31/8/2019 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Morphettville, Penny Edition Stakes day

The Parks track at Morphettville is where Adelaide metro racing takes place this Saturday for Penny Edition Stakes Day. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

WATCH LIVE RACING AT

tab

3 Lady Loire (Bet Now: $2.30) looks suited up to 1400m. This filly was a near month between runs when racing at Sandown over 1300m last Wednesday where she sat last off a slow speed and really had no chance of winning given the tempo but was really good late behind Acting. Like her up to 1400m with upside left and hopefully the tempo can be more genuine this time around.

I have a bit of time for 2 Imperial Raider (Bet Now: $23.00) and I think he’ll make a nice stayer in the future. Was good here on debut behind Shining Brightly over 1400m before remaining at that trip last start at Balaklava where he was well backed and the bets were landed as he pounced halfway down the straight and drew clear to win impressively. Only knock is that he may want further.

7 Love From Lucy (Bet Now: $34.00) is a John Hickmott trained daughter of Ilovethiscity who was unwanted in betting when debuting at Gawler but despite having no friends in the market, her run in defeat was good, closing off with real purpose late to run second to Summer Blaze. Like her up to 1400m and while probably outclassed, she could fill a first four spot.

2 Defiant Dancer (Bet Now: $1.55) to get into the winners list. He was well tried when resuming in a maiden over 1100m on the course proper two weeks ago when outside the speed and he looked to be bolting under Stubby but Aten gave a really good kick under Vorster and Defiant Dancer couldn’t get there. Held by that horse, but had five lengths on the rest. He looks the one here.

7 Ragamuffin (Bet Now: $10.00) showed a bit of ability at the trials prior to debuting on the Ballarat Synthetic where he got back in the run and didn’t seem 100% happy on the surface behind Snapdancer, beaten eight lengths. Was hard in the market so he was expected to run well. Think back on the turf and up to 1250m should suit and stable is flying in SA at the moment.

8 Sowpods (Bet Now: $16.00) is an interesting runner. Gordon Richards trains this gelding, who hasn’t raced since debuting on Feb 16 when running last behind the well above average galloper Dalasan. That form has been outstanding since. Spelled and comes here off the back of a really sharp trial win last week. That form is good enough to win and trial was impressive.

4 Condamine (Bet Now: $5.00) for me. Matt Cumani trains this galloper, who hasn’t done a great deal in three runs this time in but has had excuses each time. First up was on the Synthetic over an unsuitable, two back was a mile out of his ground and never in the hunt, then last start at Sandown struggled on the bog track. Gets firmer footing, a good gate, finds a weak race…gets his chance.

1 Aagas (Bet Now: $3.20) is an absolute beauty for Ryan Balfour but gee he’s struggling to win. Early on in the prep it looked as if he was set for a near career best campaign but has struggled at his past couple, the latest coming behind Jaguary two weeks ago after getting a good run off the moderate speed. Was there to win but didn’t find enough in the straight. Can bounce back here.

John Hickmott has done an outstanding job with 2 Flow Meter (Bet Now: $6.00) throughout his career and he continues to race at a decent level. He ran over 2500m last Saturday on the course proper here when off the speed and trying hard but couldn’t finish it off and whacked away to run fourth to Bling Dynasty. Not sure beyond 2000m is his go, so back to 1950m suits. Just depends if he has the speed in the legs.

If 7 Schilldora (Bet Now: $2.30) is indeed going to be competitive in Melbourne, she’s got to put this field away and confident she can. Thought she was a good thing first up over 1050m on the course proper two weeks back but she was just run off her legs and was never a winning factor when fourth to Experimentation. Up to 1250m, fitter, has class…looks her race. But D-Day re if she deserves a trip to Melbourne.

2 Tequila Time (Bet Now: $9.00) is becoming frustrating to follow. He’s racing well and is trying…just not winning. Led at a decent clip two weeks ago and gave a good kick but the gap appeared late for Vieira and that horse was strongest on the line. Yet to miss a place in four runs on this track, he leads this field up…he’ll look the winner…just the last 50-100m will be the test.

4 Handsome Return (Bet Now: $12.00) is a lightly raced seven year old for Will Clarken that resumes. This bloke hasn’t raced since June 15 at Sandown when back in the run and never really a factor behind Street Sheik but bear in mind that was a day where those runners out the back really had no chance. Has had two trials to prepare for his return and at his best, he does have a bit of quality about him.

