25/7/2020 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Ascot, King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes day

Nine races will be run and won at Ascot on Saturday night, headlined of course by Enable taking on three Aidan O’Brien runners in a very intriguing edition of the King George Vl & Queen Elizabeth (2400m).

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Bit of guessing involved here with little exposed form and a number of first starters engaged. 6 Mayaas (Bet Now: $3.75) is on top for Willie Haggas with Tom Marquand to steer. Debuted over 1200m down the straight at Haydock and worked home strongly when fourth to Cobh, who will go around in the third. Would love a rise to 1400m for this guy but has the run under the belt and should take some beating.

4 Hamoudi (Bet Now: $9.50) is a son of Dark Angel on debut for the Roger Varian team. This colt is out of A Huge Dream, a mare that has produced three runners, all three of which have been multiple winners. Gets Andrea Atzeni to steer from a good gate to get cover and a drag up into the race. Market will be the best guide.

5 Inveigle (Bet Now: $3.75) has the Queen’s colours and is another that is having its first start here. Son of Dark Angel out of a Dubawi mare, Sand Vixen, for Michael Bell. The mare has produced two runners, one of which is Dream Castle, who of course is a quality Godolphin galloper, so bred to be handy and gets Ryan Moore to take the ride.

Leaning the way of 3 Isle Of May (Bet Now: $2.75) for John Gosden. The Kodiac filly was somewhat unwanted on debut at Newmarket but I really liked the way she knuckled down late and chased when second to She’s So Nice. Think the extra 200m is right up her alley, draws to get clear air and Frankie takes the ride. Hard to beat.

7 Renaissance Rose (Bet Now: $4.20) is a big watch here. Unraced filly for Charlie Appleby that is on debut. Closely related to a couple of good ones, namely the high quality galloper Hamada. Stable have a couple accepted for the race and Buick elects to ride this one, which looks the lead on paper, but market will be the guide.

1 Creative Flair (Bet Now: $12.00) is the other Charlie Appleby runner engaged here. This is a Dubawi filly that is having her first start. Closely related to smart stayer Royal Line so you’d expect she’ll get better as the distances increase, and Buick chooses the stablemate, so a bit going against her, but has the Appleby polish.

Bit to like about 10 Twaasol (Bet Now: $4.20). Loved the way he found the line to win on debut at Windsor before going to Epsom where he was able to sit a bit closer in the run but it didn’t take anything away from his finale and he was much too good. Harder here, but hard to knock a colt that’s 2/2 and 1400m should be no issue.

7 Saeiqa (Bet Now: $4.50) should be suited up to 1400m for the John Gosden yard. Hasn’t raced since contesting the Coventry during Royal Ascot where he was back in the pack but closed off alright late in the piece when third to Nando Parrado. He’s racing as if 1400m will suit, the overall depth isn’t as strong as the Coventry and he’s in the right stable.

4 Cobh (Bet Now: $12.00) is a son of Kodi Bear that comes here off the back of a maiden win over 1200m down the straight at Haydock where he was prominent throughout and though challenged late, he showed good ticker to fend them off and get the win. Clearly a harder assignment here, but off that debut effort, 1400m should be okay.

Looks a lovely race for 10 Blue Mist (Bet Now: $4.75). Found the line nicely fresh at Newbury before going to the Silver Wokingham during Royal Ascot and was luckless. Not sure she wins, but definitely finishes closer. Was about to burst through and make a run but the gap closed. Ryan Moore takes over and again draws wide. Hopefully clear air is within reach.

I think 9 Ebury (Bet Now: $7.00) is right in this. Bit disappointing fresh at Newmarket before going to the Buckingham Palace at this track/distance during Royal Ascot and was nearer the inside, which wasn’t the spot to be, and he beat the inside section comfortably. But it was the worst ground and he finished sixth. Off that effort, he’s right in this.

16 Gin Palace (Bet Now: $15.00) is racing so well at the moment for Eve Johnson Houghton, albeit in easier races than this. Resumed with a strong win at Newbury then proved it was no fluke when getting the job done with the light weight at Newmarket. Gets a lightweight once again, is in form, tries hard and despite the class/depth rise, is a contender for sure.

2 Tsar (Bet Now: $2.75) looks to pick himself here. John Gosden trained son of Kingman that has been good in two runs back from a break. Resumed with a second at Newbury over the mile before remaining at that trip at Yarmouth and he was far too good for them under a confident steer from Mackay. Frankie jumps back on and third up, should be cherry ripe fitness wise.

