5/10/2019 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Morphettville

The Parks track at Morphettville is where Adelaide metro racing takes place this Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out seven metres from the 1000m-Winning Post; Out five metres for the remainder.

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Keen on 4 Jacobite Prince (Bet Now: $5.00) for Phillip Stokes. This gelding debuted in a maiden at Gawler back on September 4 when well supported and he didn’t let his fans down with a pretty dominant on speed triumph in decent time. Hasn’t raced since. Tailed off in a trial behind last Saturday winner Xilong, but had a jumpout last week at Strathalbyn and was given a good hitout in winning, so fitness, I don’t think, will be an issue.

6 Tubby Two Tracks (Bet Now: $3.60) is an interesting runner. She smashed them on debut back in June before being given a spell. Raced here again first up and while she didn’t have the best of luck, she had her chance when fourth to Roccasbascerana. No horse of that quality here I don’t think and she has the run under the belt, so I think she can be a definite improver here.

7 Holy Dancer (Bet Now: $6.00) looks one of the hardest to beat. Phillip Stokes trains this filly, who bumped into subsequent Flemington winner Sisstar first up at Murray Bridge before racing at Strathalbyn last Wednesday where she found a good spot near the speed and despite being challenged early on in the straight, she showed some ticker and drew clear late to win. She can measure up for sure.

Going to give 6 Winning Partner (Bet Now: $3.10) another chance. Was keen on him first up when he raced over 1200m on the course proper two weeks ago, but the late market flucs said he’d need the run and that’s how it panned out. He never really looked likely but did make up ground in restricted room. Produced one of the wins of the day at Sandown second up last prep so expecting big improvement.

This potentially could be perfect placement by Phillip Stokes with 3 Terbium (Bet Now: $2.40). Had excuses first up at the Valley behind Tavisan before going to Caulfield where he was good late when fourth to impressive winner William Thomas. He hit a flat spot in that last run but picked up late and was good to the line and through it, suggesting 1400m will be ideal, and he drops a fair bit in depth.

Up to 1400m looks a big tick for 1 Hussybay (Bet Now: $7.50). Looked in need of the run first up at Balaklava behind All Over Bosanova before going to the Whylie where he got back and was never really a winning factor but was good late when fourth to Soothing. He’s crying out for more ground, which is what he gets here, and in recent times, he does save his best for the Parks track.

9 Dubai House (Bet Now: $2.30) should be putting this lot away. Couldn’t quite get past Sowpods on debut on Balaklava Cup Day before going to Mildura where she got too far back in the run and had too much to do in a good effort when third to Mount Archer. If she can sit a bit closer in the run and not spend as many petrol tickets mid race, I think she’ll be too good for them.

7 Nature Boy (Bet Now: $4.40) is a son of Ocean Park that had been trialling up okay for the Macdonald/Gluyas stable prior to debuting at Gawler where he didn’t get much luck in the straight but at the same time had his chance to finish off better behind Crema On Jetty. The rise to 1400m should be ideal and usually the stable runners vastly improve from start one to start two.

Very interesting runner is 6 Lady Drake (Bet Now: $7.00), a Tavistock mare on debut for Sue Jaensch. Rare to see the stable debut one in town, so she bears close watching here. No public trials to speak of but stable can produce them to win on debut and the fact she does debut in town tells me the stable may well have an opinion of her, so keen to see what she does.

If he holds his form, 2 Dexter You Devil (Bet Now: $2.40) just wins doesn’t he? He was fair dinkum travelling like Winx when bolting to the front over the mile on the course proper two weeks ago and he charged right away late for a 4.6L romp, but it could have easily been 5+. He’s flying this bloke and though there is a bit of depth to this field, he’s clearly the one to beat.

3 Classic Weiwei (Bet Now: $4.60) is a son of Shamus Award for the McEvoy stable that resumes. This four year old hasn’t raced since heading down the SA Derby path where he was pretty good in the lead ups but by the time he got to the big dance, he was a tired horse and didn’t feature at all behind Qafila. Has trialled well leading in and 1550m first up tells me he’s forward.

5 Blue Morpho (Bet Now: $7.00) is worth another chance. She ran at this track/distance last Saturday when fourth to Marina and on face value, it was just a run, but given the leader/winner walked them in front, those behind really had no chance of getting the job done. Like she’s on the quick back up and if she can sit closer in the run, she’ll be dangerous.

I think a rise in trip will suit the Michael Hickmott trained 3 Franked (Bet Now: $7.50). He comes through the Shop Til I Drop race from two weeks ago where he couldn’t sprint with them when it came to the crunch but he didn’t turn it up and was okay in defeat behind the McEvoy mare. He’s racing as if he wants further, which he gets here, and this race is quite winnable.

