The racing world will glue their eyes on Morphettville at 4.20pm local time to see the worlds best sprinter in Black Caviar aiming for her 21st win from as many starts when she contests the $500,000 Group One Distinctive Homes Goodwood (1200m). She will face eight rivals and as expected, she is $1.04 to greet the judge.
All eight races on Saturday have blacktype status, which includes a trio of Group Three events. The $150,000 R A Lee Stakes (1600m) will be a super race. The horse that creates interest is Linton, formerly with Team Williams and now with John Sadler. He has class, but it all depends on where Sadler has him in terms of fitness.
The young staying fillies will slog it out in the $115,000 Sportingbet SA Fillies Classic (2500m). If Crimson Lady holds her form, she should just about win. Her run in the Oaks behind Invest was very good given how far back she was.
The babies will look to improve their value as a racehourse when they race in the $115,000 ‘The Jansz’ (National Stakes), which will be run over 1200m. Dashitude can barely put a foot wrong and certainly looks one of the hardest to beat.
Race One: The Jansz 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: Pretty keen on Dashitude. She is just a bomb-proof filly who never runs a bad race. She had the perfect run last start and duly saluted in the Dequetteville. And judging on the way she hit the line, an extra 100m here will suit her down to the ground.
Don’t Back Me: Beau Jez is a nice type, but I feel 1200m second up will be a test for him against a couple of handy types.
Big Danger: Papillon took the entire straight to win at Sandown but the win was still impressive given she didn’t begin too flash. Freshened up and the stable is flying.
Roughie: She’s A Monet should not be underestimated. Her run at Geelong was strong and the winner ran a solid race at Flemington last weekend. She should get the ideal trip here and be in the finish.
Race Two: Centaurea Stakes 2005m Form Guide
Back Me: Apart from two or three, any of these can win without surprising. I like the fact that Gail is on the quick back-up after her determined win last Saturday at Flemington. Drawn the fence, she won’t be too far off the action. A negative is the rider because he hasn’t been riding well lately.
Don’t Back Me: I wouldn’t go near Dance With Her. Her record on firm tracks is terrible and she has topweight. Anything above 58kg and she struggles. The same for Placement. Her last two wins have been handed to her on a platter. Won’t get that here.
Big Danger: Epingle is finally starting to put it all together. Mick Kent is a master at placing his horses and this up-and-coming mare fits the bill.
Roughie: Would not be surprised to see Oui Si Attitude run a decent race here given she caught the eye behind Detox. Definite first four contender.
Race Three: Veolia Port Adelaide Cup 2500m Form Guide
Back Me: Rowland teased me again last start and he has sucked me in yet again. It’s a tricky race, but if he ever was going to win another race, this might be his best chance.
Don’t Back Me: My Ex Mate purely because how badly he is weighted compared to some handy stayers.
Big Danger: Hurdy Gurdy Man was excellent during the Warrnambool Carnival, winning a race and finishing a brave third in the Warrnambool Cup and perhaps a little unlucky. Will appreciate the firmer surface and is racing like the 2500m will suit.
Roughie: Beautiful Soul will run her usual honest race. Probably can’t win, but a place prospect for sure.
Race Four: Sportingbet SA Fillies Classic 2500m Form Guide
Back Me: Crimson Lady is one of the better bets on the program for me given she ran a beauty in the Oaks behind Invest after settling last. The 2500m looks perfect and she is in the right stable for stayers.
Don’t Back Me: Just not sure about Gioe and Princess Rock. They tease punters, but cannot greet the judge when the punters hard earned is on.
Big Danger: Red Typhoon was luckless behind Invest. And not helped by a bad ride from Bossy but he gets a great chance to make amends here.
Roughie: Quick Retort was making up ground near the inside last start, which was like quicksand on that particular afternoon. She has always given the impression that this sort of journey will be her caper for her future. Bells Of Troy was going run a 50 length last at Kyneton before picking up the bit and finishing second. Don’t rule her out and one that will be 100/1 is Weekend Dazzler. Her last start was in a weak Murray Bridge maiden, but her run was full of merit given she sat back in a very slowly run race and only got beat a half length.
Race Five: Darley Laelia Stakes 1600m Form Guide
Back Me: Another cracking race. Going with the up-and-comer in Lucky Penny. Got the easy kill on debut at Wodonga before stepping out to Caulfield and after some support in the betting, she won like a good horse. Any horse that can go on from a maiden win to a city win against quality opposition must be highly talented. Big test for her here but she looks up to it.
Don’t Back Me: I’m sure Houston Benefactor will have her share of supporters given the form surrounding her entire career, but her win last start at Sale wasn’t overly impressive.
Big Danger: The drop back to the mile will suit the Kiwi filly Kasumi. Loomed up to win the Oaks but she didn’t run the 2000m out. She should sit back with cover and unleash her powerful finishing burst that she displayed two starts ago.
Roughie: Forget Rahveel went around in the Oaks. She was caught deep and never got into the race. With the beautiful barrier here, she should bounce back and be right in the mix.
Race Six: R A Lee Stakes 1600m Form Guide
Back Me: Perfect chance for Zabisco to get some blacktype. All four runs in Australia have been solid and it culminated last start at Caulfield where he swooped home and kicked on for a much deserved win. Drawn beautifully here and Olly is on board. Hard to beat.
Don’t Back Me: I bagged So Pristine last start and she put the egg on my face with a win. However, she takes on the boys here and under the weight scale, she isn’t suited.
Big Danger: Bagman runs very well, but he has the habit of hitting a flat spot and that has cost him at his last two outings. The thing in his favour is the rise to 1600m. That is his big advantage.
Roughie: Seville, I thought, did enough at his Aussie debut after trialling brilliantly. He got back near the fence and stuck on OK in a leader dominated race. He can certainly without surprising me.
Race Seven: The Distinctive Homes Goodwood 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: We know the great mare will win, so let’s look at exotics. Bit surprised Go The Knuckle is second pick. I think the superb value is Stanzout at $13 for a place. Caught wide in the Wangoom and never really travelled well. The firm track and some pace in this race will help him.
Don’t Back Me: I like Go The Knuckle as a horse, but $1.80 for the place is too short for me.
Big Danger: Stanzout. If he gets the right run, he can certainly fill a place because he does have fresh legs while the others are coming to the end of their preparation or are out of form.
Roughie: Streetcar Magic probably suffered ‘Second up syndrome’. He is better than that and could sneak in the first four with luck.
Race Eight:Centrebet Proud Miss Stakes 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: Best bet of the day for me in Bonnie Mac. She hasn’t been ridden the way she prefers in her two Australian runs yet has still won. From barrier eight, she should sit back and then we can see her true ability.
Don’t Back Me: Sistine Angel ran a blinder behind Black Caviar when resuming from a decent spell. However, she drew barrier one there. She has 11 here. It’ll be a test.
Big Danger: Power Princess sat four wide with no cover outside Black Caviar. Most horses would throw in the towel there and then but this mare fought on marvellously for third. She’ll get the best run here and at some stage she may look the winner.
Roughie: Golden Penny should not be underestimated. We found out she doesn’t handle the wet last start behind Raspberries on Australian Guineas Day at Flemington. Freshened up now, drawn the paint and is on a dry track, which she excels on.