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Eight races will be run and won at Ascot this Saturday for Melvista Stakes Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out eight metres for the entire circuit.

Race 1. (14:34) Amelia Park Plate 1000m

Back Me

13 My Lady Fair (Bet Now: $10.00) on top in the opener. This is a daughter of Trade Fair on debut for Lou Luciani and I must say she has really taken the eye in a couple of trials, showing good ability each time. This doesn’t look the strongest of juvenile races, she draws a good gate and Dan Staeck takes the ride, and he’s been in super form of late.

Danger

8 Maschino Miss (Bet Now: $7.00) is a David Harrison trained filly who had some specking at odds when debuting here back in November and I thought she measured up quite well behind Nocelle, an above average two year old. Tipped out and looked to trial great to the eye last week at Lark Hill. Just has to overcome the sticky draw.

Long Shot

3 Prince Of Promises (Bet Now: $13.00) is a son of Planet Five on debut for the Simon Miller team. This bloke has only had the one public trial, which came a couple of weeks back at Belmont and he didn’t really set the world on fire when beaten seven lengths into fifth spot. The thing on his side is that the stable rarely get it wrong with two year olds.

Race 2. (15:14) Marina East Waterfront Apartments By Blackburne Handicap (72+) 1600m

Back Me

2 Western Temple (Bet Now: $1.85) looks the obvious. Adam Durrant trains this gelding, who was given a lovely ride by Pike to win narrowly but impressively over 1800m here a fortnight back. Sat off the pace, waited for the gaps to appear, got the gap and dashed late. Back a furlong in trip no issue and on ability has these covered.

Danger

7 Keeper’s Son (Bet Now: $8.50) is a four year old gelding that is in ripping form at the moment and has to be included. Gave them a galloping less here at this track/distance three weeks ago when leading all the way to spank his rivals by five. Form has been franked with the runner up Middle Earth winning last week. Should be on speed again and taking some running down.

Long Shot

1 Corporate Larrikin (Bet Now: $11.00) is on the quick back up after contesting the Grandstand Cup last Saturday where he copped a bit of heat in front and the class might have been a bit rich for him but he stuck on okay behind Falcon Crest. I think he’ll bully his way to the front, and back to this level, I think he’ll give some cheek.

Race 3. (15:54) Tabtouch Handicap (1MW) 1000m

Back Me

3 Just A Fluke (Bet Now: $4.20) on top but it’s a race I’ll be steering clear of betting wise. Ran down the straight at Pinjarra last Wednesday where he was on speed and looked to travel well but just lacked the killer final punch in the end when fourth to Vandemonian. Goes good at Ascot, should be near the front and giving a sight.

Danger

6 My Demi (Bet Now: $3.70) is a David Harrison trained mare who can be a bit hit and miss at times, but the last start was too goo to ignore. She attempted to lead all the way on Good Friday here and gave a good kick but just found My Laina too good. Getting hard fit now, maps well, weight relief and Smokin Joe remains on.

Long Shot

10 Exexcel (Bet Now: $31.00) could be the sneaky one at odds to surprise. She comes through the Vandemonian race at Pinjarra mentioned above where she never really looked entirely happy racing down the straight but in the end wasn’t beaten that far. Should get a lovely run off a hot speed here and be strong late.

Race 4. (16:34) Marjorie Charleson Classic 1200m

Back Me

She rises significantly in grade and depth but I have been very impressed with the way 8 Swift Sis (Bet Now: $19.00) has gone about her business and I think she deserves a crack. Outstanding win at Kalgoorlie on Good Friday and she actually ran sub 33 for her final 600m despite sitting on speed. Not many in this field have that kind of speed in the legs and she has the hard fitness edge.

Danger

1 Dainty Tess (Bet Now: $1.85) is probably the only horse in the race who also could run those sort of times. She’s a beauty for the Dan Morton team who was tested against the best of the best during the Summer Carnival and ran some cracking races but didn’t quite measure up. Finds a very winnable resumption and she is a bomb when produced fresh.

Long Shot

5 Fancy Fox (Bet Now: $41.00) is a handy daughter of Redoutable that resumes for the Tracey Diederich team. She contested the Jungle Series during the Summer Carnival and she ran well for the most part but wasn’t quite good enough. Another that can sprint well fresh and she does have a real liking for Ascot.

