This is the third Melbourne Cup for Precedence, after finishing eighth in 2010 and 11th last year. He probably hasn’t been at his best for about 18 months, although his run last year was actually quite admirable given he pulled his way to a clear second and was left a sitting duck in front.
He won his first race in almost two years at Moonee Valley before given an absolutely shocking ride by Michael Rodd in the JRA Cup. He finished 10th but there were excuses given he got shuffled back to the tail of the field and was given no chance. His next two were alright without being outstanding, when sixth to Shahwardi in the Herbert Power Stakes and fourth to Vatuvei in the Moonee Valley Cup.
He meets a whole different class of horse here. He needs to be at a whole new level to be any chance here, and I doubt he is. I also doubt he runs a strong 3200m. I’m not sure even Bart can get him to win a new-age Melbourne Cup, so I will be opposing him.
$1400 IN FREE BETS on PRECEDENCE
Breeding: Zabeel x Kowtow
Bred in: New Zealand
Trainer: Bart Cummings
Jockey: Blake Shinn
Career Stats: 44:7-5-1
Last 5 Starts: 41064
Biggest Win: Group 2 Moonee Valley Cup (2500m), Moonee Valley, 23/10/2010
Sportsbet Fixed Odds (as at 7pm, Sunday November 4): $101