5/9/2020 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Morphettville

The Parks track at Morphettville will play host to a nine race card on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out six metres from the 1000m-Winning Post; Out four metres for the remainder.

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2 Aqueduct (Bet Now: $1.75) is a Michael Hickmott trained gelding that made his Australian debut at Murray Bridge a few weeks ago over 1400m when leading throughout and he didn’t exactly go slow (First 800m in 47.01), and he spanked his rivals in a very impressive win. I think he only has to reproduce that effort here to win again.

4 Scorpius (Bet Now: $3.90) is a Price/Kent trained three year old that is well suited at this sort of level. Had a freshen up prior to racing over 1300m at Sandown where he was hooked back to near last from the wide gate and couldn’t get involved. Smaller field, senior jock on and stable rarely misfire when bringing them to SA.

3 Royalty (Bet Now: $3.70) is racing very well this time in for Team McEvoy and is ready to win again. Impressive win at Murray Bridge two back before racing there again four weeks ago and looked the winner, but was nabbed near the peg by I’m A Legend. The key seems to be keeping him to 1200m and has been very effective at six furlongs so 1400m here is interesting. But he’s got the class to be hard to beat.

Going the way of 5 Seemingly Discreet (Bet Now: $2.40), who resumes for the Philip Stokes stable. This mare had a really good Summer/Autumn, winning four on the bounce before contesting the SA Sprint Final where she was very good from the back behind Be My Star. Jumped out super at Morphettville a couple of weeks ago and looks ready to go.

1 Brimarvi Venero (Bet Now: $2.30) is five weeks between runs for Sam Burford since bolting up at this track/distance, with the blinkers seemingly sharpening him right up. Doesn’t get Tourneur, but does get the claim for Sophie Logan and is a leading chance.

With a fast tempo on the cards, 2 Columbia (Bet Now: $6.50) comes right into play. Four weeks between runs since racing over 1000m at Murray Bridge when back in the run and finished off quite strongly when third to Star Hills. Lone start on the Parks track saw him win and with the speed in front, he’ll be strong late.

I’m with 4 Mileva (Bet Now: $4.00) but I’d watch the market trends before betting. I say that because she is first up since January when blitzing them at Murray Bridge and the stable was keen to take her to Melbourne for a crack at the Blue Diamond. That plan was aborted, was prepping up for the Adelaide Carnival but that was aborted too. Now back again and looked sharp in a recent jumpout win. Think she’s ready to go, but watch the market.

6 Quietly Discreet (Bet Now: $3.10) is a key threat for me. Daughter of Exceed And Excel that resumes for Phillip Stokes, having not raced since her debut back in November when backed as if unbeatable but was very raw and new to the caper when third to Unstoppabelle, who is Stakes performed, so the form reads well and her trial/jumpout was quite good.

1 Great Leveller (Bet Now: $6.50) is a son of Stratum that resumes for the Jon O’Connor team. This three year old had a two run prep on this track to start his career during the Autumn, pulling too hard when third on debut before being a significant drifter in betting next time out but relaxed better in the run and was too good. Jumpout and trial to get ready have been good and the form around him doesn’t read too bad.

12 Galaxy Keeper (Bet Now: $2.50) is a daughter of Deep Field on debut for the Phillip Stokes team. This girl had a trial here last week and gee she looked a good type in winning with something in hand. Not the strongest maiden, so think she’s good enough to win it on debut.

Keen to see how 13 Shadow Boom (Bet Now: $9.50) resumes. Phillip Stokes trained filly that debuted at Balaklava back in late November when backed with confidence but sat last in the run and didn’t really come on in a disappointing effort behind Riched. Trial/jumpout to get ready has been strong and looks above average.

11 Champagne Affair (Bet Now: $8.50) is a Rubick filly for Gordon Richards that resumes. This girl had a one run Autumn prep, which came over 1050m on the course proper here when down the track behind Theresabearinthere, keeping in mind she was well specked at odds. Just one trial leading into this prep, so I’d watch the market again.

3 Wounded Soldier (Bet Now: $5.00) saves his best for this track/distance and like he backs up straight away from last Saturday. He raced at this track/distance and it was a race totally dominated by those on speed, so he had no chance of figuring in the finish. He’s a horse who has responded well on the quick back up previously, and finds a winnable race.

9 Shojiki (Bet Now: $2.00) has less convictions than every other runner given she’s a debut winner, and an impressive winner at that, but even though she’s hard to beat, she’s rock bottom odds so I’d wait because there is a bit of depth to this 58. Debuted on the course proper two weeks ago and despite sitting wide no cover throughout, she was much too good. Hard to beat, but too short.

7 Trip (Bet Now: $6.00) has only won the one race, but she’s not far off another win. Scooted along at a good clip last Wednesday at Murray Bridge when a few lengths clear early on in the straight, but got the staggers late and was pipped on the peg. Saves her best for 1200m, and I think she’ll be more effective with a conservative steer.

1 Taken Off (Bet Now: $3.40) looks the pony to bet on. Phillip Stokes trained gelding that had jumped out very well prior to resuming over 1100m on the course proper two weeks ago when a well backed favourite but he was back near last in the run and leader/winner Dawn Salute just had it too good in front. Fast run 1000m I do like, and if he can sit closer in the run, he’ll take a power of beating.

The best version of 2 Wedgetail (Bet Now: $3.70) could easily blow this field away. Team McEvoy trained four year old that resumes, having not raced since Feb 22 over 1400m here when down the track behind a good one, Perfect Route, in a good form race. Liked the recent jumpout and I’d be watching the market with this guy.

3 Thompson’s Reward (Bet Now: $10.00) is four weeks between runs for David Jolly since resuming at Murray Bridge where he had the lightweight and was the subject of good support. Loomed to win 200m out but being first up, his condition just gave way late. He’ll come on from that and a tick over trial win was strong.

2 Dr Dependable (Bet Now: $4.20) looks ready to win for the Macdonald/Gluyas team. This gelding attempted to lead throughout over 1800m on the course proper here two weeks ago, against the norm for him, but he kicked on really strongly and was bloused late by the hard fit Muntham Missile. Fourth up now, so is hard fit and finds a winnable race.

4 Classy Joe (Bet Now: $3.20) has been up a fair while for John Hickmott but continues to hold his form really well. Much was made of the win three weeks ago on the course proper here, with the whipping my Jeff Maund and the protest being dismissed, but he got the win and toughed it out, so off that, think 1950m here will be okay.

The rise in trip should suit 9 Going Gaga (Bet Now: $6.50) for the Mick Kluske team. Ran over 1500m on the course proper here two weeks ago and I liked the way he found the line nicely late behind Tubby Two Tracks. Harder here, but think he’s the value.

5 Territory Titan (Bet Now: $3.20) is a beauty and I think he can bounce back into the winners list. Put together a sequence of four straight wins before racing over the mile on the course proper here when on speed, copping pressure, but kicked hard, only to be beaten late by the in form Blow Torch. Back to the Parks track, leads and is hard to get past.

2 Analytica (Bet Now: $4.80) hasn’t really done much wrong since joining the Travis Doudle camp. Close up fourth to Blow Torch two back before backing up a week later when somewhat out of his grade, but was hard in the market and ran a beauty, finishing second to the well performed Von Costa Glass. Going well is this guy and is hard to beat.

1 Von Costa Glass (Bet Now: $9.00) rises big time in weight but I don’t think there was a fluke about his win two weeks ago here when with the featherweight, he produced good change up speed to win well. The weight rise is the issue, but he’s going well.

1 Cannot Be Serios (Bet Now: $3.10) rises significantly in depth. but is racing really well. Won a 58 race on the course proper here two weeks back when on speed and putting the pressure on under Jess Eaton, taking the lead soon upon straightening and was there to be run down, but fought hard to win. Harder here, but stable is flying at the moment.

7 Meehni (Bet Now: $2.40) can bounce back here for sure. Gave them a spanking to win first up at Balaklava before racing over the mile on the course proper here three weeks ago, and I thought Jess Eaton rode a poor race on her. Just went too hard in finding the lead and she was left a sitting shot. Vorster back on, more conservative steer, she can bounce back.

Fitter and up in trip I do like for the Will Clarken trained mare 8 Line Dancer (Bet Now: $12.00). This girl resumed over 1200m at Gawler on testing ground and while she was never a winning threat and beaten five lengths, the run wasn’t too bad I thought behind Magic Phantom. Tick over trial was solid enough and up in trip, firmer footing, can run an improved race.

BEST BET: Race One Number 2 Aqueduct

NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 1 Taken Off

LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 3 Wounded Soldier

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1

Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 4, 9

Leg Three: 1, 2, 5, 6

Leg Four: 1, 3, 7, 8

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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