30/7/2024 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Goodwood, Goodwood Cup day

Glorious Goodwood for 2024 kicks off Tuesday night Australian time, headlined by the Goodwood Cup (3219m).

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2 Enfjaar (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks the way to go in the opener. Roger Varian trained gelding that has won two on the bounce, the latest coming in the John Smith Cup at York when near the speed throughout and trucking before being clicked up and was strong to the line in winning. Good test here but hard to knock the way he’s racing.

6 Real Gain (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be given another look. He has been kept on ice since Royal Ascot when down the track in the Hunt Cup, beating one runner home behind impressive winner Wild Tiger, who looks a potential Group l horse, so that form clearly reads well. His best is certainly good enough.

1 Sir Busker (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is first up and dangerous with his best. He hasn’t raced since March 30 at Newcastle on the Synthetic when down the track in a feature race. He does have a really good record at Goodwood and can sprint well fresh so watch the market and see what it does.

6 The Parthenon (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks very much an improving type for Aidan O’Brien. This colt did enough on debut at Curragh before going to Gowran Park when stepping up to 1400m. He got better as the race went on, drawing clear late to win and win well, proving quite strong to the line. Ryan Moore takes over and I think he’ll love 1400m at Goodwood.

2 Aomori City (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Charlie Appleby trained juvenile that was a strong debut winner before going to Newmarket where he seemed to have his chance but bumped into a potential jet in Whistlejacket. He was a few weeks between runs there so he has room for improvement and for mine, will appreciate 1400m.

8 Wolf Of Badenoch (Bet Now:  $SP.00) lacks the class, on paper, of some of these, but he looks a really nice prospect and confident he can measure up off the back of a debut win at Doncaster where he gave them a start and a beating under a confident steer from Jamie Spencer, who remains on. He has the 1400m run under the belt and looks as though he’ll be quite strong late.

5 Noble Dynasty (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is heading in the right direction for Charlie Appleby. Strong effort last time out in the Criterion at Newmarket when on speed, finding the outside rail and found under pressure to fend them off and win in a very strong effort. Good test here, but a strong overall record and confident he can measure up.

7 Tiber Flow (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the knockout hope off the back of a strong win at Haydock in early June, where he gave them a start and a beating, weaving his way through the field before showing nice change up speed and was quite dynamic late. Good test here in a deep race but off last run, he has to be respected.

4 Kyprios (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should be $1.10 against these. He’s the best stayer in the world and confirmed it in style when taking out the Gold Cup at Royal Ascot, lapping up the 4000m and was very strong to the line. Back in trip no issue, he meets the same horses and I do feel there is still room for upside/improvement. Sit back and enjoy an absolute beast.

5 Sweet William (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a good chance to run second. He ran third to Kyprios in the Gold Cup at Ascot where he got into a decent spot in transit but when it came to crunch time, he couldn’t quite measure up. I like him back in trip…doubt he turns the tables but should run a placing.

7 Trueshan (Bet Now:  $SP.00) hasn’t raced in this race for a couple of years but has a good record, with a win and a third, that third being to Kyprios two years ago. He has found winning form after taking out the Marathon at Sandown, lapping up the two miles in a strong effort. Lands on speed and will give his all.

4 Fair Wind (Bet Now:  $SP.00) for me. Owen Burrows trained four year old that is just over two weeks between runs since winning over this trip at Ascot, getting a beaut sit in transit behind the speed and was bolting before angling clear and he knuckled down nicely late to win well. Track/distance winner the start prior, he is clearly the one and one of the better bets on the card.

12 Lord Riddiford (Bet Now:  $SP.00) gets serious weight relief so I am keen to see how he goes after racing at Chelmsford City last time where he seemingly had his chance but with the 60.5kg impost, I am going to be somewhat forgiving of the run behind Almaty Star. He loves this track/distance and loves this Carnival.

5 I Maximus (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the way I am leaning. Richard Hughes trained colt that debuted down the straight at Newbury. He attempted to lead throughout and gave a strong kick from the front but he just couldn’t quite see it through and was run down late by King Of Bears. Better for the run and gets Ryan Moore, so he has a bit going for him.

6 Jouncy (Bet Now:  $SP.00) commands respect. Andrew Balding trained colt that did more than enough on debut at Newbury before going to Kempton Park where he got a sweet sit in transit just off the speed before getting clear air but was one paced when asked. That said, he stayed on and kept finding the line, just missing out on the win. Has the race experience and will be strong late.

3 Gannas (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a key threat. Joseph O’Brien trains this colt, who debuted at Fairyhouse. He got badly held up and lost momentum at a crucial stage before getting clear air, found momentum and was strong to the line in defeat when third. Better for the run and with clear air, room to move, he’s dangerous.

Very open race this. I want to give 2 Forever Blue (Bet Now:  $SP.00) another chance. Lot of quality about the first up win at Haydock before going to the Sandringham at Royal Ascot when outclassed, finishing 26^th in a field of 30 behind Soprano. Back to this level suits, he maps to do no work and she seems a decent enough price.

4 Strutting (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a key chance and one of the hardest to beat off the back of a narrow second in the Sandringham where she looked the winner for a few strides but she just couldn’t quite get there in a blanket finish when a narrow second to Soprano. Was close up over 2000m here two back but I do like her back to the mile.

5 Nocturnal (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is dangerous against these. This filly was set a task I thought when resuming in the Sandringham. First up in a tough race like that was always going to be an ask but I didn’t think she disgrace herself at all in defeat when tenth, beaten nine lengths. Better for the run under the belt, she can bounce back.

14 Balmoral Lady (Bet Now:  $SP.00) each way for me in the get out. Ed Walker trained filly that comes back up to 1200m after winning over 1000m at Haydock last time where she was one of the first off the bit but she got better as the race went on and was impressive late in winning. Back up in trip and right down in the weights, she’ll be strong late and is flying to my eye.

3 Star Of Lady M (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a beauty for the O’Meara camp and commands respect. Good in defeat over 1000m two back at Chelmsford before going to 1200m at Newmarket when appreciating the step up and she was quite strong to the line in winning. Harder here, but confident she can measure up.

4 Jumbeau (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is racing like she will appreciate a rise to the 1200m. He ran behind Fair Wind at Ascot in the race mentioned earlier in the preview. She seemingly had her chance but she stayed on and was far from disgraced in defeat behind the in form sprinter. Racing like a rise in trip suits and this race isn’t as deep vs last time.

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