5/9/2020 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Moonee Valley, Feehan Stakes day

A Cox Plate berth awaits the winner of the Feehan Stakes (1600m) this Saturday at Moonee Valley and the Group ll is the feature across nine races. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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3 How Womantic (Bet Now: $2.70 TOP ODDS) is a quality mare for the Maher/Eustace team that resumes. This girl hasn’t raced since suffering her first career defeat when contesting the Kewney Stakes and was wide no cover for the trip in a total forgive. Two jumpouts haven’t been too bad and she did record an impressive win at this track/distance during the Autumn.

8 Cordilla (Bet Now: $4.20 TOP ODDS) looks a smart mare and despite 1200m being a touch short of her best, she has a touch of class/quality about her. Hasn’t raced since scoring an impressive win in the Rivette Final at Flemington under a lovely steer from Olly. Over time, she looks as if she will race best at a mile, maybe a touch further. Hopefully a good tempo in front will see her finish over the top.

7 Parmie (Bet Now: $15.00 TOP ODDS) can run an improved race here back on firmer footing. Ellerton/Zahra trained mare that resumed at this track/distance a fortnight back on a very testing surface and given she was first up, condition just couldn’t hold up and she battled away to run fourth. Better for the run and her best is good enough.

Clearly a harder assignment for 14 Shandy (Bet Now: $3.20 TOP ODDS) but I think the Ellerton/Zahra camp has her flying. Both runs back from a spell have resulted in some pretty dominant wins, the latest at Sandown where Jamie Kah barely moved on the mare and she bolted up. She’s worthy of a crack at Saturday grade and I think she can make it 3/3.

I think we’ll get somewhat of a guide as to whether or not 2 Skyman (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS) is indeed a Group class horse or not. His two wins have been impressive, but I just query what he has beaten. It’s been nothing special, but the way he has won has been of that of a quality animal, so keen to see how he goes here.

9 O’Tauto (Bet Now: $15.00 TOP ODDS) looks really well placed here. Greg Eurell trained gelding that resumed over 1400m at Caulfield three weeks ago where not much went his way in the straight. Not sure he was going to win and beat Showmanship, but should have finished much closer. Drops to 78 grade, up to the mile…really hard to beat.

3 Cumberbatch (Bet Now: $13.00 TOP ODDS) is a Price/Kent trained three year old that does look progressive. Ran down the track behind Dirty Thoughts two back, but the tempo was crawling, so forgive that effort. Stepped up in trip next time out to 1400m and under Jamie Kah, finished best to win. Stable is flying and he can measure up.

1 Lunar Fox (Bet Now: $10.00 TOP ODDS) hasn’t run a bad race when Brett Prebble has steered the horse so the champion hoop getting back aboard is a big tick. Resumed in the Vain Stakes at Caulfield and just looked in need of the run behind Our Playboy. Fitter, up to 1500m and somewhat back in depth, from a good gate, hard to beat.

Peter Moody had a couple of races in mind for 8 Best Ever (Bet Now: $10.00 TOP ODDS), but they decide to run here on a Saturday in Melbourne, and it does look a winnable race for this well bred colt. Debuted on the Synthetic at Pakenham when put on speed by Nolen and was there to be beaten, but found plenty under pressure and was too good. Think he can measure up.

Second up syndrome is the only query from stopping me to launch at 6 Junipal (Bet Now: $2.25 TOP ODDS). I thought he was one of the runs of the day when resuming at Caulfield three weeks ago, closing off hard against the pattern when third to what I feel is a Group l class animal, Showmanship. Second up record isn’t too flash, but breaking down both runs, they’ve been very good.

5 Alsvin (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) is a Moonee Valley specialist and in the couple of meetings this track has had since renovations, it’s pretty much been dominated by either track specialists or horses having their first run here. This guy is a track specialist, winning three of four, and winning his last two, both here, the latest coming two weeks ago on testing ground. He can measure up to these for sure.

3 Odeon (Bet Now: $8.00 TOP ODDS) deserves another chance. Ellerton/Zahra trained gelding that resumed on the bottomless track here two weeks ago and he failed to fire in the going when running last behind track specialist Alsvin. Much better suited on firmer footing and does have a good second up record, so think he can run an improved race at odds.

6 Showmanship (Bet Now: $2.20) looks a Group l winner in waiting. He produced the win of the day at Caulfield three weeks ago. Back, wide, against the track pattern, yet still produced a brilliant finale to overhaul them and win. He looks right on track for the Sir Rupert Clarke and can confirm that with a win here, which I think he will.

3 Age Of Chivalry (Bet Now: $2.70) is on the path towards the Sir Rupert Clarke but needs to stand up here. Resumed at Caulfield three weeks ago in the Regal Roller and battled away strongly on speed, but couldn’t quite finish it off and had to settle for a close up third to Viridine. He’s got the ability to win this. Just needs to produce it in these races.

