Cleveland is one of the leading contenders in the Tancred Stakes
One of the feature races at Rosehill this Saturday is the Tancred Stakes (2400m), where a strong field has been assembled.
Down below is a speed map, runner preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2023 Tancred Stakes.
Market 💰: View the Odds for the Tancred Stakes
2023 Tancred Stakes Speed Map
The GaiBott pair of Knights Order and Sir Lucan look the main speed influences. Knights Order is a lead or bust type so think he’s the leader. King Frankel will be handy near the front, likewise Saracen Knight from gate one.
2023 Tancred Stakes Runner Preview:
1 Gold Trip: He will love the forecast for a drop of rain to hit the track. Given they ran home sub 34 in the Ranvet, he just had no chance of figuring in the finish so forgive and forget the run. Super return in the Peter Young and getting to 2400m here with give in the track, forgive a good horse for one bad run, with excuses. Hard to beat against these.
2 Knights Order: If this track is playing up/in, he becomes dangerous. Plain return in the Chipping Norton but I thought ran a much improved race in the Sky High when leading, copping heat and fighting on gamely in defeat behind Protagonist. He’ll lead, be rolling from around the 700m and look to break their hearts.
3 Vow And Declare: Flying this bloke. Runner up in both outings this prep, the latest in the Australian Cup Prelude where he was game in defeat behind a very much in form Right You Are. Love him at 2400m and despite drawing wide, his form the last 6 months has been super and is one of the key threats.
4 Stockman: Ran well in this race last year and with the Blinkers back on for this race, there is clear intent. Two prep runs to start the campaign but ran a much improved race in the Sky High, closing off well behind Protagonist. He’ll love a truly run 2400m. Just depends how far back he gets in the run.
5 Arapaho: Couple of solid runs to start the prep prior to the Canberra Cup where he got the A1 run in transit and once clicked up by King, away he went and he was dominant in the run to the line. That was at 2000m so getting to 2400m is ideal…whether WFA is his go, not sure, but he comes here in form and 2400m will be no issue.
6 Explosive Jack: He’s back on track…enough to be a coming Group l winner? I doubt it, but he has found positive form again, closing off well enough in the Canberra Cup last time when second to Arapaho. He’ll love getting to 2400m, he has good upside and is in the right camp for a stayer.
7 Selino: Has failed to beat a runner home in both runs back from a spell, and think that trend will continue here.
8 Sir Lucan: Think if the inside was okay at that time of the meeting last Saturday, he wins the Manion Cup. In the end, he was nabbed late by Timour, who looked a jumper the start prior, so that form does worry me leading into this, but perhaps second up off a long break, he was a tad flat. His best is clearly good enough.
9 Cleveland: Another that has eyes on the Sydney Cup but is good enough to beat these. He probably lacks the class of some of the other international raiders here in Australia, but he has upside, progression and the Joseph O’Brien polish, as well as a turn of foot, and we saw what a turn of foot can do with Dubai Honour last Saturday.
10 King Frankel: He’s right on track for the Sydney Cup. Gritty fresh win in the Parramatta Cup before going to the Sky High where he ran his race in patches but was good to the line, looking like a horse that wants more ground, which he gets here. Not sure he is good enough to win at WFA, but is a must for multiples.
11 Saracen Knight: Has been kept on ice since a very plain return in the Victoria Cup and really, I can’t see him improving that much to trouble these.
12 Alegron: Market said he’d need the run when resuming in the Sky High and while he never threatened, his finale was solid enough I thought for a horse wanting more ground. He gets that more ground here, but I am not sure he is sharp enough to beat some of these.
13 Benaud: He has promised to be a good horse, but to date, his lone win is a Nowra maiden. Two runs back have been plain, happy to ignore him.
14 Montefilia: Surprised she so short in early markets. Ran second in the Ranvet last Saturday, but she was a well held second. Has run well at 2400m before, as recent as the Caulfield Cup, but there is good depth to this line up and while she is a winning threat, in terms of a bet, happy to let her go around without me.
15 Tappy’s Lad (First Emergency): He’s flying, but flying for benchmark races in Brisbane, not a Group l in Sydney. Dare say he is a travel companion for the stablemate in the Tulloch.
2023 Tancred Stakes $100 Betting Strategy:
Been hot on Cleveland as a horse for some time and won’t drop off here. $20 Win/$80 Place.
Group l Strategy Outlay: $5050
Group l Strategy Return: $3409.50
2023 Tancred Stakes Odds:
