Eagle Farm will host Queensland’s feature race meeting on Saturday with the main race being the Listed Queensland Cup which see’s Ibicenco as the clear favourite in the race.
The current condition of the track is heavy but the forecast is for some sunshine so there may be an upgrade to a slow at best.
Race One: The Aiw Printlink Hcp 1500m Form Guide
Back Me: You Did What did give much of an effort last week coming up against the impressive Hallside Rose. Should bounce back here and handle the heavy conditions.
Don’t Back Me: Architect had it tough last start after missing the kick and over raced. This pattern of missing the jump is costing him races and we suggest to not back due to this.
Big Danger: Secret Harmony has been running on well in his three career starts. Getting out to the 1500m this time out will work in his favour.He has placed behind You Did What and and comes in 2.5kgs lighter on Saturday. Will be in the finishing strongly.
Roughie: Decillion placed on a heavy track last time out when working home well. The step up in distance will suit and makes her a rough chance.
Race Two: Robert Bax & Associates Mdn 1400m Form Guide
Back Me: Southerly is having his fourth run this preparation and looks suited to run out the 1400m. Running on strongly last start, will handle the heavy track and should win this comfortably.
Don’t Back Me: Tiger Jet is having his first start in heavy conditions and is a query at handling the track. Drawn inside he won’t have much running room on the turn. He was the odds on favourite last time out and didn’t perform well enough to win. Won’t be breaking his maiden status on Saturday
Westbrook tired late last start at rockhampton. This former New Zealander is having his third run from a break and should be fit for this.
Expect a nice race on the speed and could prove hard to run down.
Roughie: Hitman Harry missed the jump last time out and ran wide. Drawn in today should see him get a better run and could get up at odds.
Race Three: Hlb Mann Judd Plate (c6) 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: Carmine King has four wins over 1200m and should be adding another win to this tally on Saturday. He will go forward from barrier 7 and be in the first few runners proving too hard to chase down late.
Don’t Back Me: Avaladyluck is third up on Saturday and is unplaced when racing third up from two attempts. Although she has been running on in her last two starts, based on the third up statistic she won’t be winning on Saturday
Big Danger: Style is first up on Saturday and has won doing so. Recently winning a trial in slow conditions suggests she will handle the heavy track conditions. She will be on the speed and will give our on top tip carmine King a good battle.
Roughie: Confident Star is coming out of a much stronger race in the Listed Lightning Handicap. He should be leading and this might be a surprise result
Race Four: Horizon Superannuation (c6) 1826m Form Guide
Back Me: Tripe Oh was buried on the rails at Randwick last start and weaved a passage to finish within 1L of the winner.
Drawn better today and having won on a heavy track, he is our on top tip and should be winning this.
Don’t Back Me: Viking heart is untried over this distance and it will most likely not suit. Hit 3 wins have come over 1350m and has never won in the track conditions. Won’t be winning on Saturday
Big Danger: Planetarium went around in the Ipswich Cup last time out and was too outclassed. Dropping back in class on Saturday and back in distance are factors that work in his favour to win this.
Roughie: Empress Me will appreciate the step up in distance and with a 2kg claim from apprentice Priscilla Schmidt she will be running on strongly.
Race Five: Bank Of Qld New Farm (bm85) 1500m Form Guide
Back Me: Tax Evader goes into the race with by far the best form lines and looks to have too much class against this field.
Don’t Back Me: Ballybit will be having his first Australian start on Saturday and he has a poor first up record with five starts for just the one second placing.
Big Danger: Double Impact will go into the race with 57kg including the claim and the form lines he is coming through look very strong. Should get a perfect run from barrier 2 and looks hard to beat.
Roughie: Playitstraight went close last start and should do so again. Thought he was at massive odds of $14 in the market and should be at half that quote.
Race Six: Bmag Queensland Cup 3200m Form Guide
Back Me: Ibicenco is coming out of the Group 3 Tattersells Cup where he started to do his best work late after settling midfield. Stepping up to 2400m on Saturday will see him stretch his legs out. Although carrying 59kgs he should be too classy for this field.
Don’t Back Me: Turner Bayou has been backed into second favourite coming off a tough loss at Sandown carrying 60kgs. Although he drops 6kgs today he has been racing in much weaker company and won’t make an impression.
Big Danger: Verdant is drawn wide for this but this suits as he normally goes back in the field. Last start he missed the jump and worked home wide.
With a nice get away on Saturday and a good run approaching the turn, expect him to be in the finish.
Roughie: Buffet is a front runner who can get away with a cheeky run out front on Saturday. If the back markers wait too long to make their move he could pinch this.
Race Seven: Pmp Limited Ascot Hcp 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: Metallurgical has been a tad disappointing of late although he gets his chance on Saturday in the distance and track he runs his best at. Should get the run of the race from barrier 3 and go close at big odds.
Don’t Back Me: Benny’s Buttons has had nine starts at the track for just the one win which is a concern. He meets a very good field on Saturday and i doubt he can change that strike rate.
Big Danger: Doubtfilly has been contesting some very good races of late and finds a much easier field here and she is very well suited to win. Will get the run of the race from barrier 2 and be hard to beat.
Roughie: Griffon at his best would win this well although he has been racing out of form of late. Gets back in his races and if there is any speed in the race he will be finishing strongly late.
Race Eight: Pmp Distribution Letterbox Hcp 1400m Form Guide
Back Me: Fermet is third up on Saturday and has won doing so. A 2kg claim from apprentice jockey Kirk Matheson should see him go forward and prove hard to run down.
Don’t Back Me: Seen is a former Victorian horse only having one run in it’s career. It won on the wet and is in the market due to this, however will be too outclassed on Saturday.
Big Danger: Little Long Horn drops down in weight here and has been handling the heavy conditions. He has not been getting much luck being wide in running.
Drawn in on Saturday he should be coming into the race at the right time and go close.
Roughie: Dansal weaved his way through the runners last start to finish within 2L of the winners. Jockey Jim Bynre retains the ride and starting from barrier one could be cutting the corner on the turn to pinch this.
Best Bet: Race 4 Number 6 Triple Oh
Next Best: Race 5 Number 10 Tax Evader
Best Roughie: Race 7 Number 10 Metallurgical
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