6/5/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Gosford, Gosford Cup day

A bumper ten race card has been assembled for Gosford on Saturday, headlined by The Coast (1600m). The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Gosford Cup 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Gosford Cup

The Coast 🏆: View the Field and Odds for The Coast

Takeover Target Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Takeover Target Stakes

4 Snapback (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is fitter and maps ideally, so I am leaning his way. Team Snowden trained juvenile that resumed over 1200m at Warwick Farm off one trial. He was off the speed and tried to make a sustained run, looming to win but couldn’t quite finish it off when third to General Salute. Should get a lovely run from the barrier and has the right form around him to take this out.

2 Namesake (Bet Now:  $SP.00) commands respect. Maher/Eustace colt that debuted at the midweeks at Warwick Farm and I liked the ticker he showed to fend them off. He was there to be beaten but he found under pressure and was strong to the line in winning. He has a bit to learn but clearly has an engine under the hood and appeals as a key chance.

13 West Of Dalby (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one that can be included in wider exotics. She was a big price when debuting over 900m at Newcastle and the win had merit given she was off the bit early and was chasing, but she ran through the pain barrier and kept finding the line, surging late to win. Bred to appreciate 1200m…not sure she wins, but can pinch a first four spot.

Open Highway. Leaning the way of 13 Deni Gal (Bet Now:  $SP.00). This mare resumed with a strong win at Nowra before going to Newcastle last Saturday where they rode her like it was a barrier trial and she warmed to the task nicely late in the piece behind a promising horse, Dame Cartland. Yet to do the back up, but the run last week was good and maps to sit off a good speed. Think she’s the each way bet.

Fitter, I am giving respect to 2 Super Extreme (Bet Now:  $SP.00) for Cameron Crockett. He was a drifter in betting when resuming in a Highway at Randwick two weeks ago where he was wide with cover and loomed to win but couldn’t quite finish it off behind Preemptory. Proven Highway performer and the depth isn’t overly strong to my eye. Hard to beat with the run under the belt.

8 Demitasse (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a nice horse for Paul Messara that resumes. He hasn’t raced since December 24 at Tamworth when a narrow but strong winner in decent time, beating Acotango, who was far from disgraced in the Highway two weeks ago, so the form doesn’t read too bad and his recent Hawkesbury trial was a decent piece of work. Watch the market.

2 Turning (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to be in for a good prep and should take beating against these. He resumed on Anzac Day on the Kenso track. Market said he had three legs and while he didn’t win, I thought he ran a super race in defeat behind Miss Jay Fox, closing off to finish a close up fourth. Fitter and up to 1200m, more positive ride, he can certainly take this out.

3 Broken Arrows (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a David Pfieffer trained gelding that resumes. This guy hasn’t raced since New Years Eve when far from disgraced in a Midway at Randwick behind Garrison. He’s a good short course horse at this level and I’ve liked the way he has trialled leading in, so I think he commands respect in what is a winnable race for him.

4 Jacquine Reward (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has done a super job since joining Nathan Doyle and is one of the knockout chances. He led throughout and lapped up the mud to win at Wyong last time, though I will say the track was playing that either you could handle it or not. He did, and comfortably. He does like getting his toe in, but a dry track is no issue and is genuine.

3 Rediener (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should appreciate a rise to 1600m and comes here off a win so he has to be respected, especially with the Waller polish. Far from disgraced two back in the South Pacific before going to 1400m at Kenso on the Anzac Day where the market press was strong and under a peach from Moreira, he made a mess of them and was impressive in the run to the line, so 1600m here should be fine and off a win, he’s hard to beat.

8 Fall For Cindy (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can book her QLD Oaks ticket with a forward showing here. Lovely placement from the stable when winning on the Kenso on Anzac Day, getting the beaut run in transit before angling into clear air and got stronger as the race went on. Not sure the tight track will be to her liking but a truly run mile will definitely suit.

10 Buillt (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is racing like a rise to the mile will be ideal. Both runs this time in have come over 1400m on the Kenso. He won the maiden fresh in pretty good style before going there on Anzac Day and was a bit one paced when asked for the effort but kept finding the line behind stablemate Rediener. Hard fit now and getting up in trip, he can certainly take this out.

12 Demarcay (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has more upside than most and has the Waller polish. He’s been pretty good in two Australian runs, the latest coming two weeks ago at Hawkesbury where he was a bit one paced when asked but he kept finding the line and he was quite strong through it. Like him up in trip and with good upside to come, I think he’s worth an each way speck.

9 Hometruths (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one of the key chances. Former French mare that had her second Australian run at Hawkesbury a fortnight back and was good from off the speed when second to dominant winner and stablemate Pretty Amazing. Looks suited up in trip, and a progressive Waller import with upside is usually a decent recipe for success.

10 Sir Lamorak (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is knocking on the door to win. Kris Lees trains this Irish import for Team Williams and comes here with positive form off the back of a third to Pretty Amazing at Hawkesbury. He was there to win but just lacked any real change up speed to go with them late, finishing third. Like him up to 2100m and with his best, he is good enough to take this out.

