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Group l racing in 2019 gets underway at Caulfield this Saturday where a crack field has been assembled for the CF Orr Stakes (1400m), with several blacktype races supporting in what is a fab card of racing. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

Orr Stakes Field 🏆: View the CF Orr Stakes Field

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Race 1. (12:35) The Big Screen Company Handicap 1800m

Back Me

11 Laure Me In (Bet Now: $2.45) deserves a crack at this level for Tony McEvoy. He’s been a bit of an enigma and at times has had terrible luck, but he got the win at Flemington over this trip last time, aided by a 12/10 steer from Luke Currie, though I will say the race was set up for him. Tricky gate, but thankfully should get cover, clear air and prove hard to beat.

Danger

At the time of writing this update, ex Weir runners are 1/15, so that doesn’t sound great for 5 Silentz (Bet Now: $2.60), but he’s a horse in superb form. I will say that the race was handed to him on a platter last time over 1700m here, sitting off a very slow speed and his turn of foot was just too good. He can sit off a good speed and still finish off, so no knock there…just think Laure Me In is on the up.

Long Shot

2 Amralah (Bet Now: $19.00) is such a fascinating runner. Classy animal for Rob Hickmott that is first up, having not raced since September 2017 where he looked like he was busted and retirement was on the cards. Been given the good break, now based at Caulfield and his three jumpouts leading in have been really good to the eye. Keen to see how he goes first up off a long break.

Race 2. (13:10) Kevin Hayes Stakes 1200m

Back Me

7 Aperitif (Bet Now: $4.80) is a Chris Waller trained filly who has a touch of quality about her along with race fitness. She did an enormous job at Canterbury last time I thought when working on speed into the breeze and only getting beat late by Transmitter, who had the drop on her. That filly has form around Alassio and Sylvia’s Mother, which does read very well.

Danger

All you can do is win and that is what 3 Crack The Code (Bet Now: $2.15) has done this prep, winning 2/2. Electric turn of foot to win first up at the Valley before racing over 1100m here a fortnight ago where she was wide no cover all the way and was there to be beaten but Olly lifted her late and she got the win narrowly. Got the race fitness on her side against most of these and we saw that was the winning formula with Tin Hat last Saturday.

Long Shot

2 Futooh (Bet Now: $10.00) is a Hayes/Dabernig trained filly who is resuming. This girl hasn’t raced since the Ethereal on Caulfield Cup Day when struggling at the trip on a very testing track behind Verry Elleegant. Can sprint well fresh despite being 1200m short of his best, and her recent jumpout was more than encouraging to the eye. Keen to see what she does.

Race 3. (13:45) Bellmaine Stakes 1200m

Back Me

I think the market will be the guide to several of these but I’m leaning the way of 1 I Am A Star (Bet Now: $5.00). She hasn’t raced since the Empire Rose on Derby Day when behind the speed in real bunched finish won by Shillelagh in what was a messy race. Been given a good break and I thought her jumpout at Mornington was very good to the eye. Ran a beauty first up last prep but for mine looks more forward compared to that resumption in the Spring.

Danger

5 Princess Of Queens (Bet Now: $3.90) is an absolute beauty for Mick Price and the way she’s racing, she can definitely win this. Lovely ride saw her win the Christmas Handicap at Morphettville before going to the Australia Stakes at the Valley where she somewhat overachieved I thought when fourth to Whispering Brook. She’s got a short, sharp turn of foot, and that could come to the fore here.

Long Shot

7 Just Hifalutin (Bet Now: $5.50) definitely deserves a crack at some blacktype. She’s flying this prep. Tactics were wrong here first up before going to the Flemington straight where she was ridden cold, with cover, before angling clear and savaging the line to grab the win in the last stride. Needs to improve off that to be beating some of these, but she’s got the upside along with race fitness.

Race 4. (14:20) Rubiton Stakes 1100m

Back Me

If he jumps and lands in front, 2 Nature Strip (Bet Now: $1.45) will be winning. He’s a high class 1000m sprinter. If he’s to be an elite 1200m horse, he will need things to go his way and needs to relax in the run. The recent Camperdown jumpout said he’s still doing plenty wrong because a horse went in front of him and he wanted to overdo it badly. But if in front, he’s high class and will be too speedy for these, and he did look much better at the Valley on Monday.

Danger

The old boy 3 Jungle Edge (Bet Now: $9.50) will be hoping for some serious rain to hit the track. He’s a beauty for Mick Bell who hasn’t raced since January 12 when contesting the Summer Sprint at Randwick where he attempted to lead all the way and gave a good kick but just found Single Bullet too good. Races best when he dominates from the front and any rain will help his cause.

Long Shot

4 Thermal Current (Bet Now: $16.00) is a veteran sprinter who has hard race fitness on his side and has run well at Caulfield in the past so there are a couple of ticks for him to run an okay. Ran in the Kensington down the Flemington straight last time where he ran a close up fifth to surprise winner Belwazi. Not sure that form is good enough to beat these, but could run top four with the right run.

Race 5. (14:55) Blue Diamond Prelude (Boys) 1100m

Back Me

Keen on the Team Snowden trained 3 Aussie (Bet Now: $7.50) and touch wood the $11 all in is overs. This colt trialled up well leading into his debut at Randwick where they went crazy in front and he was there riding the speed so for him to run second behind Dawn Passage was enormous considering those around him finished at the back of the field. Stable rarely get it wrong when they come here for the Blue Diamond so happy to be in his corner.

Danger

Sustained speed from the front goes a long way in two year old racing which is why you have to give respect to 2 I Am Immortal (Bet Now: $2.60), who was well backed on debut in the Preview and led all the way under a confident ride from Ben Melham. The horse still wanted to do a bit wrong but he let down strongly and won well in solid enough time. Has to improve off that but no reason to suggest he won’t.

