The Ebor Festival at York concludes on Saturday, headlined by the showpiece race of the Carnival, the Ebor Handicap (2787m).
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Ebor Handicap ๐: View the Field and Odds for the Ebor Handicap
Race 1. (22:50) Strensall Stakes (Group 3) 1771m
6 Nostrum (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) looks the most obvious here. Sir Michael Stoute trains this guy, who ran in a Group lll at Goodwood last time when attempting to lead throughout and did kick on strongly but couldn’t quite finish it off, nabbed late. Reckon with a bunny to chase, he will be far more effective.
2 No Drama (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) is the key threat. This five year old is a couple of weeks between runs since contesting the Rose Of Lancaster at Haydock. He was tracking the speed throughout and seemed full of running but just didn’t have the finale to get the job done behind a good one, Al Aasy. That form does read well for a race like this.
4 Spirit Dancer (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) is flying at the moment and is looking to make it three on the bounce. Two back won at this track in good style before repeating the dose at Windsor, albeit those races were weaker than this, but he is a horse in form, so not dismissing him.
Race 2. (23:25) Sky Bet Melrose Handicap 2787m
Landed with 4 Lordship (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) for William Haggas. He hasn’t raced since July 8 when giving them a start and a beating at this trip at York, settling back in the field before coming with a well timed run and was strong to the line in winning. Good test here against some likely types but he might well be above average. Confident he measures up.
13 Alhambra Palace (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) rises a fair bit in grade/depth but he is a stablemate of Lordship heading in the right direction. He has won his past two, the latest at Sandown when ridden patiently but came with a well timed run to finish over the top for an impressive win. Right down in the weights, he only runs well IMO.
9 True Legend (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) is racing like the rise in trip will suit. He ran a few weeks ago at Goodwood where he got back to near last in the run and while he was never a threat, I did like the way he found the line late in the piece to run second to Balance Play. Up in trip should be fine and should be strong at the end.
Race 3. (00:00) City Of York Stakes 1408m
4 Kinross (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) should be winning again. Classy animal that was a strong winner of the Lennox at Goodwood where he tracked the speed throughout before being clicked up by Frankie and although challenged, class came to the fore and he was too good. Track/distance winner and only has to hold his form to take beating once again.
7 Sacred (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) comes here with fresh legs for William Haggas, having not raced since the Platinum Jubilee at Royal Ascot where he was near the speed and looked home when asked for the effort but was nabbed late. There has always been that conundrum; is she a 1200m horse or a 1400m horse? We’ll get a good guide to an answer here.
10 Isaac Shelby (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) is a three year old who has good talent and can certainly take this race out. He comes through the Lennox behind Kinross. He had a suck run in behind and seemingly had his chance to wear down Kinross but couldn’t quite get there. Not sure he turns the tables but runs well regardless.
Race 4. (00:35) Ebor Handicap 2787m
It’s hard to get away from 15 Sweet William (Bet Now:ย $SP.00). This race is usually where you try and find something left field, but this year, it just seems obvious with this guy. Dominant win at Goodwood where he was near the speed throughout and moving with purpose before being clicked up and gee he was dominant in the run to the line. Holds his form, he likely wins again.
13 Real Dream (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) comes here with fresh legs for Sir Michael Stoute, having not raced since July 15 when a dominant winner over this trip at Ascot where he was keen in the run but had plenty up the sleeve before being clicked up and he gapped his rivals. Good test here, but confident he can measure up, especially with Ryan Moore taking over.
8 Sunchart (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) is one I can entertain at odds. He resumed in the Ballyroan at Leopardstown where he got back to near last in the run and while he was never a threat, he did make up ground and was far from disgraced in defeat behind Vauban, who is the dominant Melbourne Cup favourite, so that form clearly reads well, and with upside, I can speck him each way.
Race 5. (01:10) Constantine Handicap 1207m
5 Summerghand (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) on top but this isn’t a betting race. Too hard for me. He ran last Friday at Ripon where he he got back in the run, spotting those in front a decent start. Made up solid headway but just couldn’t quite get there when second to Sophia’s Starlight. If within range, he has the finale to launch and get the job done.
9 Aberama Gold (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) is racing in just about career best form for the Dalgleish camp. This gelding has won two on the bounce, the latest coming at Goodwood where they rode him with intent on the testing track and it paid off. He found under pressure to fend them off and win. Good test here against better performed types but do think he can measure up.
7 Fresh (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) has to be given another look. Forgive and forget the last start at Ascot given he was on the far side, where the stand side was the A1 ground. Fresh was just never a factor but did well for the side of the track he was on. Think if he gets the rub of the green here, he’s certainly good enough to be a threat at odds.
Race 6. (01:45) Julia Graves Roses Stakes 1005m
7 Purosangue (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) looks the straight bat option. Andrew Balding trained juvenile that comes through the Molecomb at Goodwood where they rode him quite and he made up good ground late, just missing out on the win when second to Big Evs. The form around him reads quite strong for a race like this and only has to run up to last start to take beating here.
2 Baheer (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) commands respect. Dominant winner two back at Newbury before going to the Molecomb where I thought they rode him a touch warm near the speed and just couldn’t sustain the run in the conditions behind Big Evs. I reckon with a more conservative steer, he can certainly run a much improved race.
1 Alabama (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) is still a maiden but is bursting to win a race. Looked like it would come last start at Curragh in a Listed race where he was near the speed throughout and fought on gamely late. Just couldn’t quite finish the race off when a narrow second. Stable should always be respected in races like this and overall, the depth isn’t overly deep.
Race 7. (02:20) Sky Bet Finale Handicap 2062m
17 Innse Gall (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) is the throw at the stumps in the get out. He didn’t beat a great deal at Ayr last time but credit to him, he was a sharp winner. Tracked the speed and what I liked is that when he was asked for an effort, he went through his gears and was strong to the line in winning. Right down in the weights after the claim and for mine, only runs well.
3 Haunted Dream (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) is one of the hardest to beat for Ed Dunlop. He comes through the Chesterfield Cup at Goodwood where he was behind the pace throughout and seemingly moving well. Got out in plenty of time and had his chance but couldn’t quite get there. Ryan Moore steers and the horse should be stronger than most at the end.
2 Certain Lad (Bet Now:ย $SP.00) is an improver at odds. He is a month between runs since racing at Great Yarmouth where he got back in the run but tracked up and loomed to be some sort of threat but he felt the pinch late and was a bit on the plain side. He has a good record at York so that is his saving grace for this.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Four Number 15 Sweet William
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 6 Nostrum
LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 17 Innse Gall
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