Group l racing returns to Morphettville this Saturday where it is Schweppes Oaks Day. The weather is overcast, the track is soft (5) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (12:41) Queen Adelaide Stakes 1050m
She looks very good does 5 Balaabel (Bet Now: $3.40) and she’ll be winning if she runs up to her two trials. On debut for Tony McEvoy and has really looked the part, most notably the Gawler trial last week. She made an absolute mess of them, ran time, and did it without really being touched by Vorster. Think she might be a good one and off those, the one to beat, clearly.
2 Li’l Kontra (Bet Now: $4.50) is the pick of the raced brigade. Has been up a fair while for Ryan Balfour but continues to race at a high level, and was rewarded for that with a blacktype win last time out in the Dequetteville when much too good for her rivals. She’s a hard fit/in form filly that does everything right and tries hard. I’m sure she will be popular once again.
7 Italian Witness (Bet Now: $10.00) is a Hayes/Dabernig trained filly resuming. She made her debut on New Years Day down the straight where she was hard in the market but just looked a bit lost down the straight behind Jedastar, a race that included Lyre, one of the best two year olds this season and the Blue Diamond winner. Trialled well leading in, gets gate one and Jamie Kah steering.
Race 2. (13:16) Triple M Handicap 1600m
Do like 3 Hussybay (Bet Now: $3.60) on the seven day turn around for the Mick Huxtable team. Lovely ride from Jamie Kah saw him get the win last time out in the City Of Adelaide Handicap, finishing best in a driving go just edge clear late. That was 1400m, and for mine, the mile is his pet trip, so like him here with upside and fitness under the belt now. Hard to beat.
He’s been a bit of an enigma since coming to Australia but now he’s got a win on the board, I’m hoping that 5 A Shin Rook (Bet Now: $2.15) can go on with it. Put the writing on the wall two back in the CS Hayes Cup when a narrow third to Mantastic before racing at the track/distance and aided by a lovely ride from Winks, the former Japanese galloper was too good. He can win again.
2 Balf’s Choice (Bet Now: $6.00) is an absolute beauty for the Ryan Balfour stable who should always be respected when racing on his home track. Strong winner at this track/distance two back before trying to repeat the dose but had to settle for fifth to A Shin Rook. Not sure he has the improvement required to beat some handy types here, but goes in all multiples though.
Race 3. (13:56) D C McKay Stakes 1100m
2 Haunted i(Bet Now: $2.20) s an obvious threat. James Cummings trains this gelding, who had good market support when racing at Caulfield two weeks ago and under a confident from Dwayne Dunn, he was too good. Good record overall but does tend to race really well early on in a prep and remaining at the short course trips will suit given he can sit off a fast speed and launch.
7 Petrelle (Bet Now: $9.50) is the interesting one. Like most, thought she was a good thing when she resumed at Geelong and as such was a good things price…certainly didn’t win like a good thing though. She fell in and was out of petrol tickets late. Mind you, she ran 33 and change last 600m, so have to give her credit. For her fans, hoping there is improvement to come, because she’ll need to.
Good to see 5 Amberdi (Bet Now: $10.00) at a sprinting trip. Sue Jaensch tried her out as a miler, but she didn’t run the trip out in the CS Hayes Cup before winning over 1300m. Been freshened up for another crack at Stakes level and stable doesn’t usually do that unless they think the horse can measure up, and I think this mare certainly can, especially off a fast speed.
Race 4. (14:36) TAB Handicap (90) 2000m
I think 4 Brown Ben (Bet Now: $7.00) has returned in good order for the Tony McEvoy stable. Good resumption on the Parks track behind Amberdi before racing over the mile here where he was more than sound in defeat behind A Shin Rook. Looking like he wants further, which he gets here, and is third up, so should just about be ready fitness wise with upside left in the tank.
8 Thunder Cloud (Bet Now: $3.00) looks one of the hardest to beat. The Maher/Eustace stable trains this bloke, who was given a rather ordinary steer last time out at this trip at Caulfield, taking off midrace, pouring the pressure on out wide and set the race up for the backmarkers. His prior form was very good and good enough to beat these, so hopefully he can bounce back.
7 All Too Huiying (Bet Now: $4.00) just has to tick the 2000m box and he’ll take some running down. Phillip Stokes has done a pretty good job with this bloke and thought a lovely front running steer from John Allen got him the win last time out over 1800m at Sandown, but was out of petrol tickets late, which leaves me with doubts at a strong 2000m with him, but in the right stable and in winning form.
Race 5. (15:16) Queen Of The South Stakes 1600m
Happy to speck 4 Clearly (Bet Now: $7.00) each way. This former French mare made her Australian debut at Caulfield and I thought she was quite good in defeat when a close up fifth to Truly Discreet, beaten just under two lengths. Good second up record, 1600m suits and go back through her form, gee it reads well. May want one more, but if she gets to decent odds, happy to speck each way.
It was well and truly D-Day for 7 Temple Of Bel (Bet Now: $5.00) at Flemington last Thursday and she passed with flying colours, sitting off a hot speed, presenting to the outside and she made a mess of them in a pretty dominant win. She’s promised to do that for a while now…can she do it in a blacktype race. Repeat effort of last start and she’ll go very close to beating these.
6 Pretty Glass (Bet Now: $18.00) deserves a crack at some blacktype for the Sue Jaensch stable. This mare is flying this time in, her win at Oakbank last time ensuring she deserves a crack this kind of race. Sat wide no cover throughout and was there to be beaten but she kept finding under Raquel Clark and on the line was holding her rivals. 1600m should be fine and is a live chance.
Race 6. (15:56) Schweppes Oaks 2000m
With the potential wet track in mind, happy to be with the Team Hawkes filly 7 Amangiri (Bet Now: $5.00). She probably lacks the staying prowess of a few of these, but does look to have a touch of brilliance about her, as we saw in the couple of wins on the bounce before a gutsy second in the Adrian Knox. Then went to the Frank Packer and it was a horror show if you were on, with the filly going around as if it was a barrier trial. Better luck this time around, she’ll take a power of beating.
The potential wet track looks the only negative with 3 Princess Jenni (Bet Now: $3.20) otherwise she’ll the winner for the most part. Was going to go down the Adrian Knox/ATC Oaks path but was scratched prior to the former, so she was freshened up and ran over the mile at Caulfield where she was the class runner of the field and under a 12/10 steer from Ollie, class got her home. Up to 2000m, with upside, if she handles the give in the track, she goes very close.
5 House Of Cartier (Bet Now: $23.00) is a John Sargent trained filly and the stable is no stranger to winning an Oaks. This probably needs to improve a touch to beat a few of these, but her Frank Packer run was pretty good in defeat behind The Chos,en One. She gets back, likely gets three wide cover and launches late if she’s good enough. $30+ does look a touch of overs.
Race 7. (16:36) TAB Classic 1200m
The WFA just suits 2 Cool Passion (Bet Now: $5.00) so well here that she has to be included. Tony McEvoy trains this quality mare, who comes back to SA after a three run Autumn stint in Sydney. The third run came in the Group l Canterbury Stakes when a close up fourth to Trapeze Artist. That form just reads so well for this and despite 1200m being short of her best, she has class on her side.
1 Spright (Bet Now: $4.80) is fast becoming the best horse in Australia yet to win a major. Hoping for all concerned that can be changed here. She just got too far back in a brutally run Sapphire Stakes at Randwick yet still produced the best last 800/600/400/200 of the day in defeat. She’s flying and start prior, should have won the William Reid had she got luck. Gets it here and she’ll be too good.
7 Divine Quality (Bet Now: $20.00) is capable of beating these isn’t she? Not sure how much you can read into her two runs this time in given she contested the Lightning and Newmarket, and while she didn’t win, I thought she was far from disgraced each time. She’s a dynamite fresh horse and looked to be in good order in an 800m trial at Cranbourne last Tuesday. If she’s right and anywhere near fit, she goes close.
Race 8. (17:15) Euclase Stakes 1200m
Good luck beating 2 Terbium (Bet Now: $3.40). He looks a Group l talent who should prove too good for this lot barring bad luck. Created such an impression in his first prep, winning 4/4, the latest seeing him sit wide no cover but powered clear to win the Zeditave. Looked outstanding in a Cranbourne trial last week and I think Group l riches await him in the Spring. Too good for these I suspect.
No surprise that 15 Tofane (Bet Now: $5.50) is here at Stakes level. It was just an awful watch if you were on her last time out at Caulfield, and yes I was on. Thought it was a plain ride from Olly, restraining a speed filly to near last behind horses less fancied and it was just horrendous viewing. Despite being only clear for 75m, she clocked the fastest final 200m. Up to a fast run 1200m, give her clear air and I think she’ll run a beauty.
Giving enormous respect to the talented WA 3YO 1 Valour Road (Bet Now: $5.50). Resumed against the older horses over 1000m a fortnight ago and his win was the best of the day, right across Australia IMO. Bungled the start, had to work forward to find a spot with the weight despite the early tempo being strong yet he still finished best. Ran well in the Spring in the big races in Perth, so has class, and draws well.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Eight Number 2 Terbium
NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 7 Amangiri
LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 4 Clearly
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 4, 6, 7
Leg Two: 7
Leg Three: 1, 2, 3, 6, 7
Leg Four: 2
$50 Investment = 250% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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