A strong card of racing has been assembled for Flemington on Saturday, and while there are no feature races, the depth looks very strong once again, which should ensure some value for the punters. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
[crownbetoffer]
Race One (12:25) : First Response Pharmacy Trophy (70) 1000m:
Back Me: Keen to see Peritus (Best Odds: $3.80) here. She debuted just under a month back at Bairnsdale and showed a lovely turn of foot when presented to score quite an effortless win. Form out of that has been pretty good and Peter Moody is a genius at picking which horses are capable of going from country to city from start one to start two.
Big Danger: Lahqa (Best Odds: $4.80) resumes here for the Hayes/Dabernig yard who hasn’t raced since August when proving too good on the Geelong Synthetic. Recent jump outs have been quite encouraging and she was brilliant in winning first up last time in at Morphettville.
Roughie: Down The Hatch (Best Odds: $7.00) resumed under the Moonee Valley lights a tick over three weeks back and finished her race off quite powerfully from the back when running third to Petite’s Reward. The trial prior was very sharp, and the first up effort was the endorsement she has come back in super order.
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Peritus to win!
Race Two (13:00) : Lola And Trish’s Handicap (78) 1400m:
Back Me: Mihany (Best Odds: $8.50) didn’t quite handle the 60kg impost last start when attempting to lead all the way at Bendigo and had to settle for a close up fourth to in form galloper Not A Happy Camper. Gets some weight relief here, and the last time he was at Flemington was at this distance where he was smashed in betting and ran a close up second. Should appreciate the rise to 1400m and appears to be one of the main threats.
Big Danger: A Lotta Love (Best Odds: $3.00) may have been aided by the track bias when winning on Ballarat Cup Day, but the win nonetheless was quite impressive. Senior rider goes on, draws well and should take some beating.
Roughie: Allergic (Best Odds: $21.00) resumes here for Godolphin after placing in the SA Derby behind Delicacy and Werther, both of which have since placed at Group l level subsequent to that day. Trials and jump outs have been encouraging and though his best form will be over further, his class alone puts him into contention IMO.
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Mihany to win!
Race Three (13:35) : Lanec Handicap (78) 1200m:
Back Me: Badajoz (Best Odds: $3.70) makes the trip south after resuming at Canterbury a couple of weeks back where he tried hard but just peaked on the run late when second to Triple Snitz. Second up last time in he ran fourth to Group l performers Black Vanquish and Payroll. Hard to hold out.
Big Danger: Antelucan (Best Odds: $4.00) stuck to the task quite gamely last start in the Twilight Glow (1400m) at William Hill Park when third to Indarra, who potentially looks a Group l horse in the Autumn. Significant drop in grade and looks to map quite nicely from the gate.
Roughie: Niccoco (Best Odds: $6.00) was dominant when winning first up at Morphettville before going to the Valley where he didn’t appear to handle the tight turns, but picked up nicely when third to Rillito. Bigger track is a big tick, and though drawn wide, he should be right in the finish.
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Badajoz to win!
Race Four (14:10) : Building Engineering Trophy 1400m:
Back Me: I’m going to take a chance on Honorius (Best Odds: $6.50). Formerly with David Payne but is now with Darren Weir and he looks ready to run a bottler fresh after a trial win at Colac last Tuesday, and while the time was nothing flash, the way in which he went about it was quite impressive. We know the record Weir has with these tried runners, so I’d watch market moves very closely.
Big Danger: Burning Front (Best Odds: $3.20) is an absolute ripper who is a stablemate of the top tip. He ran in the Gold Bullion (1400m) on Pakenham Cup Day and was just too tough, as he is on most occasions when he steps out. He looks beautifully placed here with the 54kg and on a track he has performed on, so he should take a power of beating.
Roughie: Siegestor (Best Odds: $17.00) also ran on Pakenham Cup Day but he ran over 1200m. He got a fair way back in the run but I loved the way he finished it off behind Duke Of Brunswick, who I am keen on at this meeting. He worked home well second up last time in behind King’s Dance and he will lap up the rise to 1400m on his home track.
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Honorius to win!
Race Five (14:45) : Western Health Cup 2000m:
Back Me: I bet with confidence whenever Chris Waller backs horses up seven days or sooner, so with that being the case, I’ll go with Black Jag (Best Odds: $4.80). He was very good over the William Hill Park mile last Saturday when running a close up second to Electric Fusion. He will love the step up to 2000m, runs well at Flemington and this race is pretty thin.
Big Danger: Second Bullet (Best Odds: $3.60) comes through the Pakenham Cup (2000m) where he sat on speed and toughed it out very strongly to run a close up second to Our Voodoo Prince. He is a winner on his home track and he probably has a touch more upside left in him at the moment, plus I think he will be better ridden with cover.
Roughie: Good Value (Best Odds: $7.00) comes through the Kilmore Cup (1600m) where he maintained his position most of the way behind Rhythm To Spare, beaten just over two lengths. Little query on him running 2000m, but he has a super record at Flemington and this race doesn’t carry much depth.
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Black Jag to win!
