track two weeks ago and while she didn’t win, she closed off really well late in the piece in an eye catching resumption. If she can take advantage of the gate and sit closer in the run, she’ll take some beating here against her own sex, with upside.
Race 5. (15:11) Morphettville Guineas 1600m
This race is always tricky. Going to butter up with 5 Bonvicini (Bet Now: $4.40). Loved the way she attacked the line to win start one at Ballarat on the Synthetic before going to Sandown last Wednesday where she was wide throughout and was a beaten horse 200m out but didn’t throw in the towel and was good in defeat. Does no work from the gate and 1600m should be ideal.
Up in trip should suit 4 Marndarra (Bet Now: $4.40). She had a little freshen up prior to attempting to lead all the way over 1400m on the Parks track two weeks ago and was just left flat footed when the sprint went on but was sound in defeat. Think 1600m will suit her much better, as will a more conservative steer I think. IMO, she’ll be better with a bunny to chase.
Giving respect to 7 Raptures (Bet Now: $5.50) for the Hayes/Dabernig team. Was solid on debut at Ballarat on the Synthetic in what has turned out to be an excellent form reference (five subsequent winners). Freshened up and ran at Geelong where she got back to near last in the run but loved the way she found the line late to run second. Should eat up the mile and prove hard to beat.
Race 6. (15:51) National Jockeys Trust Final (70) 1200m
Looks a race in two. Going the way of 5 Blinder (Bet Now: $4.00), who resumes for the Busuttin/Young stable. This gut hasn’t raced since getting a mile out of his ground at Caulfield and finding the line well without really threatening. Jumpout was sharp and loved the way he found the line under light riding in a Cranbourne trial last week. Hopefully sits off a good speed and has last look.
3 Aiguilette (Bet Now: $2.50) is a John Macmillan trained four year old who was a notable drifter in betting late when resuming over this track/distance three weeks ago but nobody told the horse that as he sat near the speed before being clicked up and gee he showed a good turn of foot to win impressively. More depth here, so will need to improve, but second up, he should.
7 Danger Deal… (Bet Now: $4.80) you couldn’t back him to win with stolen money. He’s only won the two of 28 and continually goes around hard in the market. He runs well, and will do the same here, but gee how could you back him to win? He comes through the Aguilette race from a few weeksback when on speed and for mine, he had every chance when second. He runs well…just can’t back him to win.
Race 7. (16:31) National Jockeys Trust Handicap (66) 1600m
In the corner of 8 Sir Johnson (Bet Now: $5.50), just. Stubby gave him a 12/10 steer at Murray Bridge last time and was there to pounce on Dr Dependable, who did the work in the run, but kicked strongly and Sir Johnson couldn’t quite get there. Was stepping up in trip that afternoon so now he has the mile run under the belt, he should be better off and is one of the hardest to beat.
Taking short odds about a Hayes/Dabernig runner is always fraught with danger, but 5 Rock The Drum (Bet Now: $2.25) does look a decent enough prospect for the stable who was very impressive in breaking the maiden tag last time out at Sandown, though I’m not sure the depth was strong, which is what can be said about this race. Has upside, hard to beat, but I couldn’t touch him at $2.50/thereabouts.
1 Franked (Bet Now: $20.00) may want further for Michael Hickmott but for multiples, I’d be including him. He was really well backed when resuming over the mile at Murray Bridge but just got too far back in the run and was never really in the hunt behind Dr Dependable, going totally against market expectation. He’s better over further, but that market support fresh can’t be ignored, so giving him another chance.
Race 8. (17:11) Hylands Racecolours Handicap (70) 1050m
Really keen to see how 10 Array Of Sunshine (Bet Now: $8.50) resumes. This mare is first up, having not raced since May 11 here when midfield in the Adelaide Guineas but far from disgraced in what was a solid race. Loved the way she trialled at Murray Bridge and if she’s forward enough, she’s got the ability to beat these, but market will tell you if she’s ready or not.
3 Quiddick (Bet Now: $3.00) has been really well supported in early betting and at her best, she does look the winner. Hasn’t raced since the Oakbank Carnival when contesting the Oakbank Stakes when down the track behind Despatch, who of course franked that form by winning the Goodwood. Loved the way she went in a recent trial and draws to get good cover and launch.
7 Two Odd Sox (Bet Now: $6.50) is three weeks between runs since resuming over 1100m here where he got a fair way back off the speed but finished off his race with real purpose to run a narrow second to Tiara Star in a tight finish. More often than not runs well but usually finds one or two better on the day. But, that resumption was too good to ignore and is a knockout chance.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Three Number 5 Arty Lucas
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 4 Flop
LONG SHOT: Race Eight Number 10 Array Of Sunshine
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 4, 5, 7
Leg Two: 3, 5
Leg Three: 1, 3, 5, 8
Leg Four: 3, 4, 7, 8, 10
$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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