The Melbourne Spring Carnival continues at Sandown on Saturday where it is Zipping Classic Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Zipping Classic 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Zipping Classic
Sandown Guineas 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Sandown Guineas
Race 1. (12:15) Merson Cooper Stakes 1000m
James Harron splashed out $750,000 for 5 Forbes (Bet Now: $2.60 TOP ODDS) at the Magic Millions Sales and he said it was a standout in terms of his physicality so you’d assume that this guy will be heading to the Gold Coast should his form warrant it. I think the form will start with a debut win. Couple of sharp jumpouts to get ready and he looks very much a professional.
A key threat here is 3 Anamoe (Bet Now: $4.60 TOP ODDS) for James Cummings. He debuted in the Debutant at Caulfield where not much went his way but I loved the way he closed off late in the piece behind a smart one in Fake Love. Stable love to target these feature 2YO races and this guy looks to be above average, so keen to see how he goes.
13 Super Aurora (Bet Now: $67.00 TOP ODDS) has gate one and to have that as a guide for an early juvenile on debut is such a big help. This girl has had a couple of jumpouts to get ready, the latest coming last week at Bendigo when on speed and beaten late, but looked to go about her business nicely. Not sure I could back her to win, but one for multiples.
Race 2. (12:45) Twilight Glow Stakes 1400m
3 Star Of Uma (Bet Now: $7.00 TOP ODDS) looks very progressive for the McEvoy camp and I think she can measure up here at Stakes level. Both starts/wins this prep have come over 1200m at Morphettville. Bolted up to win the maiden fresh, then proved that was no fluke two weeks ago, running around five lengths faster time than what she produced first up. She’s a beauty, lands on speed and will take some running down.
Think back up in trip is a big tick for 2 Highly Discreet (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS). Worked home okay two back on Cox Plate Day behind La Mexicana before racing down the straight on Oaks Day, coming 100m back in trip, and I loved the way she closed off when a close up fifth to Written Beauty. Up to 1400m I do like and she does bring strong form lines.
Sitting off a genuine tempo will help the cause of 4 Hindaam (Bet Now: $5.00 TOP ODDS). Ridden somewhat upside down in the Jim Moloney behind subsequent Thousand Guineas winner Odeum. Then raced at Bendig when ridden cold, back near last, and really savaging the line late to get up and win. She’ll sit off a good speed here and be strong late.
Race 3. (13:20) Kevin Heffernan Stakes 1300m
Potentially could be a good clip here with Streets Of Avalon and Kemalpasa going along in front, and I think that will give 7 Wild Vixen (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) the perfect drag up. Produced a big finale to win first up in the Black Pearl at Geelong before racing on Cup Day over 1400m when doing plenty of work in the run yet still hit the front and looked home, only to be bloused late by Rich Hips. Gets the drop on the front pair, hard fit now and in ripping form.
3 Order Of Command (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) has the class to carry him a long way here despite being poor in this race last year. He follows a similar path to 12 months ago, contesting the Linlithglow on Derby Day and finished off strongly. Just no match for Kemalpasa. I think with an economical run, he’ll get 1300m, and he has the right form.
5 Blazejowski (Bet Now: $4.00 TOP ODDS) deserves another chance. There were some experts that were really keen on his chances first up on Derby Day down the straight but the late market push was against him, anticipating a slow tempo, and it was proven right. He was sound, but race shape was against. Much better suited here and can win without surprising.
Race 4. (13:55) Doveton Stakes 1000m
Fresh legs and back to 1000m looks a perfect set up for the John McArdle trained mare 3 Humma Humma (Bet Now: $5.00 TOP ODDS). Hasn’t raced for four weeks since attempting to defend her crown in the Alinghi but the tempo wasn’t in her corner when fourth to California Zimbol. Track was wet that day too and she’s a mare who saves her best for dry ground. Set up well here I think.
1 Coruscate (Bet Now: $8.50 TOP ODDS) deserves another chance. James Cummings trained gelding that was 2/2 to start the prep prior to racing down the straight on Derby Day where I was keen on his chances and on face value, he was plain, but considering those in front went close to 37 seconds the first 600m, those behind with big weight ie Coruscate, had no chance. Should get a good tempo in front and off his two runs and wins prior, he deserves another chance.
The best version of 7 Shamino (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS) is certainly capable. This bloke was good from the back two starts ago behind Graff at Caulfield before racing down the straight on Cup and given the winner Exhilarates ran around 33 for the last 600m, Shamino had no chance where he was. Better suited here and can bounce back.
Race 5. (14:30) Sandown Stakes 1500m
1 Buffalo River… (Bet Now: $3.20) is there any petrol left in the tank? He went a crazy tempo in the Cantala two weeks ago. Had to drop out given the brutal speed he set and that he did, beating one one runner home. Has he got anything left? Market will be your friend, but we have seen recently that seemingly gut busting runs haven’t had the drop off effect ie Arcadia Queen.
6 Kenya (Bet Now: $2.45) rises significantly in grade/depth, but it was an arrogant first up win at Mornington. Yes, he beat nothing, but he gave them their chance to run him down. Went sub 60 seconds for the first 1000m, but he just kept going and was much too good. Likely sits outside Buffalo River and that pair could dominate proceedings. He is the one with fresh legs.
1400m-1500m is the sweet spot for 2 Iconoclasm (Bet Now: $9.50). Seven of his 11 career wins have come at that distance range, including last time out when winning his third straight VOBIS Gold Star on Manikato Night. Gets dry ground, a good tempo, hard fit and now has that winning feeling. Think he’s hard to beat.