Long Shot

1 Hawker Hurricane (Bet Now: $10.00) is a Deep Field colt resuming for Michael Moroney. This bloke hasn’t raced since debuting with a pretty sharp win in the Clockwise Classic at Ballarat, charging home from off the pace to win. Been kept on ice, dodged the Magic Millions and his recent Flemington jumpout looked quite good to the eye. Keen to see if/how he measures up.

Race 6. (15:30) Blue Diamond Prelude (Girls) 1100m

Back Me

I think most by now would know how hot I am on 5 Athiri (Bet Now: $5.00) as a two year old and I think she’ll stamp herself as the one to beat in the Blue Diamond here. Loved the debut win of hers back in December, making them look second rate, including Accession, who has gone on to win a couple of races impressively. Athiri trialled up last week at Rosehill and went like an absolute bomb in winning. Just has to handle Caulfield to be winning IMO.

Danger

Enormous respect to 1 Catch Me (Bet Now: $2.15) for the Snowden camp. She was a tough, tough winner of the Preview first up, sitting three/four wide throughout and was there to be beaten but class came to the fore late and she proved too good. How much did that take out of her leading into this? Will she bounce off it and come out all guns blazing or will she race flat and ready for a third up bounce back? Time will tell.

Long Shot

4 Lankan Star (Bet Now: $13.00) could be a knockout chance at odds for the Hayes/Dabernig team. She was hard in the market when resuming under the lights at the Valley and despite a somewhat moderate gallop, she peeled wide on the turn and let down with a lovely turn of foot to beat a good one I think in Hulk. Harder here, but she looked very good in getting the job done.

Race 7. (16:10) Autumn Stakes 1400m

Back Me

8 Secret Blaze (Bet Now: $15.00) might be better suited over further and may need the run but he certainly does have the ability. Didn’t win in four runs during the Spring, but showed enough potential, especially in the Carbine Club behind Ranier when a closing third, with a dash of unlucky as well. Werribee jumpout looked relatively good to my eye when on speed and not pressured. He’ll likely get back in the run and launch at them late. Keen to see how he goes.

Danger

1400m is short of his best, and I’m not sure Caulfield is his track, but have to give respect to probably the best horse ability wise, 1 Ringerdingding (Bet Now: $4.80). He’s on the Australian Guineas/All Star Mile path and resumes here with okay jumpouts/track gallops under the belt. Whatever he does here, he will improve on, but he has got class/quality.

Long Shot

2 Aramayo (Bet Now: $9.50) is a quality three year old for James Cummings who is first up. He had a very good Spring campaign, beaten a lip in the Spring Champion, no luck in the Vase before much the same in the Derby where he was one of the runs of Cup Week in defeat behind Extra Brut. Given a quiet trial at Randwick…think he’ll need the run, but he goes in the multiples.

Race 8. (16:50) CF Orr Stakes 1400m

Back Me

I think this race is all about 4 Kementari (Bet Now: $3.30) because if the A grade version of him turns up at Caulfield, he’ll be winning. Had a pretty frustrating 2018 with several ripping efforts but couldn’t quite get the job done at the highest level. He was tried as a miler, but I think 1600m at this level probably sees him out, so I’m hoping he’s being trained as a 1400m horse. Trial was outstanding and he appears to have come back in super order. Really confident he wins if he’s near right.

Danger

7 Land Of Plenty (Bet Now: $5.50) is a query. Now with the Maher/Eustace stable and he resumed in the Australia Stakes behind Whispering Brook. There is a couple of ways you can look at the run. One, he was first up, tight track, closed off well. The other way is yes he was solid late, but still couldn’t get past Fell Swoop, who is an okay horse but nothing special. That leaves me with doubts about him as an All Star Mile contender, and here too, but his record at Caulfield is brilliant.

Long Shot

9 Moss ‘N’ Dale (Bet Now: $31.00) is an absolute beauty for the Gelagotis team and he deserves a crack at Group l level first up before potentially heading to the All Star Mile second up. He’s been so well placed by the stable throughout his career, winning 14 of his 31 starts but with a rating of 108, he has to race at this level. First up record says no, but his recent Moe jumpout was very encouraging to the eye.

Race 9. (17:30) Carlyon Cup 1600m

Back Me

I’m keen on 4 Avilius (Bet Now: $2.60) winning the Australian Cup so hopefully can start the prep with a win here. His first prep in the Spring for James Cummings was just brilliant, graduating from a benchmark horse to running in the Melbourne Cup, which was too soon for him. Being trained as a 2000m horse this prep, the speed looks to be in the legs if the trial is any guide. Loved the way he ran through the line. First up last prep he ran sub 33 to win first up over the mile. Anything like that here and he’ll be too good.

Danger

6 Night’s Watch (Bet Now: $4.60) is a high quality animal for the Maher/Eustace team that resumes. He really came of age in the Spring, highlighted by a win in the Naturalism before a strong effort in the Caulfield Stakes, but then probably racing like a tired horse in the Caulfield Cup and was tipped out. Been given a good break and looked to work really well at Camperdown, so expect a bold run fresh.

Long Shot

I reckon the forgotten horse could be 3 Ace High (Bet Now: $10.00), who resumes for David Payne. The early part of his Spring was very good but unfortunately he found wet tracks in both the Caulfield Cup and Melbourne Cup and he hates a track with genuine give. Finds firmer footing for his return and his two trials leading in have been quite good to the eye, plus J Mac on is a god sign.

Best Bets & Quaddie Tips

BEST BET: Race Eight Number 4 Kementari

NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 5 Athiri

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 8 Secret Blaze

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 5

Leg Two: 1, 2, 7, 8

Leg Three: 4

Leg Four: 3, 4, 5, 6, 8

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