Race 5. (17:13) Schweppes Handicap (66+) 1200m

Back Me

This does look a perfect race for 9 Show Honey (Bet Now: $3.20) but gee she is hard to trust. Ran over the 1000m here a fortnight back and I thought she did a really good job, closing off hard with purpose late when clear to run third to Floyd. Up to 1200m is a big tick, fitter and this race isn’t overly strong. Surely it is hers.

Danger

2 Blackline (Bet Now: $3.30) was dynamic winner over 1100m here two back before stepping up an extra 100m and just lacking the dash she showed at that 1100m win when fourth to Recoiled, beaten just under two lengths. I have her pegged as a fresh horse and the further into the prep, the more she struggles. That’s the concern, but hard to knock her current form.

Long Shot

5 Seeker (Bet Now: $20.00) is a very consistent gelding for the Lou Luciani team but gee it has been a while since he has greeted the judge. Loomed large to win last time out at Bunbury but just found Fair Nakita too good on the day. The run prior behind New Time here was a beauty and if he holds that form, he’ll go close.

Race 6. (17:57) Raconteur Stakes 1500m

Back Me

1 Abdicator (Bet Now: $2.55) is a really smart three year old for the Mcauliffe team who comes off a last start win in the Rangeview Stud Classic where he sat on speed throughout and when asked for the big effort, he went through his gears like a good horse and won impressively, with something in hand. He looks the obvious.

Danger

6 Showcase (Bet Now: $4.50) is the very interesting runner. She ran in the Natasha last Saturday and it looked as if something was amiss with her but nothing was said in the Stewards Report. Back to 1500m in the space of seven days…big ask, but I wouldn’t put it beyond the stable at all. On her best form, she’s hard to beat.

Long Shot

7 Mizlecki (Bet Now: $11.00) is a Dan Morton trained filly who is on the quick back up after racing here last Saturday over 1100m where she sat off the speed and worked home strongly to just miss out on picking up Necklet. A complete unknown at 1500m, but she does have speed in the legs, and if they go slow here, that will come to the fore.

Race 7. (18:33) Melvista Stakes 2200m

Back Me

1 Money Maher (Bet Now: $3.70) is the best horse in the race and I think his brilliance gets him home. Not sure he is a genuine stayer, but over here in WA, it’s usually the best horse of that generation that wins, which I think he is. JC Roberts win was outstanding, charging home from off the pace to win quite comfortably. Should get a lovely run from the gate and rates highly.

Danger

2 Action (Bet Now: $5.50) dodged the JC Roberts and comes to this race four weeks between runs. He comes through the Lex Piper where he got back and charged home late to just miss out on picking up Miracle Mean, beaten just under a length. I think he’ll have no issue running 2200m and he’s of course in the right stable.

Long Shot

The best stayer I think in this race is 12 Snitzatune (Bet Now: $18.00) for Fred Kersley, but he does lack the class given he is still a maiden. His run in the JC Roberts was outstanding I thought, getting back and working home with real purpose when eventually clear to run fourth to Money Maher. He’ll eat up 2200m and Fred Kersley is a master.

Race 8. (19:10) Argonaut Corporate Advisors & Stockbrokers Handicap (1MW) 1400m

Back Me

6 Broker (Bet Now: $4.50) looks a great get out bet. He is low flying at the moment and is hard fit/in form after bolting up to win here on Good Friday, aided by an absolute peach from Johnston-Porter. He was a few weeks between runs that day also so he should have good improvement and prove hard to hold out.

Danger

4 Sixpence Spent (Bet Now: $4.30) is a fortnight between runs since racing at this track/distance where he got held up in a pocket and got clear but probably not soon enough when a close up third to Greco. Bit more depth here, but he’s racing so well at the moment and deserves a city win. He’ll go close.

Long Shot

1 Run Liam Run (Bet Now: $8.50) is the class runner of the field and I reckon back in grade, he can run a beauty. He ran over 1200m here a fortnight back and worked home well from the back behind Recoiled in a race which had far more depth than what is engaged here. The claim for Fitzgerald helps and I think he’ll get 1400m.

Best Bets & Quaddie Tips

BEST BET: Race Five Number 9 Show Honey

NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 2 Western Temple

VALUE: Race Four Number 8 Swift Sis

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 2, 4, 5, 6, 9

Leg Two: 1, 3, 6, 7, 8

Leg Three: 1, 2, 5, 12

Leg Four: 1, 4, 6, 9

$50 Investment= 12.50% of the dividend if successful

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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