With the forecast of showers to hit Brisbane on Friday and Saturday, it is difficult to predict the track condition for this meeting. Iâ€™m going to assess Race 6, the Off the Rails handicap over 1350m on a
dead-slow track but be wary of any rain in the coming days. There doesnâ€™t look to be any speed on paper barring Fangles here which is a bit of a concern. Here is my runner by runner preview.
Crossthestart: A solid stayer who probably should have won last start after being held up on two occasions. Good stayers often run well fresh and Iâ€™m going to suggest this was the case and to look for him 3rd up or perhaps over the Winter Carnival in the weaker staying events. Doesnâ€™t want any worse than dead.
Our Lukas: Has got more ability than some of these but I couldnâ€™t have him with 60kg first up unless there was any support in the market
Barlinnie: Hasnâ€™t fired a shot this campaign and goes dreadful at the track so not for me.
Raeburn: Another good middle distance horse who may need the run first up. Although he was winning last campaign, Iâ€™ve got question marks over the quality of the opposition. Like Crossthestart, Iâ€™d be waiting for the longer races but he handles a rain-affected surface if that eventuates.
Charming Rogue: Trapped wide and over raced last start. If he gets cover and things go his way, he has the ability to win this. Just a concern over barrier 12 as Iâ€™d imagine theyâ€™ll have to go back to get in from there.
Fangles: Could be the only leader but apparently he broke his drought last start due to obtaining cover. Heâ€™s a solid chance on a good surface but you couldnâ€™t back him with confidence.
In Rehearsal: Two runs this campaign have been very good. Hasnâ€™t won in town for a while but if heâ€™s going to, this is the race
Steel Lips: Been freshened up after threatening to win but not going on with it. Theyâ€™ve had problems with his feet so Iâ€™m willing to risk here
Kneel and Raise: Runs have been okay but Iâ€™m thinking theyâ€™ll have to go back from the wide barrier. If there is any pace on, heâ€™s a chance here.
Changing Eyes: Couldnâ€™t win this as heâ€™s suspect at the trip.
Shuffle the Cash: Raced on a heavy surface last two starts so hard to assess his form. This trip is probably a little short of his best so place chance at best.
Tisani Boy: Prefers a good surface and I donâ€™t think heâ€™s capable of winning this.
Patties Mate: Only if it gets really wet.
Intertheblack: Races best here and on his day could win this. Very hard to catch though.
Selections: Iâ€™m going to suggest In Rehearsal here in a very open race. Handles all surfaces and should be great each way value. Depending on track conditions, there appear to be a few dangers.
They include Charming Rogue, Fangles and Intertheblack. Crossthestart and Kneel and Raise are the others to include in multiples.
Written by Peter Addley
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