10/12/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Randwick, Ingham Stakes day

A bumper ten race card has been set down for Randwick on Saturday, headlined by The Ingham (1600m), with the winner getting ballot exemption for the Doncaster. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Ingham Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Ingham Stakes

12 London Gal (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a proven Highway performer and happy to be in her corner in what looks a competitive race. She resumes for Scott Collings, having not raced since June 14 when struggling on the wet ground at Wagga. Loved the way she closed in a trial at Goulburn last month, she loves firm ground and does save her best for 1000m.

15 I’m Not Slew (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and give a sight. She did that when resuming in the Highway at Rosehill a fortnight back and was hailed as the winner for a few strides but had to settle for a narrow second to Sussu. Trialled enormous prior to that return, so she commands respect.

14 Little Prophet (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has the runs on the board to give this a shake. Colt Prosser trains this gelding, who hasn’t raced since the Country Championships Final when outclassed on paper behind Another One. Thought he moved well in a Coffs Harbour trial last week and will be strong late.

4 King Ratel (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the early Christmas present. He’s the good thing on the program IMO. I just don’t know why Bryce Heys perists placing his good horses in races out of their grade. King Ratel is example 1A. Ran a ripper fresh in an 88 on Cup Day behind Tamerlane and he was similar against the race shape behind Nugget. Back to Midway grade…surely he beats this lot.

1 Excelladus (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks really well placed in a race like this. Son of So You Think that was far from disgraced two back in the Four Pillars before going to the Midway at Kembla a few weeks ago when launching late, just missing out on the win when a narrow second to Astero. Like him up to 1600m and this is a winnable race.

11 Mars (Bet Now:  $SP.00) jumps straight to the mile for Les Bridge but the return was very encouraging. Has been kept on ice since Cup Day at Kembla where he resumed over 1200m and was very good late in the piece from the back behind Airman. Interesting set up, but he has the talent to run well.

3 Sacrimony (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to rate as one of the hardest to beat. Blinkers went on for the return three weeks ago at Kembla and I thought he worked to the line with real purpose late in the piece when second to a pretty sharp sprinter at around this level, Quick Tempo. Fitter, up to 1100m, happy to side with him.

14 Operative (Bet Now:  $SP.00), I think, is putting it together. 2/2 this time in, but I will say both wins have seen him well and truly blessed in run. Won the maiden fresh at Newcastle before an impressive winner at the Rosehill midweeks under J Mac. There is more depth to this line up but hard to knock a horse that has won two on the bounce.

9 Anagain (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a very interesting runner. Formerly with Garry Frazer, this mare now finds herself with Joe Pride and we know how good he is at improving a tried horse. Couple of trials to get ready, the latest over 1000m, so the grounding is there to run well fresh. I’d watch the market.

2 Warning (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is severalweeks between runs for Team Freedman since racing in the Queens Cup at Flemington when attempting to lead throughout and he gave a pretty solid kick but was no match for them late, finishing fifth to Soulcombe. Just going this horse but he’s dangerous when right and this race is thin.

10 Rondino (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been up forever but gee he’s holding his form well, and is probably getting better. I think you can easily make a case to say he should have won the ATC Cup two weeks ago. Just had no luck at all in the straight when seemingly having plenty in hand and it was more or less a barrier trial late. 2400m is fine and with clear air, he’ll take beating.

9 Criminal Code (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is yet to win beyond 1600m but he has run well at this trip previously and I think is looking for it. Thought he was okay two back behind Nugget at Kembla before backing up a week later in the ATC Cup where he got back to last and just couldn’t fire when down the track. Like him up to 2400m and his best is good enough to be dangerous.

8 Facile (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one of these juveniles and is at the price where she could be an alarming drifter, run like a squib and finish nowhere, or be smashed in betting, find the front and trot up. Leaning towards the latter because the first trial, when Avdulla squeezed her in the straight, the response was instant and she put a gap on them. I think she’ll be winning.

3 Disneck (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has the hard race fitness and experience under the belt to give this a shake. He was far from disgraced on debut in the Golden Gift before going to Rosehill again where he gave them a start and a beating from last on the turn for a dominant win. He has the race day experience, which should hold him in good stead.

11 Mercury Rose (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can be a big improver here for Gary Portelli. She debuted at the midweeks at Warwick Farm where she found a wet track and struggled in the conditions. Tick over trial was pretty good to the eye, she maps to get a lovely run in transit and can fill a first four spot.

4 Authentic Jewel (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will be near the speed and giving her all. Just needed the run fresh behind Mars Mission before a much better effort two weeks back where she kicked hard under Avdulla and I think should have won but she wanted to lay in under pressure and threw the race away, getting nabbed late. Hard fit, she’s a definite winning chance.

