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The traditional lead up race to the The BMW, the Ranvet Stakes which was run and won a fortnight ago, was billed as a match race between It’s A Dundeel and Fiorente. The title fight predicted between the two never eventuated with the aptly named New Zealand mare Silent Achiever, taking the prize. All three are entered for Saturdays’ feature and not surprisingly, fill the top three placings in betting. What is somewhat of a surprise is the order in which they fill those positions. Fiorente finished a well beaten seventh but punters are prepared to forgive him and made him the $3.20 favourite. It’s A Dundeel, who ran third second up from a spell in the Ranvet, opened up at $3.80 but was immediately on the drift and as much as $4.50 was available Wednesday afternoon whilst Silent Achiever, who defeated them both fair and square, is rated a $5.50 chance.

 

The BMW Form Guide

 

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1. FIORENTE – D Oliver (1)

Returned from his Melbourne Cup victory with an excellent win in the G2 Peter Young Stakes (1800m) first up, followed by a half length win in the Australian Cup (2000m) over Green Moon. Had only his second start in Sydney a fortnight ago in the G1 Ranvet Stakes (2000m), where not much went right in the run. He was caught wide early and had to slide forward, settling closer to the speed than he normally does, before joining the leaders three wide upon straightening. His run wasn’t ideal but still expected to see more from him up the straight then what he produced – seventh (3.9 lengths). Only the second time in ten Australian starts he has missed finishing in the top four and obviously a much better horse than that his last run. Can easily bounce back here.

Odds: $3.20

 

2. GREEN MOON – J Bowman (7)

2012’s Melbourne Cup winner has returned from a plain spring campaign last year, with two solid performances so far this prep. He settled much close to the speed than anticipated first up in the G2 Peter Young Stakes (1800m) and fought on well to run fourth, less than a length from winner Fiorente. He again found Fiorente a shade too strong at his next and most recent start, the G1 Australian Cup. Again the 7yo took up a forward position and was only collared in the dying stages of the race. Hasn’t raced now for a four weeks but appears to be going very well. Bowman has a good association with this stable when they come to Sydney.

Odds: $10.00

 

3. FORETELLER – C Newitt (9)

Chris Waller’s galloper ran fifth in this race last when tackling the trip for the first time. Recently he finished fifth (1 ¼ lengths) in the G2 Peter Young Stakes (1800m) and then third (3/4 lengths) in the Australian Cup (2000m), both behind Fiorente before lining up in the Ranvet Stakes last fortnight. He was positioned on the It’s A Dundeel’s back turning but in a race dominated by those up front, couldn’t produce the sprint required and finished second to last, 6 ½ lengths from winner Silent Achiever. Uncharacteristic effort from him last start when not running on late. He’ll get back from gate nine and a drier track and more genuine tempo would assist.

Odds: $15.00

 

4. MOURAYAN – G Schofield (10)

Almost caused a massive boilover when, as a 150/1 shot first up in the G2 Peter Young Stakes (1800m), he was nosed out on the line by Fiorente. He then contested the Australian Cup and landed in a good position in the run but when the pace increased rounding the turn, the 8yo was caught a little flat-footed. He was coming again on the line though and finished a good fourth (2.2 lengths) behind Fiorente. Both runs have been very good and the step up to 2400m is a bonus. His main aim would be to defend his Sydney Cup title in a few weeks time but still capable of running a bold race here.

Odds: $21.00

 

5. SERTORIUS – R Maloney (5)

The son of Galileo stormed home behind Moment Of Change first up in the G1 Futurity Stakes back in February, signally that he was set to continue on from the good form he had displayed in his previous prep last spring. He then got too far back in the Blamey Stakes in a race dominated by those up front (third, 4 lengths behind Lidari) before heading to Sydney to contest the G1 Ranvet Stakes. He settled behind the leader’s on the fence and held his ground in the run to the line, finishing fifth (3 ¼ lengths) behind Silent Achiever. Not bad last start and the 2400m will be even more to his liking (2 from 2 at the trip) and can finish among the placings.

