A strong card of racing has been assembled for Randwick this Saturday, with the feature race being the $100,000 Listed June Stakes (1100m). The weather is fine, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.
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Race One (12:05pm) : Australian Jewellery Liquidators Plate 1100m: Form Guide
Back Me: It’ll be a surprise if Holler (Best Odds: $1.70) gets rolled here. He was elevated to Slipper favouritism after his slick debut win over this track/distance in January, leading all the way and bolting up in impressive fashion. He didn’t go to the Slipper. He was spelled and trialled well recently. Looks the obvious choice.
Big Danger: Coys (Best Odds: $10.00) backed up his eye catcher at Canterbury with a strong win last time out here over 1200m on a bog surface. He will be rock hard fit after that run, handles Randwick, handles all conditions…he is a definite chance here.
Roughie: Spill The Beans (Best Odds: $8.00) trialled really well at Warwick Farm before leading all the way at Gosford, beating home a smart Team Hawkes runner in the shape of Emartee, who franked the form by running well earlier in the week at Goulburn. He ran smart time, looks above average and looks hard to beat here.
Race Two (12:40pm) : Decorative Events & Exhibitions Handicap (79) 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: Pretty keen here on Liberty Island (Best Odds: $4.40). He was disappointing first up behind Kaepernick when running second last, so Chris Waller sent him back to the midweeks, and despite a distinct bias towards leaders and horses near the rail, he came from the back and out wide to score a big win. He has so much upside and Danny Beasley is riding in great form. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: In A Wink (Best Odds: $9.00) started bolters oddds in the Denise’s Joy (1100m) yet sat off a strong speed, burst through a gap and clung on to score a surprise Stakes win. Drops back to this grade now, and as such rises in weight, but it’s hard to ignore a last start Stakes winner in a benchmark 79.
Roughie: Disgraceful (Best Odds: $11.00) also ran during the Scone Carnival and tried very hard in a Class 2 when a close second to stablemate Avonaco, beaten a lip in a bob of the head finish. His two wins prior to that were very sharp, and he comes here now on the limit on a track with some give in it, which he loves.
Race Three (1:15pm) : Randwick City Council Handicap (94) 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: Pajaro (Best Odds: $4.80) on top for me here. He trialled really well behind Rose Of Choice prior to resuming in the Ortensia at Scone when working home very strongly from the back to run seventh, beaten just under three lengths. He produced a similar first up run last time in, then ran flat second up but he was ridden upside down. He is best when ridden with cover, he runs very well on his home track and gets in on the limit. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: The big watch horse is clearly Magic Hurricane (Best Odds: $5.50), who makes his Australian debut for Godolphin. He had a pretty tidy record when racing in England and makes his debut down under after a couple of solid trials. The betting suggests he is the one, and with plunges like this when associated with Godolphin, they more often than not win.
Roughie: The interesting runner here is Pythagorean (Best Odds: $21.00) for Chris Waller. He started his prep in Melbourne and while he looked great at the jump outs, he was pathetic on raceday. The move to Sydney could spark him into form, because the jump outs did suggest he has returned in fantastic order.
Race Four (1:50pm) : Courtenay House Handicap (78) 2000m: Form Guide
Back Me: Word Of Mouth (Best Odds: $5.50) on top for me here. His last two runs at Flemington have been excellent behind Killarney Kid and Magicool respectively, and that form does look strong with the latter going around as a chance in the Queensland Derby. Stays at the 2000m now, light weight and Taylor Marshall has had previous success when riding for the Corstens. Hard to beat here.
Big Danger: Loophole (Best Odds: $5.50) ran over 1800m last time out here and worked home strongly from the back to finish fourth to in form galloper Sons Of John, beaten just under three lengths. Back up to 2000m looks ideal and Avdulla is having a really good run when steering Waller horses in recent times.
Roughie: Thurston (Best Odds: $7.50) ran in the stayers race during the Scone Carnival over 2200m and stuck on pretty well when fourth to bolter Leaders Road, beaten just under two lengths. He has been up for a while now, but still retains a good enthusiasm for his racing, and will only carry 52kg here after the claim for Lester Grace, who is riding very well at the moment.
Race Five (2:25pm) : Sydney Airport Stayers Cup 3200m: Form Guide
Back Me: Really tough race to sort out. Our Voodoo Prince (Best Odds: $3.20) hasn’t won in a long time, but he found some form in the McKell Cup when running third, beaten a couple of lengths. He is very hard to follow, and carries top weight, but really, on his best form, he’d spank these. Just whether he produces it here is the problem and the gamble you have to take.
