Morphettville is where South Australian racing takes place this Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out thirteen metres from the 1200m-Winning Post; Out nine metres for the remainder.
Race One (13:10) : Exelsuper Maiden Plate 1200m:
Back Me: 2 Battle Brewing (Best Odds: $2.20) resumed over this track/distance a fortnight back in a maiden and tried hard but couldn’t hold out the brilliant finishing burst of Times Past, who was very impressive. He should improve nicely off that and strikes a very winnable race.
Big Danger: 12 Swimmer (Best Odds: $6.50) debuts here for the Kennewell camp who is a daughter of Bernadini. One that hasn’t trialled publicly, but the stable are having a good run with their first starters and this race doesn’t carry much depth.
Roughie: 3 Carson (Best Odds: $9.00) is on debut here for Phillip Stokes. He is a well bred colt by Keeper who didn’t set the world on fire in a recent trial here, but you always have to respect these Phillip Stokes first starters.
Race Two (13:48) : UBET Adelaide Cup March 14 Handicap (64) 1600m:
Back Me: 6 Mail It In (Best Odds: $4.80) is a maiden of nine starts, but he is a talented type. He ran in a maiden here a fortnight and worked home alright without threatening when fifth to impressive winner Times Past. If the track is firmer, he will take some beating here
Big Danger: 2 Times Past (Best Odds: $2.75) was a former Godolphin galloper who made his SA debut for Kylie Huxtable in a 1200m maiden here a fortnight back in that race mentioned above, and his final 150m was outstanding, really savaging the line. He’ll eat up the mile and should only improve off that.
Roughie: 5 Dylan Jack (Best Odds: $13.00) brokethrough for a well deserved maiden win at Murray Bridge on Australia Day, and though he didn’t beat much, he was strong late, so no issues with him running the mile, and despite the rise in grade, I think he is a must for exotics.
Race Three (14:23) : Cycling For Simone Sprint 1000m:
Back Me: 2 Swinging Arms (Best Odds: $2.75) resumes here. He hasn’t raced since November when running a close up third to Jennyfromtheblock, beaten just over a length. He loves racing fresh and this is a very winnable first up assignment.
Big Danger: 4 Stratumsphere (Best Odds: $4.00) has been given a five week freshen up since failing down the Flemington straight in the Standish behind Rough Justice. Yet to miss a place in six runs at this track and this is a big, big drop in grade.
Roughie: 1 Dylanson (Best Odds: $13.00) is a talented stayer that resumes for Phillip Stokes. He didn’t really fire a shot in the Spring in four runs, and no trials leading in, but he has class and is a two time first up winner.
Race Four (15:00) : Quayclean Handicap (70) 1540m:
Back Me: There has been plenty to like about the way 8 Pinkies Girl (Best Odds: $3.00) has gone about her business in two runs under Phillip Stokes. Both starts, both wins, have come at Gawler. First up she was backed as if unbeatable, and duly won, then went around last Wednesday and was awfully impressive. This is a good test for her, but she looks a very progressive type.
Big Danger: 7 Regal Magnus (Best Odds: $4.40) ran over the mile here two weeks back where she sat on speed and looked home until the final couple of strides when nailed by Ilovewhatsebrings. She was on the seven day back and was 1200m to 1600m, so the effort was great. Better off here and should take some beating.
Roughie: 1 Generous Beau (Best Odds: $21.00) ran over the mile here last time out and worked home alright at odds when fourth to Spiritofendeavour, beaten four lengths. Meets the winner 2.5kg better off here, and despite drawing wide, he is a contender for sure in a field depleted by scratchings.
Race Five (15:37) : Farmers Iced Union Coffee Handicap (82) 2500m:
Back Me: 9 Bella Sposa (Best Odds: $13.00) was performing very well at the provincials before stepping up to the city over 2000m here a fortnight back when finding the line strongly late under hard riding when a close up third to Insuperable. She’ll stay all day, so the step up to 2500m will be perfect, and despite the rise in depth, she is a stayer, so I’ll be on her back each-way.
Big Danger: 2 Tunes (Best Odds: $5.50) ran over 2600m here last time out and stuck on well when second to Gravitational. Meets that horse 1.5kg better off at the weights, and that is a definite advantage for mine. He has been up for a long time, but continues to race well, so he is a major threat.
Roughie: 8 Robocop (Best Odds: $15.00) was backed at odds when racing in the Strathalbyn Cup last time out but was a bit disappointing IMO when running seventh to Sandhill Star. This looks more his go, and his form prior was excellent.
Race Six (16:17) : Www.cyclingforsimone.com Handicap (70) 1000m:
Back Me: 9 Rhinestone Ruby (Best Odds: $6.00) ran second in that race mentioned above, and her effort was very good considering she had to come wider and from near last. Loomed to win but just felt the pinch late and couldn’t quite grab Regal Spur. If she can a drag into the race, or some sort of cover, she’ll go very close to knocking this field off.
Big Danger: 2 Ship’s Captain (Best Odds: $11.00) drifted in betting when racing over 1200m here last time out and that market fluc was spot on when he finished down the track behind Alcobro. Back in trip looks ideal and this isn’t the strongest race.
Roughie: 1 El Prado Gold (Best Odds: $18.00) resumed over 900m at Murray Bridge and was just run off his legs when fifth to Snip Of Magic, beaten three lengths. He has shown previously he can perform well in town, and as stated earlier, this isn’t the strongest Saturday race going around.
Race Seven (16:57) : Hughes Chauffeured Limousines Handicap 1800m:
Back Me: 1 Gamblin’ Guru (Best Odds: $4.60) resumed over the mile here a fortnight back and closed off well but couldn’t quite pick up Jim’s Journey, who was heavily backed late. Extra trip is ideal, fitter, has more upside and has class.
Big Danger: 3 Kushadasi (Best Odds: $7.00) comes back in trip slightly after contesting the Strathalbyn Cup (2038m) last start where he just couldn’t get into the race from the back when finishing sixth to Sandhill Star, beaten just over six lengths. This looks more suitable for him, and he is a Group l winner, so class will carry him a long way.
Roughie: 4 Hioctdane (Best Odds: $31.00) also comes through the Strathalbyn Cup (2038m) where he ran fifth, beaten just over four lengths. He was only third up there, so he has upside and returns to a track where he is a five time winner.
Race Eight (17:37) : UBET Handicap (75) 1200m:
Back Me: 3 Duckworth (Best Odds: $8.00) was given a lovely ride by Cartwright to win over this track/distance three weeks back, sitting off the speed before pouncing on the lead and kicking on strongly. Looks the clear horse to beat.
Big Danger: 13 Pepper The Pin (Best Odds: $6.00) ran over this track/distance a couple of weeks back and stuck to the task quite gamely I thought when running third to Burst Away. Looks well weighted here after the claim for Zac Spain, draws well and is hard fit.
Roughie: 11 Cool Maverick (Best Odds: $6.50) has been up for a long time but continues to race quite well. He ran over this track/distance a couple of weeks back when running fourth to impressive winner Burst Away. This looks slightly easier, draws well and Pannell is back on.
BEST BET: Race Eight Number 3 Duckworth
NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 1 Gamblin' Guru
VALUE: Race Five Number 9 Bella Sposa
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, 9
Leg Two: 1, 2, 5, 7, 9
Leg Three: 1, 3, 4, 5, 6
Leg Four: 2, 3, 8, 11, 13, 14
$50 Investment= 5.55% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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