If 9 Felicia (Bet Now: $9.00) can get a good time of it on speed, she’ll take some beating. Has some residual fitness, with her last run being June 27 when bolting up at Caulfield, albeit the track did suit those on speed that afternoon. Only ten weeks between runs, but gets Williams aboard and potentially a soft time of it near the front.

Jumpouts aren’t everything, but they have sucked me in when it comes to 3 Bons Away (Bet Now: $9.00), who is now with Wendy Kelly after formerly being with the Maher/Eustace team. He is a bit of an enigma, but this looks his level, he has a great track/distance record and I think Wendy has him absolutely flying. Won a jumpout before jumping out a couple of weeks ago where he went to the line with Jungle Edge, and IMO, Bons Away went far better. He’s the best each way bet of the meeting.

I think we’ll get a proper guide here as to whether or not 7 Brooklyn Hustle (Bet Now: $3.80) is a contender of pretender is a horse to be considered for races like the Moir and Manikato. Resumed at the Valley several weeks weeks ago and yes, the breaks went her way, but she still had to take advantage of it and boy did she, producing a sharp turn of foot to win impressively. Propelle franked the form next start, so that reads well and she gets a good speed in front and will be strong late.

If 1 Despatch (Bet Now: $27.00) produced anything near his best, he would beat these. Group l winner that hasn’t really fired a shot in a tick over 12 months since winning the Goodwood last year, but this is one of the weaker races he has contested since then. He’s a good fresh horse, has jumped out well, definite market watch.

4 Aidensfield (Bet Now: $4.80) on top. Hayes/Dabernig filly that resumes after a two run Autumn prep to start her career, winning each time and impressing in the two wins, suggesting she could well be a Spring candidate. Jumped out super a couple of weeks back at Flemington and if she runs up to what she produced in the first prep, think she wins.

3 Dirty Thoughts (Bet Now: $6.50) is a progressive filly for the Ellerton/Zahra camp that can measure up to this level. She’s won 3/3 this time in. Produced great late splits on speed to win two back at Sandown before racing at this track/distance two weeks ago on a testing track when on speed again and in a slog, she finished best. Hard 1200m should be no issue being by So You Think and has also showed she can react off a slow tempo.

6 Clean Machine (Bet Now: $14.00) is still a maiden after four starts, but has showed enough to suggest she can measure up here. Attempted to lead throughout at this track/distance a fortnight back and gave a pretty good kick from the front, but couldn’t hold out Dirty Thoughts in a driving go to the line. Not sure she wins, but one for multiples.

I’ll take a punt on 8 Harbour Views (Bet Now: $4.20). IMO, his A1 trip is 1600m and if he races beyond at this level, I think he’ll struggle. The quality is there, as we’ve seen throughout his career. Has had two jumpouts to get ready for Matty Williams and the recent jumpout at Casterton, he looked in really good order. Leaning his way.

Most fascinating runner of the Spring to date is 4 Surprise Baby (Bet Now: $3.20), the Paul Preusker trained stayer who is one of the leading chances for the locals when it comes to the Melbourne Cup. Hasn’t raced since the Cup last year when running a mighty fifth to Vow And Declare. Jumped out in late July and looked in fab order, but is an obvious market and yard watch.

5 Mahamedeis (Bet Now: $8.50) is better suited over further, but he loves racing at the Valley and is in super form, winning two on the bounce, the latest coming five weeks ago over 2040m here when finishing best in a slog, wearing down both Polly Grey and Tavirun. Back to the mile is the knock, but he’ll be strong late.

Think 9 Rivet Delight (Bet Now: $9.50) is going well and back onto firmer footing will really help his cause. Only time he has found dry footing this prep was first up when an eye catching fourth behind Morrissy. Two runs since have come on wet ground and he hasn’t been as effective. Fine weather forecast, so he can bounce back hard.

3 Dabiyr (Bet Now: $2.90) is 3/3 second up and looks in for a good prep if his resumption is any guide. Resumed behind Romancer at Flemington where he was wide and doing work, spending petrol tickets a bit earlier than Rodd would have liked, and that took away something from his finale, but was still more than sound. Think he’ll take some beating here.

1 Sound (Bet Now: $13.00) is fitter and suited up to 2040m for the Michael Moroney team. Resumed over the mile three weeks ago at Caulfield where the tempo was clearly against him, but he found the line alright I thought for a horse who is better suited at 2400m+. Not sure he wins here, but could certainly include in exotics with a touch of class on his side.

BEST BET: Race Five Number 6 Showmanship

NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 6 Junipal

LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 9 Rivet Delight

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 3, 7, 8, 9

Leg Two: 3, 4

Leg Three: 4, 5, 6, 8

Leg Four: 1, 3, 9, 12

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

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