Odds: $11.00

 

6. BRIGANTIN – B Shinn (5)

Former import who started to show some form last prep after arriving from Chris Waller’s stables from Pat Carey’s, running third in the Listed Gosford Cup (2100m) and third to Travolta in the Australian Cup (2400m). His only had the one start since the Australian Cup run back in January, and that came a fortnight ago in the G3 Sky High Stakes (1900m). He worked home steadily from the tail of the field to run sixth (2.2 lengths) behind Entirely Platinum. Can only be fitter again and another who will enjoy the mile and a half trip but just might find the class of this race second up, too sharp.

Odds: $101.00

 

7. ANGOLA – R McLeod (3)

Ran sixth and within a length of the winner Instrumentalist in the Listed Mornington Cup (2400m) before five weeks later, at his most recent start, took at a BM 90 (2100m) at Sandown when carrying only 55.5kgs. Goes up significantly in both weight and class here today and should be well accounted for.

Odds: $101.00

 

8. IT’ A DUNDEEL – J McDonald (8)

The High Chaparral stallion resumed as the odds-on favourite in the G1 Chipping Norton Stakes (1600m) but just had to show is hand a little earlier in the race than ideal and was run down by Boban, finishing second by a length. He then stepped out in last fortnight’s Ranvet Stakes and was in the right position as the field turned for home but was unable to reel in the leading pair of Silent Achiever and Carlton House, finishing third (1.9 lengths). Third up 2400m should be ideal and best to be a touch forgiving last start, second run back from a spell.

Odds: $4.60

 

9. SILENT ACHIEVER – N Rawiller (4)

The 5yo O’Reilly mare had always promised to win a big race in Australia and after several attempts, she finally delivered last fortnight in the G1 Ranvet Stakes. She sat second in the run to Carlton House and joined him at the top of the straight. Carlton House kicked but under hard riding, Silent Achiever chased hard and wore him down late, winning by a narrow margin. That was her third win from as many starts this prep and her last two starts over this trip have resulted in a second in this race last year, and a close-up eighth (2.5 lengths) behind Fawkner in the Caulfield Cup. Drawn to get another lovely run and has to be right in the calculations

Odds: $4.40

 

10. VOLEUSE DE COEURS – G Boss (2)

Former imported horse whose first Australian start was in last year’s Melbourne Cup where she finished tenth (8 lengths) behind Fiorente. The Teofilo mare was then spelled and resumed for trainer Mike Moroney in the G1 Australian Cup (2000m) where she produced a promising fifth (2.3 lengths) to Fiorente. Not surprisingly, she needed that run but was closing well in the late stages and stepping up to 2400m can only help. Four of five career runs have come on rain effected going so any sting out of the track will assist but capable regardless, have producing a cheeky run off of her Aust Cup effort.

Odds: $9.00

 

11. LET’S MAKE A DEAL – C Williams (11)

Found the WFA conditions and company of the Peter Young Stakes and Australian Cup, where she finished eighth and seventh respectively, too rich and was much more competitive dropping back in class and down in weight when taking part in the Sky High Stakes (1900m) last start. The 4yo mare closed well from the tail of the field to run fourth (1 ¾ lengths) behind Entirely Platinum. Back up in grade again and even though the 2400m will be to her liking, the return to elite company and WFA will not be.

Odds: $51.00

 

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RACE OVERVIEW

Stable-mates Green Moon and Mourayan likely to roll forward from their wide gates with Silent Achiever box seating behind them. No fluke about Silent Achiever’s win in the Ranvet. She is flying this time in if any rain were to come later in the week as is predicted, it will not be of bother to her. Expectations of been high of It’s A Dundeel in his two runs back from a spell; a little too high perhaps? He’ll be third up here, fully wound up now and at the most realistic price he has been this time in. Wouldn’t be inclined to leave him out now. Fiorente’s last start is best overlooked. His record outside of that run is faultless and he can easily bounce back here. Oliver has won this race twice (Cedarberg and Blutigeroo) and will never have a better chance of adding another. Green Moon and Voleuse De Coeurs appear to be the dangers outside of the top three chances. They’ve got Green Moon back to what we’ve come to expect from him in the past whilst Voleuse Do Coeurs can be the big improver.

  1. FIORENTE
  2. IT’S A DUNDEEL
  3. SILIENT ACHIEVER
  4. VOLEUSE de COUERS
 
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