Saturday racing in Sydney returns to Rosehill this weekend, with eight races to be run and won. The weather is fine, the track is good (3) and the rail is out five metres for the entire circuit.
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Race One: TAB Place Multi Plate 1100m:
Back Me: Godolphin I think will win the Sydney two year old race again, this time thanks to Lieder (Best Odds: $4.60), who is a well bred type by Street Cry. This colt has only had the one barrier trial, back on December 22 at Warwick Farm, where she looked very impressive in winning under a strangle hold from Sam Clipperton. She ran really good time also, which impressed me alot given she wasn’t let go. Stable is always flying and John O’Shea has always stated that his best two year olds will be on display after Christmas. Hoping this is one of them.
Big Danger: Giulietta (Best Odds: $4.20) is a filly by Snitzel on debut here for Gai Waterhouse after an impressive trial win on her home track at Randwick on December 15, winning by nearly two lengths under minimal pressure. She easily recorded the fastest time of the morning over that distance, over a second quicker than the open class horses, which did take my eye. Taking away Vancouver and Carriages, it’s been a lean trot for Gai with her babies. This one could springboard her into the Autumn.
Roughie: Stimac (Best Odds: $15.00) resumes on his home track for Chris Waller after the one run back in the Spring, a fifth in the Breeders Plate to Vancouver. That race has always proven to be a hot form reference, and this bloke is really the first one to test out the 2014 edition of that form reference. Trial win was solid and is on his home track, which is an advantage.
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Race Two: Cellarbrations Handicap (72) 1400m:
Back Me: Gold Seventy Seven (Best Odds: $1.75) looks the first of four good things on the card here. The son of Choisir let down strongly to beat home a subsequent city winner on debut at Newcastle, then went to Canterbury and looked all class with an on speed romp, winning by five lengths. Looks a future stakes winner, and should prove far too classy for these, wide gate and all.
Big Danger: Grunderzeit (Best Odds: $4.80) has had two runs this time in, both at Canterbury and both have been successful, in particular last time out against the older horses, running good time also. Looks ready for Saturday company now and does get a soft draw.
Roughie: Tree Of Jesse (Best Odds: $7.50) savaged the line to win on debut at Canterbury, then came here, stormed to the front, looked the winner with 100m to go, but was grabbed right on the line by Testashadow. That’s pretty strong form for this race and she does draw the paint.
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Race Three: De Bortoli Wines Handicap (75) 1550m:
Back Me: Harrier Jet (Best Odds: $2.05) looked a shade unlucky here in that race Testashadow won, getting held up badly during the straight before eventually getting clear and savaging the line. Takes on the older horses now, but is absolutely flying this prep and remains on his home track.
Big Danger: Shiraz (Best Odds: $3.60) was given a gun ride by Shaun Guymer to win here two back, then raced a few weeks back and was no match for a real up and comer in Religify, who was an impressive winner again last Saturday. That’s the best form for this. Only problem is the wide barrier and how far back he’ll get.
Roughie: Marenostro (Best Odds: $7.50) resumes here for Chris Waller after a strong opening career prep during the Winter, winning two on the trot before being tipped out. Loved his trial on December 23 and appears the third and final winning chance in this event.
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Race Four: Happy 50th Glenn Handicap (75) 2400m:
Back Me: Second of the four good things here in It’s A Silvertail (Best Odds: $2.70), who made his Australian debut here a couple of weeks back and was heavily crunched in betting, and it looked to be going to plan, getting the sweet run just off the speed…that was until the horse and rider Blake Shinn couldn’t get a crack at them at all in the straight and ran a luckless third. These imported gallopers usually improve at their second run, and given he doesn’t face much here, he just looks the one. $2.50 looks a steal.
Big Danger: Looked for an improved run from Husson Choice (Best Odds: $4.80), who didn’t have much luck last time out at Warwick Farm when doing a power of work mid race and eventually tiring late. Should get a soft run from the gate and away from Warwick Farm could spark improvement.