1 Johan (Bet Now: $5.50) is a Zoffany colt for William Haggas with Aussie Tom to steer. He looks to have a bit of quality about him this guy. Resumed over the mile at Newmarket and was one of the first off the bit under James Doyle but loved the way he picked up when asked and was outstanding in winning. He looks the key threat, perhaps the only other winning chance.

6 Evening Sun (Bet Now: $5.50) does need to improve a touch on his form, but there was a bit to like about his first up maiden win at Newbury. Started odds on and lived up to the short quote with a dominant win. Two back he placed behind the very promising King Leonidas, so he’s got a bit to work with here and Ryan Moore steers.

I was happy to take $1.75 on Tuesday for 4 Enable (Bet Now: $1.40) here, and no shock to see her be shorter now in betting, and likely start shorter come jump time. She’s a champion and yes, she was beaten first up in the Eclipse, her run was still full of merit. John Gosden said the mare would need the run and that’s how it panned out. She’ll be close to cherry ripe for this and only factors against her here is bad luck and potential team riding from Aidan O’Brien and his team.

The tactics will be fascinating with 3 Sovereign (Bet Now: $13.00), the Irish Derby winner of last year when leading throughout and giving them a spanking. Hadn’t raced since then when resuming in the Vintage Crop when ridden cold and finding the line okay late behind Twilight Payment. If they ride him positively here, think he’ll run a big race at odds.

When first watching the replay, I was disgusted with the ride from Ryan Moore aboard 1 Anthony Van Dyck (Bet Now: $SP.00) in the Hardwicke, but watching it a few times over since, it was more so the horse being disappointing than the steer from Moore. Was very disappointing that day but think he deserves a look here at a price. Can definitely fill a first four spot.

Tricky race here. I liked the resumption of 12 Media Storm (Bet Now: $4.20) on the All Weather at Kempton Park. He was back off what was a slow speed before cutting back to the inside and he surged hard. Just the bob of the head beat him when second to Inherent. Think that form holds up for a race like this and is hard to beat.

If this turns into a true 2400m contest, then 7 Mankayan (Bet Now: $7.00) comes right into play. He looks a progressive stayer for Charlie Fellowes that comes here off the back of what I thought was a strong win over 2400m at Doncaster. Got a beautiful drag up into the race and the last 200m, he showed some staying quality in putting them away. Hard to beat provided this isn’t a sit/sprint.

5 Dreamweaver (Bet Now: $13.00) has come back in good order for Ed Walker. Happy to forgive the first up flop but bounced back to his best last time out at Haydock when given a confident steer by Oisin Murphy and he was far too good, albeit he didn’t beat a great deal. Harder here, but is a last start winner and trip will be no issue.

This race doesn’t appear to have a great deal of depth, but the one with the most likely progression is 1 Collinsbay (Bet Now: $3.25) for Richard Hannon and Ryan Moore. Solid enough on debut at Doncaster before going to Windsor when a beaten favourite but had excuses. This race looks thin on paper and he doesn’t have to be anything special to win.

Team Crisford are having a good run at the moment and that could well continue via 4 Star Cactus (Bet Now: $7.00), who has been pretty good in a couple of career outings, the latest coming at Newmarket when second to Spirit Of Sisra in what looked an okay race on paper. In an in form stable and finds a winnable race.

7 Marsabit (Bet Now: $7.50) is the one here that I think looks good overs. Ran over 1200m at Newbury last time out and I thought he closed off really well late despite being one of the first off the bit. Off that, he’ll eat up 1400m here and given the smaller field, he shouldn’t be too far away. Think he can run a positive race at big odds.

Bit of a throw at the stumps in the last via 8 Table Mountain (Bet Now: $8.00). She’s a four start maiden but has showed promise. Liked her recent effort over the two miles at Ascot. Da Silva rode a lovely race on the filly and for a few strides looked the winner, but first look at 3200m, and a testing 3200m being at Ascot, just found her out late when second. She’ll come on from that and I think is worth an each way ticket.

2 Solo Saxophone (Bet Now: $3.25) is the one to beat on current form having won three on the bounce, the latest over the two miles at York when a short priced elect and not letting the punters down. Oisin Murphy takes over and a testing two miles will be no issue given he’s a capable jumper over 4000m+. Hard to beat.

3 Speedo Boy (Bet Now: $8.00) is a lightly raced six year old for Ian Williams that has got upside to come. Resumed over 2800m at Newmarket when hard in the market and I think you’d have to mark him down as disappointing behind Charlie D. Another that will have no trouble with the trip being a capable jumper and Buick takes over.

BEST BET: Race Six Number 4 Enable

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 2 Tsar

LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 8 Table Mountain

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