A bumper eleven race program has been set down for Sha Tin on Sunday, with the meeting conducted on both the turf and dirt.
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Race 1. (15:30) Para Swimming Handicap (Class 5) 1650m
3 Precision Goal (Bet Now: $11.00) seems the straight bat play here despite the tricky gate. His latest run came over 1800m at this track last time when attempting to lead throughout and gave a strong sight but just felt the pinch late. Back to the mile is fine, good racing style, hard to beat.
2 Yoda’s Choice (Bet Now: $3.30) comes here with fresh legs, having not raced since Dec 18 over this track/distance when on speed but didn’t find much late and was a bit on the plain side. Trialled well since and prior efforts suggest a win was coming.
13 Cool Blue (Bet Now: $10.00) is racing like a rise to the mile will suit. Latest run was Dec 29 over 1400m here. He got back to near last in the run and made up good ground without threatening. He has run well at the trip previously and if within range, he has the finale to be dangerous.
Race 2. (16:00) Para Table Tennis Handicap (Class 5) 1400m
3 Ever Smart (Bet Now: $7.00) has the awful gate to contend with but if he can overcome it, I do think he is the one to beat. Latest run was at Happy Valley on Boxing Day where he got back to near last in the run but made up many lengths in a really good effort. Tick over trial last week was strong and gets Purton on. Rates highly.
1 The Khan (Bet Now: $11.00) commands respect for Casper Fownes. He hasn’t raced since Dec 15 over this track/distance. He got a fair way out of his ground but worked home with real purpose late in the piece when third to Harry’s Hero. Couple of tick over trials since and gets in well after the claim.
8 Gluck Racer (Bet Now: $6.00) comes back to 1400m after racing over 1800m here last time. He got off speed and kept chasing in a pretty good effort in defeat I thought behind Chilli Baba. Maps to get a soft run in transit and should be strong late. Definite winning chance.
Race 3. (16:30) Paralympics Hong Kong China Team Celebration Cup (Class 2) 1600m
4 Sunlight Power (Bet Now: $2.15) on top. Son of Capitalist that ran over 1400m here last time out. He got back from the wide gate and was never really a factor in a forgive run. Has a gate to settle much closer in the run this time around and gets Purton on. That’s enough for me.
6 Voyage Samurai (Bet Now: $3.10) has a good track/distance record and can bounce back after a plain track/distance run last start. He landed near the speed and seemed to have every chance but was a bit plain the final 200m. Maps much better this time around and prior efforts were strong.
7 Flaming Rabbit (Bet Now: $31.00) rises in Class but with that, he gets serious weight relief. He ran over this track/distance on New Years Day when leading but didn’t find much under pressure and was a bit ordinary when down the track. He’ll land near the front and give cheek.
Race 4. (17:05) Para Athletes Handicap (Class 4) 1000m
6 Magnifique (Bet Now: $2.20) is the winner if he runs up to the trial work. He debuts for David Hall off the back of three trials, winning them all, and each time he has looked pretty good to my eye, the latest being over 1050m here. Drawn well, Purton on…if he runs up to the trials, he has a bit on these.
2 Enjoy Golf (Bet Now: $4.20) looks to have returned in really good order for Frankie Lor. He looks to have been trained as a sprinter and he’s reacted to it. Three trials leading into the return at the track/distance when off speed and chased with purpose when second. Better for the run, he’s a key threat.
11 Sonic Pursuit (Bet Now: $31.00) is one to be entertained for exotics. He ran over this track/distance last time out where he got back to near last in the run and while he was never a winning threat, he did make up ground and was a definite pass mark. Not sure he wins, but can run top four.
Race 5. (17:35) I'mpossible Handicap (Class 4) 2000m
1 Joyful Prosperity (Bet Now: $5.00) is a beauty for Danny Shum and it is hard to get away from him. He is several weeks between runs since a track/distance win, making it three on the bounce when getting the sweet sit in behind to finish best. Tick over trial was good and this isn’t a strong race overall so happy to be in his corner.
5 Serangoon (Bet Now: $7.00) is the key threat. He ran third in the race mentioned above that Joyful Prosperity won, getting back in the run and making up a stack of ground in an eye catching performance. The gate is tricky once again but if within range, he has the finale to win.
7 Silver King (Bet Now: $51.00) has had a few runs at the mile and is racing like 2000m will suit. The last couple have come over the mile at Happy Valley where each time he got back in the run and made up headway late without threatening. Dangerous if he can settle closer.
Race 6. (18:05) Para Badminton Handicap (Class 4) 1400m
11 Monarch County (Bet Now: $4.60) should appreciate getting to 1400m. Latest run came on International Day over 1200m here. He got back to near last in the run but was a real eye catcher with his finale in a good effort in defeat. Couple of trials since have been strong and maps to use the inside gate to advantage.
3 South Star (Bet Now: $13.00) is a son of Wrote that is on debut. This guy has had four trials in readiness for start one, the last two seeing him win and each time he has looked pretty good. If he can overcome the wide gate, he’s around the mark and is a threat.