Roughie: Jim Cassidy found the key to Olympic Academy (Best Odds: $9.00) at Canterbury last time out- ride the horse cold and save him for the straight. From the home turn to the 250m mark, it looked as though it was going down poop creek given he was badly blocked, but Pumper shoved him into the clear and the horse burst through to win. I won’t have an issue with him running 2400m provided he is ridden cold.
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Race Five: TAB.com.au Handicap (80) 1100m:
Back Me: Craftiness (Best Odds: $1.80) is the third of the four good things. He has won his past two quite impressively, firstly at Canterbury, then was given a peach ride by Shinn to lead all the way over this track/distance. He’ll either lead or sit outside Kudero. Either way, should prove far too good for his rivals.
Big Danger: Terra Amata (Best Odds: $15.00) strung together two wins before bumping into Religify last week, running a game second, though clearly beaten. Should get over thanks to Craftiness and perhaps get the back of that horse, but a bit like Religify last week, I don’t think she can win, but she should still run well.
Roughie: Tahitian Black (Best Odds: $26.00) ran third to Religify last week, and he was one of only a couple to make significant ground in that race, so I’ll be keen to follow him here, see if he gets a place, then look for him to win in something slightly easier.
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Race Six: Schweppes Handicap (90) 1350m:
Back Me: Fourth and final good thing on the card IMO in the shape of Vashka (Best Odds: $1.70). He has won his past four in awesome fashion, looks the leader again, and looks the winner again.
Big Danger: Kristy Lee (Best Odds: $7.50) was given a beaut ride by Samantha Clenton to win last time out here, cutting back to the inside and sprinting hard late to nab Stolen Kisses on the line. Tougher here, but with some luck from the awkward draw, she should work home well again and get a place.
Roughie: Windjammer (Best Odds: $8.50) worked home well late here last time out behind Haussmann, beaten just under two lengths in a real blanket finish. Should get the gun sit on Vashka and from there, Bowman can do as he pleases.
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Race Seven: Hyland Race Colours Handicap (80) 1200m:
Back Me: Holy Delusions (Best Odds: $13.00) on top for me. This mare ran here last time out and didn’t have a great deal of luck when fourth to Kristy Lee. Holy Delusions is absolutely flying this prep, and despite receiving top weight, Schofield gets back aboard and the price of $10 appeals to me.
Big Danger: Mardi (Best Odds: $3.40) was first up in 12 months when sitting on the speed at Canterbury and fighting on tenaciously to run second to Cleanse, beaten a short half head. Provided she doesn’t have the ‘second up syndrome’, she should prove hard to beat here.
Roughie: Miss Tenpins (Best Odds: $17.00) has been racing really well in recent times without winning, largely due to the fact she has copped some hefty imposts. Drops to 52kg now, and despite the wide barrier, the weight relief is a big tick for her chances I feel.
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Race Eight: TAB Rewards Handicap (80) 1500m:
Back Me: Centre Pivot (Best Odds: $3.20) looks the safe way to go in the last. He was very good here last time out when second to Vashka. He worked home well, but was just no match for the winner, who is the in form horse in Sydney at the moment. No Vashka here, drawn well and McDonald rides. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: Problem child Saintly Lad (Best Odds: $7.00) looks to have corrected his ways based on his barnstorming return to the track at Rosehill two weeks back, savaging the line from well back to win impressively. He trialled really well behind a couple of classy performers in Laidback Larry and Driefontein before that first up win, so he does look to have come back in good order. Stays at Rosehill and up to the 1500m second up suits.
Roughie: Golden Aro (Best Odds: $11.00) resumes here off a freshen up. He was last seen over 1900m at Canterbury when working home strongly for fourth to Resurrect, beaten just under two lengths. Recent barrier trial win was very encouraging and he is a good horse when produced fresh.
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BEST BET: Race Five Number 3 Craftiness
NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 5 Vashka
VALUE: Race Seven Number 1 Holy Delusions
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 3
Leg Two: 5
Leg Three: 1, 2, 5, 8, 10
Leg Four: 6, 11, 12, 13
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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