The second of today’s two Group 2 races and the best race of the day, sees sixteen 3yo’s line up. Twelve of the sixteen runners were placed at their most recent outings with five of them, looking to make it back to back victories.
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1. TATRA – K McEvoy (7)
Hussonet colt form the Darley stable who narrowly won the Listed Ming Dynasty (1400m) three starts back. He was very good last start in the G3 Carbine Club at Flemington on Derby Day where, after sitting on a very genuine speed, was only claimed late by promising Lunar Rise. Will look to take a sit today and must be considered among the leading chances off of his last start.
Odds: $4.40
2. LUNAR RISE – J Bowman (14)
Ran third to It’s A Dundeel in the G3 Gloaming Stakes three starts back before failing to see out the 2000m of the G1 Spring Champion. He was then given a freshen-up in preparation for the Carbine Club Stakes and appreciated the solid tempo to finish the race off in good style and claim victory. Has draw wide today and will be giving most a decent start when they straighten for home but is promising.
Odds: $4.80
3. DANCES ON STARTS – M Walker (12)
Gerald Ryan trained galloper who resumed this campaign with an eye-catching effort in the Listed Lightning Handicap at Rosehill behind Famous Seamus. He was then immediately sent south and at his last start, was well accounted for behind Eximius in the Hilton Hotels Stakes. He faces a tough task to turn that form around from his wide barrier.
Odds: $15.00
4. PROVERB – S Arnold (8)
He hasn’t missed a place in four starts this time in and won the Listed Dulcify (1900m) at Rosehill two starts back. His most recent run, off a month’s break was a pleasing effort behind Tatra and Lunar Rise where he finished third, beaten 1 ½ Will only be better for that hit-out and look for him to be charging late.
Odds: $5.50
5. EXIMIUS – C Newitt (4)
He was good behind Snitzerland in the Blue Sapphire Stakes at Caulfield two starts back and followed that up with a win (at 25/1) over Limes at his most recent start in the Listed Hilton Hotels at Flemington. He is drawn to get a similar run again today but faces a field of greater depth.
Odds: $11.00
6. FLYING SKIPPER – S King (11)
Adelaide galloper who had only won one of is eleven starts before venturing across to Victoria for a tilt at the Listed Myer Fashion Stakes at Flemington on Oaks Day at 40/1. Would be surprised if he could make it three career wins here.
Odds: $41.00
7. AL ANEED – G Boss (9)
He won the Listed Gothic Stakes (1400m) two starts back defeating Crystal Web and Limes before having every chance and finding the grade a bit too rich at his most recent start when sixth of ten in the Carbine Club. He faces several of the same competitors as he did last start and can’t see him being able to turn the tables.
Odds: $11.00
8. EDGEWOOD – N Hall (5)
Lining up for only his fourth career start and third thid preparation but will find this a lot tougher than his last start fourth (beaten 1 ¼ ) in a RST 82 at Sale. He did have to carry 60kgs on that day and we’re yet to see the best of him obviously but this race has come to him too quickly.
Odds: $11.00
9. TIMELY TRUCE – D Yendall (16)
Highlight of his thirteen start career thus far would be a third to All Too Hard in the Listed Talindert. Since that race in April, he’s won a Geelong Maiden and at his most recent start, ran second in a BM 72 at Mornington.
Odds: $41.00
10. HUNGER – P Mertens (13)
He’s won two of his three starts to-date and they were a Ballarat Maiden before getting the photo in a RST 82 at Sale. Good effort to jump from a Maiden to a RST 82 but this is another leap all together.
Odds: $19.00
11. RIGHT TO ROAM – C Williams (2)
He was very good when fourth behind the unbeaten Philippi and Hvaastan in the Listed UCI Stakes three starts back before trying to lead in the G3 Norman Robinson before finishing a well beaten last. Ridden back last start but had no luck in the run home Carbine Club and should’ve finished much closer. Has had excuses last two starts and is worth consideration at good odds.
Odds: $19.00
12. GOLD MEDALS – M Rodd (1)
Jumped from a Stawell Class 1 over 1100m to the 1400m of the Listed Hilton Hotels last weekend and did a good job, closing from the tail of the field, to finish third. Started 16/1 last weekend and comes from an astute stable. The son of Elvstroem has been kept safe here in early markets at $10.00 and will be open to further improvement.
Odds: $10.00
13. JUST FORGET IT – D Stackhouse (6)
Well bred son of Fastnet Rock who ran third on debut in the G3 Sires Produce at Morphetville back in April. Was beaten in the Listed Oaklands Stakes at his next start as 15/10 favourite and was immediately spelled. He returned with a strong two length win in a Traralgon Maiden. Obviously has ability but might be a run or two short of something like this.
Odds: $34.00
14. HOST OF THE PARTY – D Dunn (3)
Won on debut in a Seymour Maiden (1300m) and that was enough for his Trainer Robert Smerdon, to throw him in the Listed Myer Fashion Stakes (1800m) on Oaks Day. After settling at the tail of the field, he flashed home to ran second, beaten ½ length behind Flying Skipper. An astounding effort at only his second race start and at $26.00, would be one of the better outside chances.
Odds: $26.00
15. CRACKED – D Moor (15)
A colt by Ad Valorem who has had three starts, all in Maiden company with the best of the a second, at his most recent start at Ballarat on a Slow track. Eligible for easier races than this one.
Odds: $151.00
16. MOREAU – V Duric (10)
The only filly in the race, she’s had seven starts thus far and whilst she is yet to crack her maiden status, she has been placed on five occasions including in the G2 Fillies Classic behind Kazanluk.
Odds: $34.00
SUMMARY
Sticking with the obvious form line, the Carbine Club here and putting Proverb on top.
The Carbine Club was his first run in just over a month and he’ll take benefit from that and should enjoy the mile at a genuine clip. Obvious dangers are Tatra and Lunar Rise (1st and 2nd in the Carbine) but I am concerned with how far back Lunar Rise will get from his draw. Right To Roam has had little luck at his past two starts and should’ve gone close to placing in the Carbine. He’s probably over the odds.