Race 6. (15:05) Sandown Guineas 1600m
8 Sweet Reply (Bet Now: $2.10) was one of a number of nightmare viewings from Cup Day at Flemington. Olly couldn’t get a clear path at the right time and by the time she got clear, it was race over, so a total forgive. She’s bursting to win a race this time in and I think with clear air at the right time, she can take this out.
1 Aysar (Bet Now: $1.70) has the runs on the board and the stable is flying. Beat all bar Ole Kirk in the Caulfield Guineas, which meant he was considered a good thing by most in the Carbine Club. Stablemate Crosshaven got a picnic in front, but still thought Aysar was entitled to go past him, but he didn’t attack the line at all. He has the class…could I back him at a short quote to run out a strong mile? I’m saying no. But hard to beat all the same.
He’s still a maiden but I think 4 Allibor (Bet Now: $5.00) can measure up to these. He’s the one that is progressive and on the up. He was chance of figuring last Saturday at Flemington due to the slow tempo, but loved his last 150m, screaming out of a horse wanting more ground. As a whole, this is a weak Sandown Guineas, so think he can win this.
Race 7. (15:45) Sandown Cup 3200m
He’s got an awful strike rate, but I’m convinced that 4 Carif (Bet Now: $4.40) is going well and gee he finds a winnable race. He was unlucky in the Hotham. Got badly held up when seemingly bolting for a run and was only beaten just over a length. He screams out of a horse who will love two miles and this race is lacking depth.
5 Sin To Win (Bet Now: $3.90) won the Andrew Ramsden two years ago over 3200m so the trip will be no issue with him. He comes here in winning form after a strong win over 2800m on Cup Day, and he really drew clear late, so he looks spot on for this race, and the stable are batting at around 25% over the past couple of weeks in town.
Not sure 9 Realm Of Flowers (Bet Now: $17.00) wins but I could include her in multiples. She comes through the Bendigo Cup where she got back in the run nearer the inside and did make up ground late in a solid enough effort behind Princess Jenni. Never know if they run a trip until you try, so keen to see how he goes here.
Race 8. (16:25) Zipping Classic 2400m
Provided we get 8 runners, I’m more than happy to speck 9 Scarlet Dream (Bet Now: $26.00) at a big price. On paper, this race has no leader so I anticipate this will be an absolute crawl and it could come down to a turn of foot. This mare saves her best for races where the tempo is soft and she can use a turn of foot, which was the case last Saturday in the Queen Elizabeth when an eye catching fourth to True Self. Going well I reckon and she’s worth a small each way ticket.
3 Brimham Rocks (Bet Now: $7.50) is racing so well at the moment for the Chris Waller stable and I think can run a positive race here. Comes through the Hotham where he tried to get into the Melbourne Cup and got very close, getting pipped late by Ashrun in a good effort. Not sure WFA is his go, but as a whole, this race is weak.
7 Attorney (Bet Now: $13.00) is going well for the Matty Smith team. Finished best to win the Colin Stephen two back before going to the St Leger where he was game in defeat behind Fun Fact in an on pace dominated affair. Has always promise to reach this sort of level, and now he’s here, so keen to see how he goes.
Race 9. (17:05) Eclipse Stakes 1800m
The class of the race is clearly 1 Homesman (Bet Now: $4.20), and I’d love to see them ride him with a sit. They led on him to win the Crystal Mile and aided by the track pattern, he was too good for them. Then raced on Cup Day, led again, but didn’t fire in the straight behind Purple Sector. Think with a sit off a good speed, he has the class to bounce back.
4 All Too Huiying (Bet Now: $6.50) is racing so well at the moment for the Phillip Stokes. He has won his past two, the latest seeing him romp up on a heavy track in winning the Sale Cup, his second straight Country Cup. Think he lands near the front here and is a track/distance winner from last year. Hard to beat.
10 West Wind (Bet Now: $6.00) is facing her toughest assignment to date, but the Maher/Eustace camp has her absolutely flying at the moment. Made it three on end when leading throughout to win over the 2040m at Moonee Valley on Manikato Night. Already a couple of winners have come from that race, including Matriarch winner Affair To Remember. Think she’ll take some beating here.
Race 10. (17:40) Summoned Stakes 1500m
#SF here for me via 7 Tricky Gal (Bet Now: $4.80). On the seven day back up for Matty Smith after racing in the Hot Danish last Saturday at Rosehill. I loved the way she found the line from off the speed, running second to a quality mare in Savatiano. The rise to 1500m is ideal, she can sit near the speed and a firmer deck is no issue.
4 Missile Mantra (Bet Now: $3.90) is bursting to win a race for the Snowden camp and I think she gets a golden opportunity here. She comes through the Empire Rose where she worked home very strongly from the back out wide when a close up sixth to Shout The Bar, who ran fourth in the Mackinnon, so the form has held up pretty well. Long time out of the winners circle but she gets her chance here to change that.
13 Mrs Beckham (Bet Now: $10.00) rises significantly in grade/depth, but I reckon she’s going very well. Got a peach steer from Lane on Bendigo Cup Day. Still had to take advantage of the run and she did, exploding clear late for a dominant win, and the form out of it has been pretty solid. Has run well at Stakes level previously and is now in good enough form to have another crack.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Five Number 1 Buffalo River
NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 8 Sweet Reply
LONG SHOT: Race Eight Number 9 Scarlet Dream
Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):
Leg One: 4, 5, 6, 9
Leg Two: 3, 4, 5, 7, 9
Leg Three: 1, 4, 10, 12
Leg Four: 1, 4, 7, 13, 15
$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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