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Cup Day racing in Sydney heads to Randwick for a nine race card. The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.

Race 1. (11:50) Schweppes Handicap (70) 1800m

Back Me

Not jumping up and down about the race in terms of quality, but at the prices, I think 4 Stardome (Bet Now: $5.00) is the clear overs at $5.5-$6 at the time of writing. He was a drifter in betting at Canterbury over the 1550m but despite being the first under pressure, he was strongest on the line and proved too good. Up to 1800m on the bigger off a win looks an ideal recipe.

Danger

2 Orcein (Bet Now: $4.00) got the maiden win three back at Warwick Farm before a placing here behind Quackerjack. He then ran on Wednesday on the Kensington track and was beaten a pimple by stablemate Romani Girl. I think back up in trip will suit and gets the winkers on, hopefully to sharpen him up and attack the line.

Long Shot

6 Ulusaba (Bet Now: $5.50) should lead these for fun. He did that two back when breaking the maiden status at Wyong before racing over the mile here where he got the lead and looked to do it well but was outclassed behind Quackerjack. I think if he can get a cheap furlong or two in front, he could take some catching.

Race 2. (12:25) The Agency Property Management Handicap 1400m

Back Me

I think at the odds, 9 Georgia Hit (Bet Now: $13.00) is worth a throw at the stumps. Thought she was good first up behind Colombina before going to the 1300m at Warwick Farm where on face value she was disappointing behind Singing Sands but did pull up 2/5 lame. Firmer footing and gate one helps her cause and I could back her 1×3 at the double figures.

Danger

1 Napoleon Solo (Bet Now: $1.75) is a deserving favourite but could I get him odds on? No. Plain resumption behind Roheryn before getting on firmer ground and being pipped late by the promising Adana. That does look good form for this, but he needs to reproduce that and at red figures, although a winning chance clearly, I couldn’t touch at the odds.

Long Shot

10 Mandalong One Up (Bet Now: $21.00) is a Gary Nickson trained filly who resumed on the Kensington and despite having her chance in the end, she didn’t get much luck early on in the straight behind the well bred and heavily supported Brazilica. Had trialled up really well prior so I think give her another chance.

Race 3. (13:00) Camera House Plate 1200m

Back Me

He’s not one of mine that I could dive into but it looks an ideal race for 2 Canyonero (Bet Now: $6.50). Mark Newnham trains this son of Pierro, who resumed over 1000m at Wyong and I’m just not sure that track and that surface suited him 100% when second to Katie Did It. Prefer him at 1200m+ and rolling on speed, which is what should happen from the gate.

Danger

7 Snips (Bet Now: $5.50) is a David Pfieffer trained colt who comes through a 1200m maiden at Wyong where he held the rail on speed and copped a bit of pressure so I thought he was gallant in defeat when second to Flamin’ Al. Best chance for him, IMO, would be to track up Canyonero and have last look off his back. Don’t think he can cop pressure and win.

Long Shot

9 Zouologist (Bet Now: $12.00) is a son of Zoustar on debut for the Chris Waller stable. This bloke has only had the one trial, which came a couple of weeks back on the Warwick Farm Synthetic when running third and seemingly going about his business nicely. Always have to be on guard with these Waller first starters.

Race 4. (13:35) APN Outdoor Handicap (70) 2400m

Back Me

Bit of a nothing race. The most obvious and likely safest is 4 Shangani Patrol (Bet Now: $2.00). Attempted to lead all the way over 2400m at Warwick Farm last time out and gave a really good kick in front but couldn’t quite see it out when pipped by Tamarack. Depth isn’t as strong I don’t think and he can control things from the front once again.

Danger

Up to 2400m should suit the Chris Waller trained 3 Plagiarist (Bet Now: $4.40). He ran over 1900m at Canterbury a couple of Friday nights back and was pretty good I thought when a close up fourth to stablemate Semper Fidelis. He’s bred to get 2400m and is racing as if it will be ideal. Looks the key danger.

Long Shot

5 Heartlet (Bet Now: $8.00) is a Kerry Parker trained mare who took an absolute eternity to break the maiden but it came two back at Wyong before going to her home track at Kembla where she tried hard when a close up third to Plea Bargain. The trip is certainly no issue for her and she gets good weight relief from that outing.

Race 5. (14:20) The Agency Real Estate Handicap (70) 1400m

Back Me

I think she’s the best at Randwick is 9 Campari (Bet Now: $5.00). I know most were keen on her last time at Warwick Farm off an impressive maiden win, but that triumph was on very testing ground and I think she was just flat. Firmer footing, third up, gate one and if the track is playing fair, clearly the horse to beat.

Danger

3 Laussel (Bet Now: $4.00) is a daughter of Animal Kingdom resuming for James Cummings. This girl somewhat came of age last time in, winning a couple of races and being competitive at Saturday level. Resumes with just one soft trial at Warwick Farm and the early market moves say she’ll need the run, but she’s got quality.

