The Masters at Ascot wraps up this Saturday by the race of the Carnival, the Group l Kingston Town Classic (1800m). The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (15:24) Tourism WA Trophy 1000m
1 Fire And Rain (Bet Now: $2.60) is a very nippy customer for Paul Jordan who trialled up enormous prior to running in the Placid Ark where he couldn’t find the front and that probably sealed his fate, but he was far from disgraced behind Dance Music. He is very good when leading and controlling from the front. He’ll run well if he finds the front.
2 Market Ruler (Bet Now: $3.00) is an interesting runner. Simon Miller trains this filly who was heading down the Guineas path but after two flops to kick off the prep, the stable backed off and have freshened her up. Starting again at 1000m, has gate one, and if she produced anything near her best form, gee she would take some beating.
4 Classy Lassy (Bet Now: $4.60) is a huge watch. Debuted at Bunbury a couple of weeks ago and the impression you got after the win was wow. Won by over six lengths, led all the way and ran great time relative to the meeting. Not sure she’ll lead these, so it’ll be interesting to see how she handles that, but she does look an exciting prospect.
Race 2. (16:04) Quayclean Handicap (1MW) 1000m
9 Shackleton (Bet Now: $5.00) I like. This horse is having his second prep for Chris Gangemi after formerly racing in Sydney where he showed talent but was inconsistent. Came to WA and won his first two starts impressively before having an elevated heart rate post race and was tipped out. Trial win at Belmont looked very good and he should park off a hot speed.
6 M’Lady (Bet Now: $4.80) is an Anne King trained mare who should set the speed from the handy draw. Three weeks between runs since racing over 1100m here where she just copped too much pressure in front and tired late behind Patapus. Like her back to 1000m and if she can lead and get a cheap furlong, she’ll take some running down.
2 Danny George (Bet Now: $6.00) is a talented gelding for Brett Pope that resumes. Two of his three career wins have come first up so he’s a huge watch here. Hasn’t raced since the Winter at Belmont where he ran well early on in the prep but faded away towards the end. Looks ready to rock and roll off the back of two trials, and he’ll get back anyway so the wide draw is no negative.
Race 3. (16:44) Vale Bill Doughty Handicap (72+) 1200m
2 Candlelight Star (Bet Now: $4.50) is an eight year old for Adam Durrant who looks to be racing really well but can’t quite crack it for a win. He ran over this track/distance two weeks ago where he got well back off the pace but finished off with real purpose to just miss out on picking up The Nicconian. Don’t think the depth is anywhere near as strong and has to be respected.
4 The Nicconian (Bet Now: $4.40) is a hard fit/in form galloper for Neville Parnham who won the race mentioned above, aided by a lovely steer in front from Steve Parnham, who controlled things beautifully in front and kicked really hard. Weights and more pressure in front suggest Candlelight Star will turn the tables, but always have to respect a winner.
Interesting to see what 1 River Dance (Bet Now: $5.50) does here first up. Fenella Martin trains this gelding, who hasn’t raced since scoring an impressive win over 1200m at Belmont back in June in a race which has produced five winners. Resumes without a trial, but has class/quality and is an absolute bomb when produced on the fresh side.
Race 4. (17:24) Crown Perth Handicap (66+) 1500m
I don’t think you can go wrong backing 7 Pearl Trade (Bet Now: $9.50) each way. Alan Matthews trains this mare, who comes through the Royal Statue race from two weeks back where she got a mile off them in the run and despite wanting to lay in, she produced some very good late splits to run fourth. Has gate one, so she can sit closer, gee I think she’s a great gamble.
Most of the nation roared for a hero when Pike lifted 4 Royal Statue (Bet Now: $2.80) home here a fortnight ago. He looked as if he’d be running for second when Moe De Vega dashed clear, but the horse sprouted wings late and Pike lifted him late to win. Extra 100m is fine and the tempo looks as if it’ll be strong, so he’ll get his chance to flash again.
9 Watch Me Ney Ney (Bet Now: $11.00) could be a sleeper at odds. He too comes through the Royal Statue race from two weeks ago where he just got too far back and was held up early on in the straight but once clear, he did finish off quite nicely. If the breaks go his way this time around, I think he’s got the engine under the hood to threaten.
Race 5. (18:00) Lee Steere Classic 1400m
4 Cup Night (Bet Now: $10.00) is a talented three year old for the Bernie Miller stable who comes through the Placid Ark from two weeks ago. I was on him at the big odds and his run wasn’t too bad considering the race was dominated by those on speed, and he did clock some decent late splits. If the breaks go his way, he has a booming finale and can win.
7 Shapita (Bet Now: $4.60) is a Simon Miller trained filly who was gallant in defeat here on Cup Day in the Burgess Queen before going to the Placid Ark where Mick Dee gave the filly a peach steer just off the speed and loomed to beat stablemate Dance Music but that filly had too much class and kicked on strongly. Think she’s a clear threat.