Race Six (15:25) : Pienary Group Handicap (70) 2000m:
Back Me: Not a race that fills me with confidence. Tucano (Best Odds: $8.00) is a former French galloper who has had two runs on Australian soil for Ciaron Maher, the latest coming over the Bendigo mile when a closing fifth to Turbo Street, who ran well on the weekend at William Hill Park. 2000m and the bigger track should suit Tucano perfectly, and he has a stack of upside.
Big Danger: Really intrigued to see Flying Light (Best Odds: $4.20) here. He is a three year old taking on the older horses at his first crack beyond 1600m. If you backed him last start at the Valley, it was hard to watch and he really should have bolted in with normal luck.
Roughie: Hipster Girl (Best Odds: $11.00) broke through for a well deserved maiden win first up, then was ordinary behind Yellen over 1700m here on Oaks Day before going to Sale and getting very close to Crimson Cape. Yellen bolted up at the Valley a couple of weeks back, so the form around her is pretty good, and the rise to 2000m is perfect for this mare.
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Tucano to win!
Race Seven (16:05) : AVHPA- Vic Trophy (84) 1600m:
Back Me: Looks the perfect race for Tashbeeh (Best Odds: $2.50). He was outstanding last start in the Group lll Sandown Stakes (1500m) when running second to Group l performer Charmed Harmony, beaten narrowly. Start prior he was strong against the bias over 1400m here behind Malaguerra in one of the hottest form races of the Spring. Normal luck and he wins.
Big Danger: Belorum (Best Odds: $5.00) ran over this distance at Moonee Valley a couple of weeks back where he worked home well late to run third to Golden Mane, beaten 1.7L. He has been up for a long time, but continues to race well, like most Darren Weir runners, and I think the bigger track could improve him a touch to be quite competitive here.
Roughie: Clemo (Best Odds: $5.00) resumed in the Subzero Final (1400m) on Oaks Day and was just plain behind Slate On Edge, then was much better on Ballarat Cup Day when a closing second to Show A Star. That horse failed next start, whereas Leica Day, the third placegetter, won at Warrnambool. Third up now, so he should be nearing peak fitness, and prior to Oaks Day, the last time he was at Flemington he took ground off Bagman, who went on to place behind The Cleaner in the Dato Tan Chin Nam.
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Tashbeeh to win!
Race Eight (16:45) : Western Health Foundation Handicap 1200m:
Back Me: Sarajevo (Best Odds: $6.00) was pretty ordinary first up at Caulfield behind Fast ‘N’ Rocking, but was much better on Cup Day down the straight when closing off well to run fourth to Sea Lord. Third up, so he should be at peak fitness, and there is upside with him compared to most engaged here.
Big Danger: Boomwaa (Best Odds: $18.00) could easily bounce back here. Forget he went around first up at Moonee Valley given he sat on speed there and it was a meeting where leaders, especially near the inside, were finding it near impossible to find the line. He has a good record at the track and the last time he was at this track/distance came second up last time in where he ran a narrow second to Mr Utopia, who has been very good since. Definite threat.
Roughie: Pago Rock (Best Odds: $34.00) is a greybeard who is on the quick back up from last Saturday when finishing midfield behind Wild Rain in the Doveton (1000m). Up to 1200m suits, loves racing at Flemington and he meets Sarajevo 1kg better from when they raced behind Sea Lord.
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Sarajevo to win!
Race Nine (17:25) : Metricon Trophy (90) 1700m:
Back Me: Yellen (Best Odds: $2.50) looks one of the better bets on the program. This Chris Waller trained mare has won all three runs this time in, the latest coming over the mile at Moonee Valley where she showed an electric turn of foot to spank her rivals. Start prior she was wide no cover at this track/distance on Oaks Day yet surged and won. If she holds her form, she’ll take a power of beating.
Big Danger: On face value, Sea Spray (Best Odds: $10.00) was disappointing last start at the Valley, but I think you have to forgive her given she was back and near the inside, which wasn’t the spot to be. Returns to Flemington and two of her runs here have come at Stakes level where she was close up behind Wawail and Hijack Hussy.
Roughie: Mamwaazel (Best Odds: $15.00) has been pretty good in two runs since joining the Mick Price yard. i thought there was good merit in her effort on Ballarat Cup Day when wide no cover most of the way when running sixth to Durendal, beaten six lengths. She hasn’t won for a long time, but third up at 1700m on a big track should see her run a nice race.
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Yellen to win!
BEST BET: Race Nine Number 10 Yellen
NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 1 Tashbeeh
VALUE: Race One Number 2 Down The Hatch
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 2, 9, 12, 14, 15
Leg Two: 1
Leg Three: 1, 8, 9, 10, 11
Leg Four: 10
$50 Investment= 200% of the dividend if successful.
We recommend BET365 for all Quadrella punters. Sign-up at Bet365 today for a $200 BONUS
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
| Bookmaker | Why Bet | Sign Up | Full Review |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Back Yourself with Ladbrokes! | Join | Review |
|
Back a Winner with Neds! | Join | Review |
|
Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes! | Join | Review |
|
Sign up to swiftbet and start betting in minutes! | Join | Review |
|
Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes! | Join | Review |
