4/11/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Ascot, Prince Of Wales Stakes day

(TBA) races will be run and won at Gawler on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Prince Of Wales Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Prince Of Wales Stakes

2 Belgrano (Bet Now:  $SP.00) Belle is the way I am leaning. This mare is flying this time in, with her two wins coming at Northam, the latest coming last week when settling near the speed before being clicked up by Pike and away she went for a dominant win. This looks a very winnable metro race for her and I do think rising to 1600m should be more than okay for her.

4 Special Sort (Bet Now:  $SP.00) comes back up to Saturday level but Adam Durrant has her flying and confidence is sky high. Put together wins at Geraldton before racing here on Wednesday and gee she was impressive from off the speed, coming with a well timed run to get the job done. Depth here is thin and hard to knock the way she’s racing. But, I will say she is too short in betting.

8 Kentucky Blue (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one that can be entertained for wider multiples. This guy ran last week at Northam over this trip where he got back off the speed and was never really involved in a race not really run to suit. He’s a hard horse to catch, not sure I could back him to win but he can pinch a first four spot.

6 Malkar Pindari (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should be winning. I was keen on her when racing two weeks ago here but I thought it was a very sleepy ride from Chris Parnham, waiting forever to push the button and the mare rocketed late, just missing out on picking up Laquetta’s Gift. Hopefully with a more positive ride, she can settle closer and finish over the top.

3 Laquetta’s Gift (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a mare that is racing really well for Dion Luciani. She won the race mentioned above from a fortnight back with the racing style and ride from Pike being the difference between winning and losing. She was five weeks between runs there so with room for improvement, she rates highly as a key threat.

10 Wakan Tanka (Bet Now:  $SP.00) isn’t a horse I could back to win at this level but for exotics, he can be certainly entertained. He ran two weeks back over 1400m here when just off the speed and tried hard but just lacked the finale to go with them late when a close up fourth to Deamber. That form is suspect in a race like this but he can run top four without surprising.

1 Oscar’s Fortune (Bet Now:  $SP.00) to make it 4/4. He looks a sharp prospect for Dion Luciani that is heading towards the Placid Ark and this should be another winning stepping stone. He took on the older horses two weeks ago at this track/distance and made a mess of them from the front when leading throughout and was quite dominant. Back to his own age, Pike sticks…good luck beating him.

2 Hanchi (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a son of Squamosa that resumes for Team Casey. He won two of his three runs as a juvenile and each of the wins, he looked quite impressive. Been given a good break with the Carnival in mind and his recent trial was a nice piece of work. Has eyes on the Placid Ark but he looks above average. Watch the market.

3 Home James (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one that can be entertained for wider multiples. He resumed at this track/distance three weeks ago against the older horses where he got back to near last in the run and did make ground without threatening behind Scenic Eclipse. Back to his own age and if he can settle closer in the run, he’s dangerous at a price.

11 Treasured Queen (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the way I am leaning. She ran last Saturday over 1100m where the race shape wasn’t to her liking, a sit/sprint, but I didn’t the way she stuck on in defeat behind Triple Jay. This looks well within her reach, especially in a more truly run race, Pike takes over…enough for me to say she can win.

4 Little Strawberry (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is three weeks between runs for Mitch Pateman since racing at this track/distance. It was her first run in seven weeks and she just looked a bit ring rusty to my eye, getting back to near last and did make ground without threatening behind Scenic Eclipse. Has that run under the belt and if she can settle closer, she’s dangerous.
Long Shot:

9 Nobellity (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one I can entertain at odds. She ran last Saturday behind Triple Jay and not much went right for her after a clean start. She got shuffled back and was just never a factor. First up run was solid and I think if she is able to take up a forward spot, she’s in with a shout at a likely decent price.

6 Valency rises (Bet Now:  $SP.00) a bit in grade/depth but it’s hard to knock how well she is racing. She hasn’t raced since Sep 23 when tucked in behind the speed and it looked like she would be a tragedy beaten but she got clear air late and drove hard to win impressively. Think she’s a much better horse at Belmont vs Ascot, but it’s hard to knock the way she is going so in an open race, she’ll do me.