10 All Are Mine (Bet Now: $61.00) is four weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance on New Years Day. He got back and was never a winning threat, but did make up headway and was good in defeat. If he can settle closer, he’s going well enough to threaten.
Race 7. (18:40) Boccia Handicap (Class 4) 1650m
2 Lucky Touch (Bet Now: $6.00) does tend to race better at Happy Valley vs Sha Tin but that said, he is racing very well at present and takes beating. His last few runs have come over the mile at Happy Valley, getting back off the speed and kept finding the line in a really good effort in defeat. He’ll spot them a start but should be strong late and Purton takes over.
1 Ariel (Bet Now: $8.00) has found winning form and he can go on with it, the latest being over 1800m here when leading throughout and credit to him, he found under pressure to fend them off and get the job done. Gets in well after the claim, draws well and will take running down.
4 Thesis (Bet Now: $11.00) is one to be entertained for exotics. He ran at Happy Valley on Wednesday night where he got off speed and was wide throughout so forgive and forget the run. He must have pleased the stable to back up so I say don’t dismiss him.
Race 8. (19:10) Para Equestrian Handicap (Class 2) 1200m
3 Gorgeous Win (Bet Now: $1.60) looks ready to get back into the winners list. He ran over this track/distance last time out when off speed and worked home with purpose late in the piece when second to Raging Blizzard. Purton on, bursting to win and gets his chance here I say.
6 Bundle Of Charm (Bet Now: $12.00) has the tricky gate to overcome, and is off a freshen up, but is racing well I say. He ran over the mile last time out on the dirt here when off speed and kept chasing in a pretty good effort in defeat. Back to 1200m with fresh legs I find interesting but he should be strong late.
8 Wonder Kit (Bet Now: $14.00) doesn’t have the best of racing patterns but should be strong late if within range. He ran over this track/distance on Dec 29 when back near last in the run and while he was never a winning threat, he did find the line and was pretty good late in the piece. If within range, he has the finale to be dangerous.
Race 9. (19:40) Wheelchair Fencing Handicap (Class 3) 1000m
2 Super Fortune (Bet Now: $4.00) saves his best for the track/distance and with that in mind, he will take a power of beating I say. He bolted up at this track/distance last time, sitting near the speed and was trucking before being clicked up and away he went to win and win well. Good racing style, likes the track, he’s the one to beat.
7 Crimson Flash (Bet Now: $6.00) is an interesting runner. Mark Newnham trains this former Aussie horse, who only had one run down under, which resulted in an impressive maiden win over this trip at Wyong. Now in Hong Kong, trialled up very well, so I say watch the market.
4 Awesome Treasure (Bet Now: $10.00) comes back to 1000m after racing over 1200m here on Jan 12 when near the speed and tried hard but couldn’t quite see it through, tiring late behind Masterofmyuniverse. Gets in well after the claim, I am not dismissing him.
Race 10. (20:15) Para Archery Handicap (Class 3) 1200m
6 The Boom Box (Bet Now: $1.90) is 2/2 to start his career and no reason why he can’t make it three on the bounce. Both wins have come at this track/distance, each time giving them a start and a beating, both wins being quite electric to the eye. He’ll spot them a start but should get cover, a drag into the race and think he can finish over the top.
2 Aeris Nova (Bet Now: $16.00) is three weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance when off speed and chased with purpose late in the piece but couldn’t quite get there when third to Super Legends. Maps perfect from the draw and should be strong at the end.
9 Lifeline Express (Bet Now: $3.60) doesn’t have the best of winning strike rates but should be around the mark. He ran on New Years Day when back in the run and kept finding the line in a pretty good effort in defeat. Tick over trial was quite good and although he’ll spot them a start, he can launch late.
Race 11. (20:50) Paralympics Value Handicap (Class 3) 1650m
8 Perfect Team (Bet Now: $11.00) is my speck for the meeting at a price. I think forgive and forget the run last time out at this track/distance when back off the speed and couldn’t really get involved in the contest, finishing down the track. Maps to settle much closer in the run and his best is certainly good enough.
6 Fighting Machine (Bet Now: $5.00) is bursting to win. He ran over this track/distance a few weeks ago when near the sped and presented to win when asked for the big effort but just found one better in Young Brilliant. Tick over trial was pretty good and despite the tricky gate, he can clearly win.
2 Simply Maverick (Bet Now: $35.00) is capable with his best. He hasn’t raced since New Years Day when racing over the mile on the turf. He got back to near last in the run and made up decent headway without threatening I thought. He’ll spot them a start but his best is good enough.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Four Number 6 Magnifique
NEXT BEST: Race Nine Number 2 Super Fortune
LONG SHOT: Race Eleven Number 8 Perfect Team
Quaddie Tips (Races Eight Through To Eleven):
Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 5
Leg Two: 2
Leg Three: 2, 5, 6, 9
Leg Four: 1, 2, 6, 8, 10
$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful
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