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Flemington is where Victorian racing takes place this Saturday, where it is Finals Day. The weather is fine, the track is soft (7) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

 

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Race One (11:45) : Silver Bowl Series Final 1600m:

Back Me: Most of these come through the 1600m race here a fortnight back. The clear best run from the race was 9 Galaxy Raider (Bet Now: $3.30), who to be fair was given a pretty ordinary steer from Newitt but his closing 200m was outstanding. If he gets normal luck, and a decent steer, he wins.
Big Danger: 2 War Legend (Bet Now: $8.00) ran in that mile race mentioned above and he was pretty game in defeat given he was back nearer the inside, which was the quicksand for the afternoon. Senior rider jumps on now and is drawn to sit with cover and ambush late.
Roughie: 1 Jerilderie Letter (Bet Now: $5.00) is the clear watch horse. The Tassie visitor comes here off the back of an excellent fourth to Makatiti at Caulfield last Saturday, closing off strongly to run a close up fourth. Comes here with enormous upside and the big track here will really suit. The negative is that he is terribly weighted.

 

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Race Two (12:20) : Rivette Series Final 1600m:

Back Me: Looks to be pretty simple here- 1 Euro Angel (Bet Now: $1.95) wins. There was a lot to like about her first up win over 1400m here a month back. She sat off speed and wide throughout before strongly challenging Avenue Whisper 250m out, then the last 150m or so, she just blew them away like a filly who is destined for blacktype. Only bad luck beats her here, especially after her jump out here last Friday.
Big Danger: 6 Avenue Whisper (Bet Now: $7.50) started near odds on last Wednesday at Ladbrokes Park and she was terrible behind Dulverton. Stewards report says that Dee thought the horse didn’t handle the bog track and the mile, so interesting she is here at the mile. Her run behind Euro Angel was a beauty and on that, she can measure up here.
Roughie: 3 Payroll (Bet Now: $6.00) ran behind Lady Selkirk in the mile race here a fortnight back and I thought she was pretty disappointing after seemingly having her chance. She is becoming a bit of a money muncher, and while I doubt she can beat Euro Angel (ran third to her start prior to last), I think she has to be included in exotics.

 

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Race Three (12:55) : VRC-CRV Cup Tour Trophy 2000m:

Back Me: 7 It’sall Aboutharry (Bet Now: $7.50) comes through the mile race here two weeks back at Flemington when finding the line strongly to run fourth to Royal Rapture, who failed with excuses last week, so the form doesn’t read too bad and this is a very winnable race with upside.
Big Danger: 4 Magic Consol (Bet Now: $4.00) looks the one to beat form wise after running a super third to Royal Rapture over the mile here two weeks ago, sitting off speed and trying to narrowly miss out in a three way photo finish. Looks ready for the 2000m now an is extremely well weighted.
Roughie: 9 JImivag (Bet Now: $14.00) ran at Sandown last Wednesday over 1800m and his run was interesting. He was off the bit 800m out and looked gone but he picked up and kept finding the line to run fourth. Racing as if the 2000m will be perfect, he is in ripping form and this is a winnable race.

 

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Race Four (13:33) : Taj Rossi Series Final 1600m:

Back Me: Finding it hard to tip outside 2 Trenchant (Bet Now: $2.80). He was dominant in winning the lead up here fortnight back, sitting off speed before ambling up and bolting clear. Mile will be no issue, upside…just wins.
Big Danger: 5 Cobbmore (Bet Now: $4.60) ran fifth behind Trenchant in that race mentioned above where he was very safe in the market and worked home strongly without threatening. He is another with good upside and he will be strong late.
Roughie: 6 Fast ‘N’ Rolling (Bet Now: $4.50) comes through the same race where he sat wide no cover for the trip and kept on keeping on when third to Trenchant. He hasn’t had much luck in three outings, but if he gets it here, he will go close.

 

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Race Five (14:10) : All Victorian Sprint Series Final 1200m:

Back Me: 3 Voodoo Lad (Bet Now: $2.10) ran over 1200m at the Valley three weeks and was smashed in betting given the pattern suited his racing style of being on speed, a theory which proved correct as he won well, beating Duke Of Brunswick, who got the job done last Saturday, so the form reads very well. Little query down the straight but he is the one to beat.
Big Danger: 10 Ruettiger (Bet Now: $4.80) ran down the straight here a fortnight back and closed off well late behind the in form Odyssey Moon, who looks close to a good thing in the Creswick. Gets on the minimum here and the small field should really suit.
Roughie: 1 Reldas, (Bet Now: $9.00) I’m starting to think, isn’t a straight track horse, but he gets one more chance for me. He was kept very safe in the market when racing here a fortnight back but quite simply he was very plain behind stablemate Odyssey Moon. On that, I can’t have him, but senior rider is on and he draws well.