Big Danger: Husson Choice (Best Odds: $4.80) rises significantly in grade after running at Canberra over 2000m last Friday where he just got too far back and then took an absolute eternity to wind up, so that run does suggest that he’ll relish the extra distance and is the horse in the race with the most upside.
Roughie: Lovethebeaches (Best Odds: $11.00) is a gritty staying mare for Newcastle trainer Steve Hodge. She won well two back over 2600m at Gosford then stepped back to 2100m and struggled. She looks as though she will run 3200m, and though she’s only got one gear, she will keep at it all day.
Race Six (3:05pm) : June Stakes 1100m: Form Guide
Back Me: Taking on Avoid Lightning (Best Odds: $4.00) here due to the weight and instead going for one that has caught my eye at the trials, Decision Time. His two runs during the Autumn were terrible, then he went to Scone for the Ortensia and whacked away when midfield to That’s A Good Idea. He was sent back to the trials, and he looked outstanding in winning a Warwick Farm trial last Friday, winning by a space under a hold. This is the easiest race he has contested at Randwick since 2013, and that followed a strong sixth behind Black Caviar in the T J Smith. Taking a gamble he is back to his best.
Big Danger: Target In Sight (Best Odds: $5.50) was given an absolute peach steer from McDonald in the Ortensia yet even he couldn’t get the horse to go past That’s A Good Idea, who franked the form by running a beauty last week in the QTC Cup. His record at Randwick is fantastic, and a fast tempo should suit him perfectly.
Roughie: The value runner here at odds is Oakfield Commands (Best Odds: $26.00), ho is now with Todd Howlett after formerly being with Darren Smith. He has a fabulous record at the track and his recent trial win at Gosford was very sharp on a morning where the trial form has really stood up, so keep an eye on market moves with him.
Race Seven (3:45pm) : Mark Moran Handicap (80) 1200m: Form Guide
Back Me: Private Secretary (Best Odds: $2.70) on top for me here. She was easy in betting when racing in the Ortensia yet she worked home very strongly when sixth to That’s A Good Idea, beaten just over two lengths. This is obviously a significant drop in grade for her, she looks suited by the likely good tempo and should prove hard to beat.
Big Danger: Idance (Best Odds: $6.00) resumes here for Team Hawkes after a three run Summer prep, which resulted in a win and second which followed a first up fifth over this track/distance, beaten narrowly by Bold Circle. His trial last Friday at Warwick Farm behind Mirage was excellent, the stable is in form and he handles all conditions.
Roughie: Forget (Best Odds: $13.00) resumed for Kim Waugh over this track/distance and was pretty disappointing when fifth to God’s In Him, but in his defence, he was near the inside, which wasn’t really the best place to be. He sprinted brilliantly to win second up last time in, so that won’t be an excuse here. The excuse could be that he has a horrendous record at Randwick, but I’ll take a chance with him.
Race Eight (4:25pm) : Eastern Heart Clinic Handicap (85) 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: The drop in grade should suit All Cerise (Best Odds: $12.00). She worked home well behind Medcaut and finished alongside Hollywood Bound. She then went to the Dark Jewel at Scone and plugged away okay behind impressive winner Divertire. She can be very good on her day, but those days have been rare, so she is hard to trust, but it’s a pretty even race, so I’ll take a chance with her.
Big Danger: Electric Power (Best Odds: $5.50) ran a beauty in the Provincial Championship Final behind Sure And Fast before going to Canterbury, and thanks to a lovely ride by Sam Clenton, the mare burst through a gap to charge home and get the bikkies. She has a tidy record at the track, as well as at 1200m and is pretty versatile when it comes to track conditions.
Roughie: Just As Cosmic (Best Odds: $71.00) really struggled in the conditions last time out at Hawkesbury behind Oxfort Poet, finishing second last, beaten 15 lengths. The mare has been given a little break and she looked really sharp in a trial win at Warwick Farm last Friday. 1400m is short of her best, but the trial win really caught my eye and she could be a knockout horse at odds.
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BEST BET: Race Two Number 4 Liberty Island
NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 4 Private Secretary
VALUE: Race Eight Number 6 All Cerise
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 3, 6, 7, 8
Leg Two: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Leg Three: 3, 4, 5, 7
Leg Four: 3, 5, 6, 7, 10, 11, 12
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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