Long Shot

Looking for 6 Kuiper Belt (Bet Now: $14.00) to be hitting the line late. John Thompson trains this Waratah Thoroughbreds stayer, who did a good job when last in work, winning a couple of races over a trip. Think he’ll need the run, but I must say he looked quite good in a 1200m trial here. Not sure he has the speed in the legs but will be doing his best work late.

Race 6. (15:40) The Agency Projects Choisir Handicap 1100m

Back Me

Strong race but but just giving the nod to 7 Isaurian (Bet Now: $5.00). James Cummings trains this quality four year old, who is over a month between runs since racing over the 1200m at Moonee Valley where he attempted to lead all the way and gave a decent enough kick but was beaten by Moonlover, who has since gone on to win Stakes race. The break between runs seems to be the key to him and he is genuine.

Danger

1 Tactical Advantage (Bet Now: $3.30) has done an outstanding job this time in for Kris Lees and is a clear threat. He hasn’t raced since the Sydney Stakes where he didn’t appear 100% happy on the bog surface but was brave in defeat behind Pierata. That’s the A1 form for this. Just how much upside is left and lumping 61kg.

Long Shot

4 Bassett (Bet Now: $21.00) looks the one at silly odds. This Mick Price trained sprinter resumed over 1200m on Blue Sapphire Day at Caulfield and didn’t do much behind Brave Song but that race looked to have good depth to it. The stable don’t mind a hit and run mission to Sydney and at his best, he’s up to these.

Race 7. (16:25) Heineken 3 Handicap (74) 1200m

Back Me

I’ll take a chance on 13 Pembroke Castle (Bet Now: $6.50), who comes back to racing as a gelding for Chris Waller. He had shown good city talent in the past but at times he was mind was elsewhere hence the operation. The operation worked with Adana. Can it work with this horse? Gate one and down in the weights, he appeals.

Danger

4 Deity (Bet Now: $5.50) is a handy mare for James Cummings who gave them a galloping lesson two back at Warwick Farm before racing on the Kensington where she pulled up with a poor post race recovery behind Chapelco in a race which has turned out to be a good form reference. Off the Warwick Farm win, she’s in the game.

Long Shot

5 Let’s Party Marty (Bet Now: $10.00) is a former David Vandyke galloper who had his first run for John Thompson over 1100m on the Kensington track and despite never really being a threat, I thought he was quite good in defeat behind Fox Swift. He’s got the talent to win. Does he want to win? You’ll find out here.

Race 8. (17:05) Tab.com.au Handicap (70) 1300m

Back Me

7 Ballet Baby (Bet Now: $5.00) on top but it’s a race I can’t really jump up and down about with confidence. This mare resumed over 1200m at Warwick Farm at the midweeks where she was somewhat unwanted in betting but was very good late when second to the above average Pohutukawa. Should take good improvement from that and looks one of the more obvious.

Danger

5 Nai’a (Bet Now: $6.00) was 2/5 lame two back at Warwick Farm in a total forgive prior to racing on the Kensington track here where she was much better, running a close up third to Vinnie Power. There has been good early market support for her and against the track pattern last time, she was one of the better runs of the day. Have to respect her.

Long Shot

13 Classic Princess (Bet Now: $17.00) is a daughter of Choisir for Gary Moore who was confidently backed when getting the job done last time at the Provincials, winning over 1300m at Newcastle. The form is mixed from that race but there has been a winner from it. Perhaps she’s one for wider exotics.

Race 9. (17:40) 2019 Membership Handicap (76) 1600m

Back Me

One last chance for 7 Omineca (Bet Now: $9.00). Was red hot on him when he ran under the lights at Canterbury but never looked likely and Tommy Berry said he didn’t like the horse’s action the last 700m. Ordered to trial and looked well enough to my eye on Friday. He’ll beat these if he brings the best version.

Danger

I think the likely firmer footing and bigger track could suit the James Cummings trained 12 Watchdog (Bet Now: $7.00). He probably did a bit too much work near the speed last time at Warwick Farm and didn’t let down on the sticky surface but wasn’t beaten far behind a promising type in Red Currant. Better set up here. Hopefully can take cover.

Long Shot

9 Lord Kingsley (Bet Now: $27.00) is a handy galloper for Lauri Wray who resumed under the lights at Canterbury in the race that Omineca dropped out of. The race was won by Danzie but on the night it was a clear bias towards those on speed/rail. This bloke was first up and in need of the run. Perhaps on the bigger track, with cover and clear air, he can be more effective.

Best Bets & Quaddie Tips

BEST BET: Race Five Number 9 Campari

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 4 Stardome

LONG SHOT: Race Two Number 9 Georgia Hit

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 5, 7

Leg Two: 4, 5, 6, 13

Leg Three: 4, 5, 7, 13

Leg Four: 7, 9, 11, 12, 16

$50 Investment= 12.50% of the dividend if successful

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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