 

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Race Six (14:50) : Banjo Patterson Series Final 2600m:

Back Me: 3 Araldo Junior (Bet Now: $2.70) looks the way to go here. He does rise sharply in weight, but there was plenty to like about his win here last time out, leading throughout to spank his rivals after being heavily backed late. In that race, he was actually drawing clear late and the form has held up well. He’ll lead comfortably here and take some beating.
Big Danger: 2 Master Of Arts (Bet Now: $2.25) won that race mentioned above and he was given a great steer from in form apprentice Mick Dee to get the job done there over his gallant stablemate Falago. Goes up to 60kg and up to 2600m, which are two massive queries, but who am I to doubt Darren Weir.
Roughie: 7 Wells (Bet Now: $9.00) is tuning up for the jumps later in the month, which was seen in a Cranbourne trial on Tuesday, but his run behind Master Of Arts in that race mentioned was outstanding. He’ll eat up the extra trip and now gets the services of Craig Williams.

 

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Race Seven (15:30) : VRC-CRV Winter Championship Final 1600m:

Back Me: 3 Chance To Dance (Bet Now: $4.00) produced the run of the day when racing at the Valley three weeks back, sitting last and making up a stack of ground to run fifth to Onpicalo on a day where it was near impossible to make up ground. Flemington mile looks perfect, and if he brings that run here, it’ll take a good one to knock him off the top spot.
Big Danger: 2 Kenjorwood (Bet Now: $8.00) comes through that Onpicalo race too where he was brave in defeat, sitting on speed with the big weight and fighting on very strongly to run third, beaten 2.5L. His lone Flemington mile run resulted in him being a couple of lengths off Group l winner The United States. He’ll be on speed and fighting hard all the way.
Roughie: Just forget 13 Del Prado (Bet Now: $13.00) went around here a fortnight back given he was three wide most of the way in the six horse field and given the slow tempo, he had no chance. He is much better than that, the mile is ideal and he should be hard fit and ready to go.

 

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Race Eight (16:10) : A.R. Creswick Series Final 1200m:

Back Me: 1 Odyssey Moon (Bet Now: $3.40) just looks a standout here. Took on the open sprinters down the straight here two weeks back where he sat off speed, waited for the gap to appear and he dashed when he got it. Back to his own age now, drawn to ambush…can’t see him getting beat.
Big Danger: 6 Lord Von Costa (Bet Now: $7.50) was having his first run for Stephen Brown when racing over 1100m here a fortnight back when beating all bar the above average three year old Spieth. Extra 100m will be right up his alley, and being third up now, he should be at peak fitness.
Roughie: 3 We’re Sure (Bet Now: $11.00) resumed against the older horses first up at Beaumont-Newcastle and he absolutely bolted in. Several horses have run from that race since and though they haven’t won, they have run well, so the form is alright and Team Snowden wouldn’t send him South for nothing.

 

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Race Nine (16:45) : Leilani Series Final 1400m:

Back Me: 1 She’s Clean (Bet Now: $5.00) took on the boys over this track/distance a fortnight back and he was completely luckless behind Jacquinot Bay, never really getting clear until it was all over. Back to her own sex, she has carried weight successfully in the past, draws well and should take some beating.
Big Danger: 5 Telopea (Bet Now: $3.30) ran over this track/distance a fortnight back and tried hard but couldn’t quite get past Iggimacool, who was just too tough. Looks extremely well placed here and though she is becoming a little money muncher, she’ll go close for sure.
Roughie: 9 To Be Honest (Bet Now: $28.00) resumed in the Must Be Mink race at Cranbourne back in May and she was pretty good herself in running fourth. Form out of that has been okay, she is a second up winner, has the fresh legs and stable is going well at the moment.

 

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BEST BET: Race Eight Number 1 Odyssey Moon

NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 1 Euro Angel

VALUE: Race Three Number 7 It'sall Aboutharry

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 5, 7

Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 4, 13

Leg Three: 1

Leg Four: 1, 5, 8, 9

$50 Investment= 50% of the dividend if successful

 

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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