The iconic Ebor Festival at York kicks off this Wednesday night, headlined by the Juddmonte International (2063m), featuring potential Cox Plate aspirant Paddington.
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Juddmonte International π: View the Field and Odds for the Juddmonte International Stakes
Race 1. (22:50) Sky Bet Handicap (Heritage Hcp) 1086m
Gee 1 Equilateral (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) won’t know himself in a race as weak as this. He has been taking on some very strong races throughout his career but his better days are likely behind him so dropping back to a Class 2, gee he appeals as an each way bet. He ran in the Qatar at Goodwood where he got back in the run and was never a factor behind star mare Highfield Princess. Drawn out, should get clear air and be strong at the end.
10 Jm Jungle (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) commands respect. He is flying at the moment, looking to make it three wins on the bounce. Latest win came during the Goodwood Carnival where he was near the speed throughout and on testing ground, he was able to slog it out and finish best. Harder here, but firmer footing a big tick and hard to knock the way he’s racing.
13 Nomadic Empire (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is on the back up after racing last week at Thirsk where he bombed the start, was tailed off last throughout in the race and pretty much took no competitive part in the race. Prior form was strong and with good early speed in front, look for him to be launching at them late.
Race 2. (23:25) Acomb Stakes (Group 3) 1408m
Good 2YO race this. 3 Edwardian (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) looks a nice horse for Aidan O’Brien. He did a bit wrong when resuming in a Naas maiden but he picked up quite easily and moved into the race with purpose before taking the front and away he went for a dominant win. The way he finds the line, 1400m should be fine, and the stable could have easily found something weaker so the fact they run here, that is a factor I am respecting.
2 Cogitate (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) could well be above average. He was big odds when debuting at Newbury over 1400m and despite doing a bit wrong, he has a motor, showing good change up speed late when clicked up by Doyle and away he went for a dominant win. He has that 1400m lead up under the belt, which should hold him in good stead against this lot.
6 Loose Cannon (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) can win without shocking. He debuted with a win at this track/distance back on July 28 where he got back off the speed but moved with purpose under Tudhope and what I liked was the ticker he showed late to fend them off and win. Marquand jumps on and another with the 1400m lead up. Definite winning chance.
Race 3. (00:00) Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) 2384m
There are a couple of runners here with Melbourne Cup aspirations. 1 Gregory (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) isn’t one of those but he should be winning this. 3/3 to start his career, the latest run coming at Royal Ascot when a dominant winner of the Queen’s Vase, beating a Melbourne Cup contender, Saint George. He is favourite for the St Leger and a win here will cement that spot for him. He’s the way I am leaning.
4 Castle Way (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is a key threat. Charlie Appleby trained colt that is several weeks between runs since a strong win in the Bahrain Trophy at Newmarket where he finished best and he knuckled down strongly to get the job done in what looked a solid race, including Saint George. Another with St Leger aspirations and has that sense of timing.
3 Canberra Legend (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is one of those runners mentioned that will likely be here for the Melbourne Cup. Is he as good as Deauville Legend? No, but he does have talent. Far from disgraced in the Hampton Court during Royal Ascot before placing behind Desert Hero in the Gordon Stakes. Not sure he wins, but look for him to find the line with an eye towards Flemington.
Race 4. (00:35) Juddmonte International Stakes (Group 1) 2062m
3 Paddington (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) picks himself. He is world class, despite doing plenty wrong. He just keeps winning and knows where the post is. Outstanding winner over this trip two back in the Eclipse at Sandown before going back to the mile at Goodwood in the Sussex when a short priced favourite and despite not being 100% happy on the wet track, he was dominant late. Mostahdaf is elite…but Paddington is world class.
1 Mostahdaf (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is the key and only threat. He has been kept on ice, having not raced since Royal Ascot when giving his rivals an absolute spanking in the Prince Of Wales, where he wasn’t really expected to do much but he defied his SP and made a statement on the world stage. Can further make one with a win over Paddington…but I think that horse is something special.
2 Nashwa (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) likely runs third. Stablemate of Mostahdaf that comes through the Nassau at Goodwood where she was game as ever but just not sure she appreciated the wet track when third. Back on firmer footing is a big tick for her…she’ll give cheek I am sure, but she won’t win. Likely runs third.
Race 5. (01:10) Stayers Handicap 3269m
Looks a race in two. Leaning the way of 3 Aztec Empire (Bet Now:Β $SP.00). He has been kept on ice, having not raced since July 22 at Newbury over 3319m when a game third to Sweet William, who franked the form when winning at Goodwood next time out, so the form reads very well for a race like this and he does bring fresh legs. He appeals.
10 Robert Johnson (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is the other key winning hope. He put together three sharp wins on the bounce prior to racing at Goodwood over 4112m when a strong second to Temporize where he tried his guts out but couldn’t quite get there. He has that 4112m run under the belt, which should hold him in good stead for this.
9 Forza Orta (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and give them something to chase. He did that last time at Hamilton over 2630m and gave a pretty decent sight but couldn’t quite see it through when second to Two Auld Pals. That was his first run in two months so with good room for improvement, he is certainly in with a shout.
Race 6. (01:45) Ire Incentive Handicap 1005m
Confident that 8 Pinafore (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) measures up. This filly comes to York off the back of a spank job win last Tuesday at Nottingham where she was trucking in the run under Doyle before angling clear and gee she let down with purpose to win and win well in solid time. Good room for improvement, Marquand jumps on and she does strike a winnable race.
3 Designer (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is a key threat. She ran over this trip at Goodwood a few weeks ago where you can make a case to say she wins if she got clear air. Instead, it somewhat ended up being a pretty ugly watch so forgive and forget the run behind Lord Riddiford. She is a winner at York and that was her first run in five weeks so with room for improvement, she appeals as a chance.
11 Cruise (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) tends to do her best racing on Synthetic tracks but she is a filly heading in the right direction. She has been kept on ice, having not raced since June 29 when a strong on speed winner at Newcastle where she was there to be run down but she found under pressure to fend them off and win. Like her at 1000m and with her racing style, she’ll give herself every chance.
Race 7. (02:20) Sky Bet Nursery Handicap 1207m
8 Blue Prince (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) will do me in the get out. This colt comes into this off a win, getting the job done nicely at this track/distance. He did beat just four runners, but he sat last, gave them a start and beat them quite impressively to win and win well. Harder here, but he is proven at the track and will be strong at the end of 1200m compared to some who will be getting the staggers late.
3 Starlust (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) commands respect. He has been up a little while but is holding his form really well. Latest run came at Goodwood when near the speed throughout and tried hard to get the win but had to settle for a second to Serried Ranks. That was his first run in four weeks so with room for improvement, Ryan Moore on, he appeals.
4 Barnwell Boy (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) should appreciate firmer footing and dropping big time in grade/depth. He ran in the Molescomb at Goodwood last time where she struggled on the wet track and couldn’t pick his feet up late in the piece behind a nice horse, Big Evs. Debut win came at 1200m so I think getting back to that trip here, he can run a much improved race.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Four Number 3 Paddington
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 1 Gregory
LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 8 Blue Prince
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