A bumper card has been assembled for Morphettville Parks this Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out seven metres from the 1000m-400m; Out five metres for the remainder.
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Race One: Campolina Stud Plate 1000m:
Back Me: On the trials, Northern Lass (Best Odds: $1.90) looks the way to go. Won a trial here recently and ran quick time compared to others engaged here. Gate one and Neilson on for McEvoy. Winning formula IMO.
Big Danger: White Feather (Best Odds: $4.40) is trained by Dan Clarken and she herself looked sharp in winning a trial here, and the time was only 0.2 seconds slower than Northern Lass. Should get every chance.
Roughie: Bangs (Best Odds: $8.00) is a first starter for Richard Jolly who finished second to White Feather in the trial mentioned above, and the daughter of Snippetson went about her business in good fashion. She should acquit herself quite well.
Race Two: Quayclean Maiden Plate 1300m:
Back Me: Vintage Grove (Best Odds: $10.00) steps up in trip after running over 1200m last start at Strathalbyn when working home strongly to finish third to Maxalicious, beaten just over a length. Up in trip suits, has upside and the stable/rider are in excellent form at the moment.
Big Danger: Tamblyn (Best Odds: $4.00) comes over to Adelaide after a couple of strong maiden efforts in Victoria, the latest being at Bendigo when making up solid ground late. Horror draw, but is clearly the best horse in the race.
Roughie: Schizle (Best Odds: $7.00) debuted in a pretty strong race at Morphettville on 1050m and he was far from disgraced when running sixth to the well above average type Viddora. He ran well last Saturday over 1000m, and with the step up in trip, he should prove hard to hold out.
Race Three: The Martian Handicap (70) 1000m:
Back Me: Really keen on American Star (Best Odds: $1.55). He scored a dominant debut win before racing over the 1200m here and he pulled quite hard in the run, so for him to only be nailed in the last stride was fantastic. Back in trip suits and is well weighted after the claim for Caitlin Jones.
Big Danger: Validate (Best Odds: $3.10) resumes for Tony McEvoy after a two run prep during the Autumn, which ended with a maiden win at Murray Bridge. Recent trial win was sharp and the time was very good. Hard to beat.
Roughie: Evil Dreams (Best Odds: $6.00) had two runs towards the end of the Autumn, winning on debut at Murray Bridge before going to a Stakes race at Morphettville and running well behind classy animal Prince Of Brooklyn. Recent trial was sharp and small field suits. Looks the leader too, so he should take some beating.
Race Four: Akeed Mofeed @ Goldin Farms Handicap (82) 2400m:
Back Me: Stormy Bill (Best Odds: $4.40) is a very tough bugger trained by Clinton McDonald. He did a bit of work to sit on speed last time at Pakenham and fought on very well to finish third to in form stayer Haradafull. Easier here and top Adelaide rider goes aboard.
Big Danger: Flying Casino (Best Odds: $3.70) ran over 2500m at Morphettville a couple of weeks back and ran well but was simply no match for the Lloyd Williams pair. Much easier here, and should get a very soft trip from gate one with Holder sticking.
Roughie: Packing Empire (Best Odds: $12.00) has opened surprisingly at $12 compared to $3.60 for Flying Casino. I say surprising because it was only the bob of the head that split the pair. Draws well again and Gatt sticks.
Race Five: Hughes Chauffeured Limousines Handicap (75) 1250m:
Back Me: Very keen on Quick Lover (Best Odds: $6.50). She was desperately unlucky when resuming for the new stable over 1050m here when getting badly held up close to home. The winner of the race was Cashed and that horse ran a beauty at the Valley last Friday night. Down in the weights after the claim, fitter, and draws an inside gate.
Big Danger: Try Your Best (Best Odds: $8.50) will appreciate the slight drop in depth after finishing behind Miss Adele. He seemingly had his chance there, but he isn’t a noted first up performer, and he did score an impressive win second up last time in. Hard to beat despite the wide gate.
Roughie: Deanna Jean (Best Odds: $8.50) resumed over 1100m at Morphettville and ran well but was simply no match for impressive winner, settling for third. Should improve off that, draws well and appear to be a leading contender.
Race Six: James Boag’s Premium Handicap (70) 1950m:
Back Me: The step up in trip should suit A Chiller (Best Odds: $6.00). He didn’t do a great deal in his first two runs, but he looked much better when racing over the mile at Morphettville when third to Temps Voleur. Easier here and is well weighted after the claim.
Big Danger: Frost Dodger (Best Odds: $4.20) ran fifth in that race mentioned above, and I think just forget he went around there given he was ridden on speed and I don’t think that is his go. Drawn awkwardly, but in form apprentice on and he should be cherry ripe now fourth up from the spell.
Roughie: Cruz’n Now (Best Odds: $6.50) worked home strongly late when running second to the very impressive Lloyd Williams winner Granddukeoftuscany. That horse isn’t here, and this field doesn’t appear as strong, so he is a definite winning chance.
Race Seven: Melbourne Cup Live Racing @ Morphettville Handicap (70) 1250m:
Back Me: Beau Rivage (Best Odds: $7.50) started long odds last start yet he powered home and grabbed American Star in the last stride. That horse will go around as a leading chance early on in the day so by race time here you will get a good guide on the strength of the form, but on face value, the win was sharp and Tourneur sticks.
Big Danger: Wise Journey (Best Odds: $7.00) was a touch unlucky when running last start at Morphettville. He got held up a touch early on in the straight and though he finished fourth to October Date, he should have finished closer. Easier here, and though drawn wide, Holder takes over.
Roughie: Combat Dancer (Best Odds: $17.00) sat wide with cover when racing at Morphettville last time out and he stuck to the task pretty well when fifth to Northern Zhar, who ran well last weekend to frank the form. He should go close with luck from the awkward barrier.
Race Eight: MAC Drink Driving? GROW UP Handicap (0-68) 1400m:
Back Me: Sagapuss (Best Odds: $4.20) ran over this track/distance just a tick over three weeks back and was given a gem from Tourneur to get the job down narrowly but impressively. That was his first run for Philip Stokes, so there should be improvement, and he looks one of the hardest to beat.
Big Danger: Beau’s My Boy (Best Odds: $4.40) was first up from a spell and he just looked to run out of condition when seventh to October Date after being well backed late, but he did break through the gates prior so he worked himself up a bit and I think that told late. Well weighted after the claim and now that he is fitter, he should take some beating.
Roughie: Onehundredclicks (Best Odds: $10.00) is one tough bugger who is never too far away from the action. He ran over 1400m on the Parks track last start and tried his guts out when a close second to Rod’s Opinion. Distance will be no issue, and he is right down in the weights now and is rock hard fit and seemingly is loving his racing at the moment.
BEST BET: Race Eight Number 7 Sagapuss
NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 1 Quick Lover
VALUE: Race Four Number 6 Packing Empire
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 2, 5, 6, 9
Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 5
Leg Three: 2, 5, 6, 7, 8
Leg Four: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7
$50 Investment= 8.33% of the dividend if successful.
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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