Randwick hosts a ten-race program for Inglis Millennium Day with the rail in the true position and the track rated a Soft 5.
It’s a good card of racing with star filly Tempted returning in the Eskimo Prince Stakes at 1200m against Napoleonic and Wodeton. The Millennium is the other feature on the day and it is a tough race to work out with Victorian Alibaba up against the likes of Fireball and Jacaranda who look up and coming talents.
NUMBERS GAME
Ciaron Maher is enjoying a good run of things now with a bulk of winners coming from his last 100 starters. The stable is smashing the market expectation and providing plenty of profits for those following of late.
| Metric | Value |
| Runners | 100 |
| Winners | 23 |
| Winning Strike Rate | 23% |
| Average Starting Price | $8.87 |
| Wins vs Expected | 1.49 vs 1 |
| Return On Investment | +39.9% |
Maher’s Top Chances
Race 3- 5 Spicy Miss
Race 8- 3 Tempted
KEY PLAYS
Race 7- 4 Fireball
ODDS @ swiftbet – $5.50
Great debut win when best piece of his work was the final 200m when running away from his opposition after being challenged. That win rated well for this and think he’s better suited on the bigger track in Randwick.
He’s trialled well since over the short course and maps for a good run here just behind the speed for James McDonald. Happy to mark him favourite in this feature and make him the horse to beat.
Race 9- 14 Hellsing
ODDS @ swiftbet – $8.50
Good return to form last start when 2nd to in-form Welcometotheshow at this course/distance. This is arguably a harder class race, but he plummets in the weights going from 58kgs down to 51.5kgs and maps for a good run.
If he’s able to replicate his last start he should prove to be hard to beat when adjusting his ratings for the lightweight he will carry, expect strong market support given that.