4 Dr Dependable (Bet Now: $3.50) has been racing very well this time in for the Macdonald/Gluyas stable. This guy ran over 2000m on the course proper two weeks ago where he was near the speed throughout and looked home when kicking clear, but some Vorster on Shop Til I Drop saw her burst through between runners and blouse Dr Dependable on the line. Hard to beat here up in trip.

8 Comfort Man (Bet Now: $10.00) has been pretty good in recent times for the Shayne Cahill team. Solid in defeat two back at Mildura before racing at Balaklava where he had the good run just off the speed before chiming in with purpose and putting them away late to win impressively. Harder here, but now he has a win on the board, his confidence is up and he can go on with it.

5 Celtic Blast (Bet Now: $2.50) is an interesting runner. Talented gelding for the Richard Cully stable that resumes. He had four runs during the Autumn. First up he dumped the rider as the gates opened, but his three runs after that in some nice races were good and the form out of them has been strong. Loved the way he went in a recent Ararat jumpout and his best is good enough.

1 Itz Invincible (Bet Now: $3.80) is a talented sprinter for the Matty Seyers stable that resumes. This seven year old hasn’t raced since Feb 23 2018 at the Valley in a 955m race when a close up third to the then in form Demonstrate. Long time off but he’s got the class to beat these and his two recent trials have been more than encouraging. The market will tell you if he’s ready or not.

2 Karlovasi (Bet Now: $21.00) might need one more run, but he’s certainly got the class to figure in the finish. He just found them too sharp in the Whylie first up where he was near the speed but couldn’t sustain it and dropped out when down the track behind Soothing. Up in trip is what he’s looking for, so back to 1000m looks a negative, but he does have the class factor.

1 Wasabi Bob (Bet Now: $3.50) for me. I thought his effort in the Tokyo City Cup two weeks ago was outstanding. Was three and four wide no cover early on, doing a power of work, before eventually getting on speed but that early burn just told late, but he was still very game in defeat when third to Single Handed. He’s a Parks track specialist and he should be hard fit now.

Back in trip should suit 2 Aagas (Bet Now: $14.00). He is on the quick back up after racing over 2250m here last Saturday when keen off a very moderate gallop before Jerry Chau made the mid race move and poured the pressure on, but couldn’t sustain it and had to settle for third to Charossa, who was the clear class runner and it came to the fore late. Back a notch in depth, he can bounce back.

4 Flow Meter (Bet Now: $8.50) is just an absolute beauty for the John Hickmott stable. He tried his guts out last Saturday here behind Charossa and on the turn, he looked the winner, but found Charossa too classy in the end. Back in trip should be no drama for this veteran and he’ll be thereabouts again I’m sure. Just depends if he’s got the killer blow to put them away.

Up to 1300m and fitter, 2 Tongsai Boss (Bet Now: $5.00) should take some beating here. Was kept relatively safe in betting when resuming over 1200m on the course proper three weeks back and I thought he was great, closing off with real purpose late to run a narrow second to an in form Aiguilette. He’ll take good improvement off that and the extra 100m looks a big tick.

I’m very wary of 10 Coronel (Bet Now: $3.30). Former Tony Vasil galloper that had his first run for Will Clarken last Wednesday at Starthalbyn and gee he was impressive. Sat back off the speed before shoving into clear air and he really attacked the line like a nice horse in getting the win. Can only see upside with him and is one of the hardest to beat with improvement to come.

12 Mia Georgia (Bet Now: $11.00) is a Phillip Stokes trained mare that is three weeks between runs since racing on the course proper over 1200m where she had the suck run in behind the speed and tried hard but was no match late for an in form Aiguilette, beaten a couple of lengths but far from disgraced. Remains right down in the weights and again draws a lovely gate.

I like 12 Russian Romeo (Bet Now: $7.00) up in trip. He just got a mile out of his ground over 1100m on the course proper two weeks ago in a race where those on speed/rail were advantaged so I thought he did a good job to get as close as he did to beating Zarace. He is a winner at 1400m so up to 1300m should be no issue. Just hope the tempo is genuine.

1 So We Are (Bet Now: $3.40) is a talented daughter of So You Think for Phillip Stokes that resumes. This girl hasn’t raced since being on speed in the Adelaide Guineas during the Carnival and kicked on strongly to get the win. Been nominated a couple of times recently but has been kept on ice and resumes here. 1300m is short of her best, but does have class.

3 Going Gaga (Bet Now: $5.50) looks to be going well for Michael Hickmott. I thought there was plenty of merit in his run last Saturday here over 1400m. He was back in the run and forced wide on the turn on a day where being near the speed or near the rail was the spot to be. He did very well to get as close as he did. Back in trip a little concern, but will be strong at the end.

BEST BET: Race Two Number 6 Winning Partner

NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 3 Dexter You Devil

LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 3 Franked

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 5

Leg Two: 1, 2, 4, 7

Leg Three: 1, 2, 10, 11, 12

Leg Four: 1, 3, 12

$50 Investment = 20.83% of the dividend if successful

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