9 Aten (Bet Now: $2.30) looks an above average filly who had jumped out well prior to resuming over 1100m on the course proper two weeks ago when leading throughout. What I liked about the win is when she was challenged halfway down the straight, she kicked and got away from the second horse, safely holding it to the line. Harder here, but she looks pretty good.

1 Suplex City (Bet Now: $3.30) looks really hard to beat here. He ran over 1100m at Caulfield a fortnight back where he was hooked back to near last from the wide gate and that sealed his fate pretty much behind Pippie, but he found the line very well late in the piece. Up to 1250m looks a massive tick for him and if he’s not too far away on the turn, he’ll take some beating.

I reckon back to 1100m will suit 6 Secretly Discreet (Bet Now: $11.00). She is a few weeks between runs since racing over 1200m here where she tried hard but for the most part, she had her chance when third to Ambertone. Just think 1200m at this level sees her right out so a little query at 1250m but the little break between runs should suit her and is a definite threat here.

Throw at the stumps in the shape of 6 Liberty Song (Bet Now: $23.00), who resumes for Dan McCarthy. This bloke has showed good ability throughout his career and while his first up record is okay without being great, bear in mind the last two fresh runs, he’s run in much stronger races than this. Had a jumpout late last month at Wangaratta and led all the way in impressive fashion. Hopefully can take a sit and with the claim for Cartwright, I think he’s hard to beat.

3 Seven Year Reward (Bet Now: $4.20) can continue his winning ways. It was well and truly D-Day for him at Murray Bridge (Metro) a few weeks ago and under a confident steer form Pannell just off the speed, he found clear air in the straight and showed really good change up speed to win impressively, his first win under the care of Will Clarken. He can go on with it now.

Team Jolly has 2 Irish Mint (Bet Now: $9.00) flying and I think he can run well here. He’s over a month between runs since racing on the course proper when trying hard and beat most of the field home but was no match for Bella Vella, who has run well since, so that form reads okay for this, and I think he’ll be much more effective when sitting off speed instead of being on it.

I hope they ride 5 Long Leaf (Bet Now: $8.00) a bit more aggressively in a race that appears to lack early speed barring Kemalpasa. This four year old resumed in the Regal Roller two weeks ago where he got back in the run and made up some ground without really threatening behind Begood Toya Mother. Up to 1400m is a big tick and from the gate, Parish can take his time getting over, likely sitting outside Kemalpasa.

2 Waging War (Bet Now: $4.20) looks one of the leading chances. This mare had a little freshen up prior to racing in the Spring Stakes two weeks back and I thought she was good in defeat behind stablemate Dalasan after getting a good run just off the speed. Just lacked the speed in the legs to go with them but was sound in defeat. Up to 1400m, she’s hard to beat.

Have always had time for 8 Amberdi (Bet Now: $9.50) but she had gone off the boil somewhat in a few runs. Looked like it would continue last start at Murray Bridge (Metro) given she was wide and doing work, and under pressure on the turn, but she kept finding and edged out Dexelation in a tight go to the line. 1400m looks fine for her and she’s hard to beat here.

6 Diapason (Bet Now: $6.00) is a handy mare who was unwanted in betting when resuming over the six furlongs a fortnight back but despite having no friends in the market, I thought she ran very well in defeat when fourth to Vieira, beaten four lengths. Reckon she wants a bit further than this, but appears to have come back well and will be strong at the end of this race.

Can 8 Vahash (Bet Now: $3.40) make it 3/3? He’s done nothing wrong in two career outings, both coming at Murray Bridge. The latest came three weeks ago at the Saturday meeting when copping decent pressure on speed and was there to be run down but showed good ticker late in the straight and fought hard to win. Harder here, but like the way he’s gone about it.

7 Marina (Bet Now: $7.00) is going really well at the moment for John Hickmott. He comes back to the seven furlongs after racing over the mile on the course proper two weeks ago where he led and gave a really good kick when asked by Fawke but Dalswinton had a good run just off him and finished best in a tight photo finish. He likely lands near the speed and will be tough…does he have the change up speed?

BEST BET: Race Four Number 7 Schilldora

NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 5 Long Leaf

LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 6 Liberty Song

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 1, 9

Leg Two: 2, 3, 4, 6

Leg Three: 2, 5, 6, 8

Leg Four: 3, 6, 7, 8, 11

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

Bookmaker	Why Bet	Sign Up	Full Review
	Back Yourself with Ladbrokes!	Join	Review
	Back a Winner with Neds!	Join	Review
	Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review
	Sign up to swiftbet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review
	Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review