8 Festival Miss (Bet Now: $4.80) is a Team Williams trained mare who looks to be ticking over really nicely. Comes through the Placid Ark where she just got too far back out of her ground but her finale was eye catching behind Dance Music. She has the awful racing pattern of getting out the back/running on, but she’ll just about win if she can sit closer
Race 6. (18:35) Jungle Dawn Classic 1400m
1 Celebrity Dream (Bet Now: $2.70) won this race last year and I think she repeat the dose in 2018. She did a great job in the Jungle Mist I thought a fortnight back over 1200m, getting back off the pace but finishing off her race with real purpose to run second to the well backed Misty Metal. Up to 1400m a big tick and clearly the horse to beat.
I want to give 9 Pearls And Prawns (Bet Now: $4.50) another chance. She was the mare I was keen on in the Jungle Mist but unfortunately she got caught wide no cover on speed and the early burn saw her a beaten horse on the turn. She’s much better than that, so if she can get cover in the run this time around. I think she’s a serious threat.
3 Fontainebleu (Bet Now: $21.00) has been a ripping mare for the Lindsey Smith team for a couple of years and she’ll run well here and again in a fortnight. She resumed over 1200m here a fortnight ago and was okay without setting the world on fire behind The Nicconian. Back to mares grade, with the blinkers on, she’s a definite improver.
Race 7. (19:10) Towton Cup 2200m
5 Mississippi Delta (Bet Now: $2.10) clearly looks the horse to beat. Team Williams trains this mare, who looks the best of the B Graders when it comes to Perth Cup and should continue her winning ways en route to the feature. Tatts Cup win here a fortnight ago was dominant and she won with real class and authority. Should put these way with normal luck.
10 First Affair (Bet Now: $18.00) is an Adam Durrant trained mare who is ticking over beautifully for the Perth Cup. Not sure she has the class to win that but I think she’ll run well here. She comes through the Tatts Cup behind Mississippi Delta where she got back to near last in the run and never really looked likely but was more than sound late. She’ll likely run top three again.
The tactics in the Tats Cup re 4 Royal Star (Bet Now: $19.00) were horrendous. She isn’t the type of horse to be hunted to find the lead and then keep fighting. She rightfully dropped out behind Mississippi Delta. Much better when ridden with a sit, so if that eventuates, she’ll run much better. Beating the fav though is another matter.
Race 8. (19:50) Kingston Town Classic 1800m
I’m siding with the proven performer in 1 Trap For Fools (Bet Now: $10.00). I was on Latrobe in the Mackinnon and thought he was home when presented, but Trap For Fools just wouldn’t die wondering, kept kicking in front and in the end was too tough for the international. From all reports, he arrived in Perth a tired horse, but has done well since at Lindsey Smith’s stable. He’ll likely lead this field and will give an almighty sight.
15 Arcadia Queen (Bet Now: $2.45) is the boom filly of WA racing, but could I get her as short as $3, even shorter? No. She gets the weight pull against the big boys and girls and comes here in ripping form off the back of a spank job of her rivals in the WA Guineas two weeks ago. Pike chooses her over Galaxy Star, that’s the positive. The negative is what did she beat in the Guineas? IMO, she beat scrubs. Different gravy here and I think she’ll need to go forward in the run because she can’t give Trap For Fools six lengths+ and beat him.
I can’t believe 14 Perfect Jewel (Bet Now: $8.50) is nearly $20 to win this. Her run in the Railway was one of the best in the race behind the winner, and was held up at times, which isn’t her go given she’s a momentum. Still clocked some of the fastest late splits in the race. Wouldn’t be entirely shocked if she won, so if you want to back one at odds, this is the mare.
Race 9. (20:30) Tabtouch Better Your Bet Handicap (72+) 1800m
4 Like A Butterfly (Bet Now: $5.00) gets another chance. On face value, she was terrible behind Blackline two weeks ago but the tempo was very hot and she was really never comfortable under that scenario. Don’t think they’ll go as hard this time around and the blinkers are going on for the first time, so she looks a potential sharp improver.
I wouldn’t say that 3 Miracle Man (Bet Now: $4.40) is back to his best, but he’s going well enough to be ultra competitive here. He ran in the Blackline race from a fortnight back where he was another that spotted those on speed many lengths so he did a really good job to get as close as he did to beating the Simon Miller galloper. 1800m should be fine and stable is flying.
6 Astronomite (Bet Now: $14.00) looks to be ticking over nicely. He did a power of work to chase the speed in the Blackline race and did a great job to get as close as he did but once he got there, he was gassed and paddled late when a close up fourth. Should get a more economical run this time around and is a definite knockout chance.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Seven Number 5 Mississippi Delta
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 7 Pearl Trade
LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 4 Cup Night
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 9
Leg Two: 5
Leg Three: 1, 12, 14, 15
Leg Four: 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
$50 Investment= 62.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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