9 Metallon (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Team Williams trained gelding that resumes. This guy is first up, having not raced since March 25 when down the track at Ascot but was a tired horse it seemed and looking for the paddock. Now joins Team Williams and his recent trial was a sharp piece of work. Bomb short course horse when right, he’s a definite market watch.

11 Thomas Magnum (Bet Now:  $SP.00) hasn’t won in a little while but Team Gangemi has him racing really well. He ran at this track/distance two weeks back where he had the suck run in behind and presented to threaten but he couldn’t go with Oscar’s Fortune, who looks a very nice three year old, so I reckon that form stands up for this and can take this out for sure without shocking.

1200m is on the short side for 3 Demolish (Bet Now:  $SP.00) but he has class and I’ll bank on that getting him home here. He resumes for Neville Parnham, having not raced since the Belmont Classic over 2200m when a close up third to a very good horse, Ihts Closing Inn. Resumes without a trial but he does run well fresh, has class and strikes a winnable race.

5 Saloon Bar (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is bursting to win a race for Dan Morton. He ran two weeks ago here and his run was absolutely enormous in defeat given he sat four wide for the trip yet kept finding the line when second to He’sgotwings. If that run hasn’t busted him, surely he will go close in a race like this. But, watch the market and see if it will tell you if he’s a tired horse or not.

4 Rear Admiral (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a quality mare for Team Casey that resumes and I think she can resume with a win. She hasn’t raced since June 24 at Belmont when struggling on the heavy track and although she did make ground, she was never a factor behind Vane Tempest. Trial win at Lark Hill was very sharp, she maps to press forward and has an element of class/quality. Keen on her prospects.

1 Red Can Man (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been a ripper for Steve Wolfe for a number of years and short course racing does seem to be his best go in life. He resumed a fortnight back in the Crawford where he got the suck run in transit before finding clear air and the way he let down when asked by McGruddy was quite impressive. Staying at 1000m suits and is hard to beat once again.

8 Go Forward (Bet Now:  $SP.00) doesn’t have the best of racing patterns but if he can use the inside gate to advantage, he is certainly dangerous. He got too far back in the Crawford two weeks back but loved the way he closed off late in the piece behind Red Can Man. Just needs to settle closer from the inside gate. If that eventuates, he’ll take beating against these.

4 Searchin’ Rocs (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the way I am leaning in a ripping edition of the Asian Beau. This mare resumed on Sep 9 at Belmont in the Farnley when first up off a long spell and despite the query of race fitness, she had class and it came to the fore in winning. Tick over trial was a lovely piece of work and she does have race fitness on her side over Alsephina.

7 Alsephina (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is high up in all in betting for the Railway so keen to see how she resumes. This girl hasn’t raced since New Years Day when a strong winner of the La Trice over 1800m when beating up the Mares. This prep is all about the Railway/Northerly, and with three trials under the belt, Pike sticking, the grounding is there. Watch the market.

6 Admiration Express (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a quality mare that resumes for Jason Miller. This girl is first up, having not raced since the WA Oaks when on speed after doing early work and tried her guts out but couldn’t quite get the win behind She’s Fit. She has looked strong in a couple of Lark Hill trials and despite 1400m being short of her best, she has a touch of quality about her.

5 Top Of The Pops (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness. Both runs back have come over 1200m here, the latest being last Saturday behind Can’t Be Done and was good late from the back without threatening behind Can’t Be Done. Love him up to 1400m and if he can settle closer in the run, he’ll take holding out.

9 Brooklyn Pier (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a handy animal for Neville Parnham that continued his sharp fresh record with a first up win over 1200m here two weeks ago, giving them a start and a beating, letting down with purpose from off the speed to get the win. Not as dynamic second up compared to first up but it’s hard to ignore how he went fresh.

Back in trip I find interesting with 10 Holy Ghost (Bet Now:  $SP.00). He ran over 1800m two weeks back here where the race shape wasn’t really to his liking so be forgiving of the down the track effort behind Strike Now. Tempo will be more genuine this time around and prior efforts were than sound. Not sure he wins, but one that can fill a first four spot.

BEST BET: Race Two Number 6 Malkar Pindari

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 1 Oscar’s Fortune

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 3 Laverrod

 

Quaddie (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 3, 4, 5, 11

Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 4, 8

Leg Three: 4, 7

Leg Four: 3, 5, 9, 10

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful.