Another cracking afternoon of high class racing will be seen at Rosehill on Saturday where it is Hobartville Stakes Day. The $200,000 Group Two event over 1400m for three-year-olds promises to be a beauty, with the likes of Manawanui, Hot Snitzel, Moment Of Change and Rekindled Alliance all doing battle again after they each ran superbly in the Royal Sovereign a couple of weeks back.
The babies will look to earn themselves a start in the AAMI Golden Slipper (1200m) when they race in the Silver Slipper (1100m). Gai Waterhouse has dominated two-year-old racing this season and she has Pierro engaged here. One punter this has put $10,000 on the colt to win the worlds richest juvenile race and judging by his impressive trial effort last month, it’s hard to argue with that punters confidence.
The fillies and mares will tune up for the Coolmore Classic (1500m) thanks to the Millie Fox Stakes (1300m). Red Tracer appears to be the horse to beat after toughing it out strongly in the Breeders Classic (1200m) behind Steps In Time. With a softer run, she can win.
The Parramatta Cup (2000m) appears to be an interesting race with many chances. Keep an eye out for Budai, a German import now in the David Hayes yard. He has had two runs in Australia, both over unsuitable trips. He steps up in distance here and he could surprise.
Several Group One performers will be out on display in the Fireball (1100m) with Nobby Snip looking hard to beat after his effortless display at Canterbury under the lights first up.
Race One: Edmen Community Staffing Handicap 1400m Form Guide
Back Me: No reason why My Vegas can’t repeat his winning performance last Saturday. Only rises 0.5kg and meets a weak field apart from one or two others.
Don’t Back Me: Aerobatics did the job well first up, but Corey Brown is riding like a spud at the moment. My advice: Steer clear of Corey until he finds some sort of form.
Big Danger: Big Bonanza toughed it out well at Canberra last start, but his 3.3 length trial win recently at Wyong has him as a serious threat.
Roughie: Revolt will be better suited over further, but he could possibly run a cheeky race fresh.
Race Two: The Willis Australia Handicap 1800m Form Guide
Back Me: Putting Sandberg on top for some value. Got back, was held up late, but still found the line at Warwick Farm. 1800m plus a wet track brings him in to calculations.
Don’t Back Me: Charing Cross led at a fast tempo and was gunned down late by Slick Sniper last start. Rises 8kg and that won’t be easy on a soft track.
Big Danger: Big Time is on the quick back up after bumping in to a smart type in Laser Hawk last week. Stepping up in trip helps as he is very dour.
Roughie: Single Warrior has got two runs under his belt now. Wet track is a big tick in his favour and is only 0.5kg over the limit. Blowout horse if they go hard in front.
Race Three: T & M Lahood Fireball Quality 1100m Form Guide
Back Me: Nobby Snip just needs to turn up, run and collect the first prize cheque. Smashed his rivals first up at Canterbury and a repeat of that effort will see him win here.
Don’t Back Me: Altar had every chance behind Sea Siren, but whacked away for fourth. Rises in weight and there is that thought she might have the ‘second up syndrome’.
Big Danger: Pampelonne showed ability in his lone campaign in the Spring. Trialled nicely a couple of weeks back and is drawn to get the sit behind Nobby Snip.
Roughie: It wasn’t a strong maiden, but Ain’t She Grand did win in handy fashion. Big step in grade here, but she appears to have the talent to overcome that.
Race Four: Parramatta Cup 2000m Form Guide
Back Me: Putting Sienna Red on top. I sacked her two starts back, but she caught the eye at Warwick Farm, grinding away well. Steps up to 2000m, which is the query, but she races as if she’ll appreciate it.
Don’t Back Me: Just not sure about King Lionheart being first up in a race like this. I anticipate he’ll need this run under his belt.
Big Danger: Maules Creek bumped in to a smart one in Single last Saturday but still found the line under riding. Cassidy is back on and he’ll have this bloke closer to the speed and proving difficult to run down.
Roughie: If Budai brought his best German form, he’d be winning this. He has done nothing in two Australian starts, but they have been both over unsuitable trips. The soft conditions also enhance his chances.
Race Five: Silver Slipper Stakes 1100m Form Guide
Back Me: One of the better bets of the day here in Pierro. Been well backed to win the Golden Slipper, the stable is flying, his trial was super, he looks awfully hard to beat.
Don’t Back Me: Faustus looked lost and went poorly in a recent barrier trial on a heavy track. If he gets similar conditions here, steer well away from him.
Big Danger: Meidung had a rather easy kill on debut at Rosehill back in October. Peter Snowden has given her plenty of time to mature and that was evident in a barrier trial at Rosehill. One of the better juveniles for Darley and she’ll be challenging Pierro big time.
Roughie: Assassinate showed brilliant speed throughout to win her lone start at Wyong. Has to step up but the stable are having a good run with their juveniles.
Race Six: Hobartville Stakes 1400m Form Guide
Back Me: Manawanui should have won the Royal Sovereign. He’ll make amends here.
Don’t Back Me: Hot Snitzel was very lucky to win the Royal Sovereign. Extra 200m suits Manawanui better than him.
Big Danger: Moment Of Change led and fought on well behind the two mentioned above. Fitter, should lead again and prove to be a threat to the toppie.
Roughie: Wild And Proud toughed it out well like most Tulloch Lodge horses do when winning last start. If the rain comes, he is in contention because he is rock hard fit and his sire, Snowland, is one of the leading wet track sires in Australia.
Race Seven: Millie Fox Stakes 1300m Form Guide
Back Me: A better barrier and wet track gives Red Tracer the race here. Was most unlucky in the Breeders Classic after doing the work out wide with no cover. Should get a much more economical trip here and win.
Don’t Back Me: Steps In Time won well over Red Tracer, but she rises in weight now and will have to do the hard yards from the wide barrier.
Big Danger: I know she is drawn wide, but More Strawberries has a few lengths on most of these in terms of class. Give her some cover and she’ll give this a shake.
Roughie: I give Montana Flyer a sneaky exotic chance because she should control the race from the front. Does run much better second up and meets a few of these better at the weights from the Breeders Classic.
Race Eight: Endeavour Recycled Clothing Handicap 1500m Form Guide
Back Me: All Legal was a bit unlucky when resuming at Warwick Farm given he didn’t get out until about the 150m mark. Has performed well second up in the past and the claim from Jackson Matthews is a big tick.
Don’t Back Me: Mr Make Believe. The satelite stable for Peter Moody hasn’t worked and I doubt it ever will.
Big Danger: Al Dhafra promised plenty earlier on his career, but he went completely off. That was true, until last start where he sat last and worked home very nicely for a close up fourth. Has since trialled to keep fit and if he found his three-year-old form, he’d just about win this.
Roughie: Nextanix is better suited over further, but he does have a touch of class and given he has that, he’s weighted very well in a weak race.
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