1 Brookspire (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a quality mare for Chris Waller that resumes. She hasn’t raced since the Autumn where she had a two run blacktype prep and failed to fire each time, being spelled soon afterr. She is a mare who can sprint well fresh and her two trials to get ready have been sharp, so watch the market.

8 Per Inaway (Bet Now:  $SP.00) would love this track to have give in it but I think she has returned pretty well. Resumed in the Dehorned Unicorn race mentioned above that Authentic Jewel contested and the sit/Sprint set up wasn’t to her liking. Maps to settle much closer and should be better suited on the bigger track.

I think you have to be with 10 Brigantine (Bet Now:  $SP.00). He has been kept on ice since the Silver Eagle where he ran a strong third to a high quality stablemate in Vilana. Sprinting looks his go in life, the tick over trial was sharp, he will like dry ground, good speed, strong late…all points to him.

4 Waihaha Falls (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has good upside to come and finds a very winnable race here. Should have gone close to winning the Sydney Stakes first up on Everest Day before going to Newcastle where the market said he was unders and was just a bit one paced in the straight but stuck on well enough. Hard fit now, this is D-Day.

12 Superium (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is certainly capable with his best. Team Hawkes trained gelding that has finished down the track in both runs this time in, the latest being at Newcastle behind all the way winner Coal Crusher. If he brought his absolute best, he’d just about win. He does have upside though and can pinch a first four spot.

I’ve seen worse bolters than 8 Lion’s Roar (Bet Now:  $SP.00). Wide no cover in The Hunter, forgive/forget. Festival run, on paper, was average, but his sectionals suggest otherwise. Produced the best 800-600/600-400 in chasing, trying to get involved. 5th best 400-200 and 5th best last 200m, and was good through the line. Third up last prep, he was three lengths off Private Eye in the Epsom…I think he’s in with a shout.

17 Brutality (Bet Now:  $SP.00) may as well be called Superman, because he is absolutely flying. Did what no horse did last Saturday at Rosehill, which was rocket to the line out wide from last to run fifth to an in form Cavalier Charles. If this track is playing fair and you can run on, surely he rates as one of the hardest to beat.

2 Sunshine Rising (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be respected. Former Hong Kong horse that had his first run for Mark Newnham in the Festival two weeks back and he was the clear eye catcher of the race, and probably the meeting, when wide throughout and kept finding the line behind Dajraan. If that hasn’t busted him, surely he’ll go close.

I think you have to believe what you see with 1 Nugget (Bet Now:  $SP.00). He has been excellent in two runs back from a spell. Resumed with a game third at Flemington on Cup Day behind stablemate Detonator Jack. He then went to Kembla and I thought there was a bit of arrogance about the way he put them away, producing electric change up speed. Confident he takes this out.

13 Irish Legend (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is getting towards D-Day. He’s promised to be a nice horse but didn’t quite fire in the first prep. First up this prep came three weeks back at Kembla when outside the slow speed, a race shape probably not to his liking, but thought he was entitled to finish off the race a touch better. Fitter, this is D-Day.

10 Bullfinch (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is sneaky flying for Chris Waller. Very good against the race shape behind Tamerlane on Cup Day at Randwick before going to Kembla where he was stiff not to finish much closer behind Nugget. If that is the right form for the Ingham, which I think it will be, this guy rates highly.

13 Kanazawa (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should love the rise to 1400m for James Cummings. Resumed three weeks ago over 1200m at Kembla where he got a fair way out of his ground but was good late in a bunched finish, a race won by Cuban Royale. His last two 1400m runs, he ran third to a then flying Jojo Was A Man and then beat home a subsequnet Group placegetter, Riduna. That reads very well for this.

12 Arnaqueur (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is third up from a break and should just about be at peak fitness. Definite pass mark fresh behind Short Shorts before going to Kembla and was solid in defeat in a race not run to suit won by all the way winner Tamerlane. Hard fit now, his best is good enough to win.

16 Robusto (Bet Now:  $SP.00) appeals. He was smashed in betting a few weeks ago in the Spring Stakes at Newcastle where he got a fair way out of his ground and was good late. Win prior on Cup Day at Randwick was very good and with the 1600m run under the belt, that should hold him in good stead for this 1400m assignment.

BEST BET: Race Two Number 4 King Ratel

NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 10 Brigantine

LONG SHOT: Race Eight Number 8 Lion’s Roar

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 10

Leg Two: 1, 2, 8, 17, 19

Leg Three: 1

Leg Four: 2, 12, 13, 16

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