22/8/2025 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – York, Nunthorpe Stakes day

The Ebor Festival at York continues this Friday night local time, headlined by the Nunthorpe Stakes (1006m), featuring Aussie mare Asfoora.

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I think 5 French Duke (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can bounce back. I thought this guy would run really well last start at Goodwood but he didn’t pick his feet up in the conditions and was never a factor. Firmer deck, back in trip, he can run a much improved race.

1 Mount Atlas (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is several weeks between runs since a win at this trip at Ascot, giving them a start and a beating, getting better as the race went on to win and win well. Proven weight carrier, maps ideally and should be around the mark.

9 Asgard’s Captain (Bet Now:  $SP.00) ran over this trip at Ascot during the Shergar Cup meeting. He got into a decent spot off speed and tried hard but just couldn’t quite get there. Gets good weight relief, he should be strong late and is a threat at odds.

6 Shackleton (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is worth something small each way. He comes through the Curragh Cup where he did early work before eventualy getting into a decent spot and he tried hard but was clearly no match late for Al Riffa, who is top seed re overseas runners for the Melbourne Cup. He gets a good weight pull being a three year old and I think he will be fine at the trip.

1 Trawlerman (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the obvious but for me, he’s just too short. He was breathtaking when winning the Gold Cup at Ascot, making an absolute mess of them over 4000m. The drop back in trip should be fine, he is the class runner…the one to beat, but just too short for mine.

5 Sweet William (Bet Now:  $SP.00) would have been a star stayer had it not been for Kyprios and Trawlerman. He tried hard in the Gold Cup before going to the Goodwood Cup where he seemingly had his chance but just couldn’t quite get there. He’s in the mix as a chance.

6 Reciprocated (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should take beating here. He was dynamic in his opening two starts/wins. He then 1170m to 1400m at Ascot and tried hard but just felt the pinch late. He has that 1400m run under the belt, so back to 1200m I like and with a good racing style, he clearly appeals.

5 Lifeplan (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks a nice prospect that comes here off the back of a debut win at Thirsk when on speed throughout and was trucking before being clicked up and away he went to win and win well. Good test here, but confident he can measure up.

1 Comical Point (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been freshened up since the July Stakes at Newmarket when keen near the speed and that energy burn took away something from his finale behind Zavateri. Prior efforts were sound, I am not dismissing him.

The weight pull is just so damn compelling for 16 Lady Iman (Bet Now:  $SP.00). I thought she was a very sharp winner of the Molecomb at Goodwood, getting better as the race went on and was quite dominant in the run to the line. Lands near the speed and I think only runs well.

10 Asfoora (Bet Now:  $SP.00) ran very well in this race last year but for mine, she looks set for this race vs last year where it was more or less an afterthought. She comes through the Qatar Stakes where the race shape was against her but she was good late in the piece. Think she can bounce back hard.

1 Jim Jungle (Bet Now:  $SP.00) won the Qatar Stakes and credit to him, he found plenty under pressure and was there to be beaten but he found to fend them off. Can he repeat the dose? Time will tell, but he’s a very genuine animal.

5 Zgharta (Bet Now:  $SP.00) steps up to 2000m after racing over the mile at Goodwood. She just got too far out of her ground and while she did make up headway, she was never really a factor. Like her up in distance and the big tick for me is the significant rider upgrade. Appeals big time.

7 Wonder Star (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should be better for the first up run, which came over this trip at Goodwood. She got into a decent spot in transit near the speed and she tried hard but just couldn’t quite get there when second to Ashariba. Fitter, firmer deck, she takes beating.

13 Blessed Star (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a maiden after six starts but she has placed in each outing. She got back in the run last start at Goodwood and made up decent headway late in the piece when third to Protest. Gets right down in the weights and should only run well.

9 Naval Light (Bet Now:  $SP.00) on top. He steps up to 1400m after racing over 1200m during Glorious Goodwood. He was tardy away but ended up in a decent spot in transit and tried hard but couldn’t quite get there when second to Stellar Sunrise, who won overnight, so the form reads super and 1400m should be fine.

10 New Monarch (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been strong in two career outings and commands respect. He has been runner up each time he has stepped out, on debut over 1300m at Newbury before going to 1200m at Ascot and was good late. Racing like 1400m suits, he can win.

13 Sea The Power (Bet Now:  $SP.00) comes back in trip slightly after debuting over 1498m at Beverley. He chased the speed from the outset and while he was never a winning threat, he stayed on and was pretty good in defeat. Good upside to come, he’s in the mix.

13 Impartiality (Bet Now:  $SP.00) each way for me in the get out. He ran over the mile during Glorious Goodwood. He got back in the run but looked to be moving with purpose before being clicked up and he tried hard but couldn’t quite get there when second to Principality. He’ll be strong late…hopefully can be within range.

4 Montpellier (Bet Now:  $SP.00) steps up in trip for James Ferguson after racing over 1400m at Glorious Goodwood. He got back off speed and was held up at times before eventually getting clear and was strong to the line when fourth. Up in trip should be fine and he gets Ryan Moore to steer.

3 Supido (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has raced at Ascot his past couple and is going well enough to threaten. His latest run was on July 26 when far from disgraced in defeat behind Fearnot, with runner up Bullet Point winning impressively overnight, so the form reads super. He can win.

BEST BET: Race Three Number 6 Reciprocated

NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 16 Lady Imam

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 13 Impartiality