13 Kin (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has only won the one race but she is a filly with Stakes class talent. She resumes for James Cummings, having not raced since Cup Day at Flemington down the straight where she got back off the speed and worked to the line nicely late to run second to stablemate Renosu. Has had two trials this time in to get ready for the return and in a truly run 1000m, she’ll sit off it and be strong at the end.

2 Vowmaster (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a son of Written Tycoon for Chris Waller that resumes. This guy hasn’t raced since Magic Millions Day when when running third behind the subsequent Group l performed King Of Sparta, beaten two lengths. Tipped out soon after and with two trials under the belt to get ready for his return, he’s ready to rock and roll and can certainly take this out, especially in a fast run 1000m.

6 Winning Verse (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is an interesting runner. Marc Conners trained mare that resumes, having not raced since November 26 where she attempted to lead throughout at Rosehill and gave a solid kick but was no match late for Dehorned Unicorn, finishing a close up fourth. Can sprint well fresh and looks to have trialled up really nicely in readiness for her return. Watch the market.

Landed with 8 Clemenceau (Bet Now:  $SP.00). He is several weeks between runs for Team Hawkes, having not raced since March 25 when a game second at Rosehill in the Star Kingdom, driving hard late to just miss out on the win. The break between runs interests me, especially without a trial, but he is a good horse when right and on a firm deck, he rates highly.

The race has fallen away after scratchings so while I was keen to take on 1 Think About It (Bet Now:  $SP.00) after scratchings, the depth is just so thin that he has to be rated as one of the winning chances. He has eyes on the Stradbroke, so he won’t be wound up for this, but he is the class of the field, by some distance, and despite the big weight and gate, he is a winner and a line finder.

12 The Face (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and give a sight. He has done that in all three runs this time in, the latest being a few weeks back at Randwick where he attempted to lead throughout and gave a solid kick from the front but the end of 1200m, especially on wet ground, brought him undone behind Democracy Manifest. With his racing style, he’ll give cheek.

1 Welwal (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is bursting to win a race down under and I think he gets a great chance here. Chris Waller trained import who has got better as the prep went on this time in, the latest run being three weeks ago at Randwick over 1400m when back off the speed and kept finding the line in a really good effort behind dominant winner Tamerlane. Like him up to the mile and the depth here, as a whole, isn’t deep.

Hard to knock the way 7 Pretty Amazing (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is racing. Chris Waller trained mare that is looking to make it three wins on the bounce, with her two wins coming at Hawkesbury, winning over the mile before a dominant win over 1800m a fortnight back where Nash rode her a treat and she made a mess of them. Truly run mile no issue, hard fit, in form, she’s a key chance.

2 Military Expert (Bet Now:  $SP.00), to me, is a dry track or bust horse. I thought he would run really well when resuming a few weeks back at Randwick and he looked to be going sweetly in the run but when J Mac let him go, the wheels were spinning and he couldn’t pick his feet up behind Tamerlane. The track should be on the firmer side compared to first up and his best is clearly good enough.

11 Navajo Peak (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is flying and should take beating. David Payne trained gelding that is on the seven day back up after racing at Rosehill last Saturday on the bog where he kept finding the line and just missed out on the win when a narrow second to Marsabit. The start prior was on a relatively dry track at Doomben and he bolted up so the dry deck here is no issue, he’s in form and will be strong late.

3 Desert Icon (Bet Now:  $SP.00) commands respect. He was a big price in the Hawkesbury Cup but I thought he ran a super race in defeat after sitting wide throughout. He kept finding the line and was only run down late by stablemate New Mandate. Good second up record, up to a suitable trip…if the resumption hasn’t busted him, he’ll take beating.

7 Bois D’Argent (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a good horse when right so don’t pen him. He resumed in the Mugatoo on All Star Mile Day at The Valley and just had no chance the way the track played behind Munhamek. Tick over trial was a pretty good piece of work and at his best, he’s certainly good enough to take this race out.

12 Flag Of Honour (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks a good thing to me in the get out. Nice three year old for Kris Lees that resumes, having not raced since October 22 when down the track at Randwick in the Callander/Presnell behind Golden Mile. Been given a good break and gee his recent trial win here, he absolutely jogged and could have won by lengths. Maps to get the sweet run and be strong at the end.

6 Mars Mission… (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is it D-Day for him? He’s had three runs back from a spell and each time, he has been relatively solid but has been held each time and from a punters perspective, he’s been disappointing. He’s promised to be a nice horse but he’s becoming hard to follow and trust with confidence. That said, he strikes a very winnable race.

7 The Poacher (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a progressive animal for Brad Widdup that should prove hard to beat against these. He was 1400m back to 1200m a few weeks ago at Randwick in a strong 88 and I thought he was pretty good in defeat from near the speed behind a nice horse, Democracy Manifest. Like him back to this level and perhaps with a more conservative steer, he’ll be more effective.

BEST BET: Race Ten Number 12 Flag Of Honour

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 2 Turning

LONG SHOT: Race Two Number 13 Deni Gal

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 1, 8, 11, 12

Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 7

Leg Three: 1, 3, 6, 7, 11

Leg Four: 12

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