The depth of horse flesh at Morphettville has been pretty good in recent times and that is the case again this Saturday on an eight race card. The weather is overcast, the track is soft (7) and the rail is out ten metres from the 1200m-Winning Post; Out seven metres for the remainder.
Race One (13:44) : Mittys Handicap (70) 1000m:
Back Me: 5 Scarlet Ice (Best Odds: $6.00) debuted at Strathalbyn a couple of weeks back and was very impressive in leading all the way and winning by a space. The time was a bit slow, but she was sharp and should handle the rise in class without too many dramas.
Big Danger: 1 Vicki’s Boy (Best Odds: $1.90) started $1.30 when racing here three weeks back, and despite the short odds, he only just fell in. He does drop 1kg from that win, but this field has more depth, so I wouldn’t want to take anything too short, but he is a definite winning chance.
Roughie: 4 Raheeba (Best Odds: $16.00) was a dominant first up winner at Murray Bridge before racing there again against the older horses and running a solid race when fifth to Snip Of Magic, beaten just under two lengths. He has been unplaced in two outings at this track, but both winners are Group class gallopers.
Race Two (14:19) : Nespresso Plate 1000m:
Back Me: Really keen to see how the first starter 6 Sawaiki (Best Odds: $2.50) goes here. He is a colt trained by Lloyd Kennewell out of More Than Ready and Group l mare Aloha. Recent trial win at Morphettville was that of a potential star, he is bred to be a beauty, and on that alone, he clearly goes on top, without mentioning he was due to run in the Blue Diamond Preview on Tuesday. Normal luck and he’ll spank these.
Big Danger: 12 Serenely Discreet (Best Odds: $6.00) is a well bred filly who is having her first start for Phillip Stokes. No trials leading in, but purely on breeding, she should be a good one, so watch for market moves and see if there is any support for her.
Roughie: 4 Inspector Sphynx (Best Odds: $14.00) debuts here for Tony McEvoy off the back of a nice trial placing here behind Bullion Wolf, who is well above average. I am very keen on the top tip, so I can’t see this horse winning, but he should acquit himself well nonetheless.
Race Three (14:54) : Exelsuper Handicap (70) 1200m:
Back Me: 5 Solar Impulse (Best Odds: $6.50) looks one of the better bets on the program. He was ridden to perfection by Nick Hall last time out at Benalla, sitting out the back before peeling out and letting down with full momentum to win impressively. This isn’t the strongest 3YO race going around, and this horse just has so much upside.
Big Danger: 1 Karlovasi (Best Odds: $3.50) ran over this track/distance a fortnight and tried his heart out when running a close up second to Abu Dhabi. He has upside, and will run a strong 1200m, so I am confident he can turn the tables and prove hard to beat.
Roughie: 4 Sir Charlestown (Best Odds: $15.00) is a threat here for sure. He appreciated the drop in grade when racing at Gawler last Wednesday where he won impressively given he had to make ground in a slowly run race. He has run well in town previously, so he can measure up and be a knockout hope.
Race Four (15:33) : Medallion Homes Handicap (64) 1530m:
Back Me: 4 All Eights (Best Odds: $2.40) looks nearly close to a good thing here. He could not have been more impressive first up over 1200m here in a maiden, winning by eight lengths. He then was heavily backed and was a bit unlucky when a close up fifth to Duckworth. He will eat up the extra trip, should be peak fitness, and only bad luck beats him here.
Big Danger: 2 Boys Getaround Him (Best Odds: $2.80) ran on Strathalbyn Cup Day and tried hard but had to settle for a close up second to Presidium. He performed well on this track in several runs before that and I think back to 1500m will be ideal for this galloper.
Roughie: 3 Mavericks (Best Odds: $11.00) had a two run Victorian stint, both at Cranbourne where he ran well without threatening, and was far from disgraced. This is his right level, and with normal luck, he can definitely knock off the top tip without surprising me.
Race Five (16:13) : Evright Handicap (82) 1530m:
Back Me: 10 Husson’s Shout (Best Odds: $2.70) ran over 1200m here a fortnight back and let down with a nice finishing burst from a midfield spot to win impressively. He was only second up there, so he should improve off that here, and the rise to 1500m appears to be ideal.
Big Danger: 1 It And A Bit (Best Odds: $9.00) is having his third run in as many weeks. He ran over the mile here last Saturday and ran his usual honest race when fourth to Jim’s Journey. This looks his level and gets in well at the weights after the claim for Ryan Hurdle.
Roughie: 2 Redeem Bounty (Best Odds: $15.00) resumed over 1200m here a fortnight ago and made up ground without threatening when fifth to stablemate Alcobro, beaten three lengths in a pleasing return to the track. He will appreciate the step up in trip and is a knockout chance at odds.
Race Six (16:53) : UBET Adelaide Cup March 14 Handicap (82) 2038m:
Back Me: 10 Mr Pago (Best Odds: $3.60) looks the one for me here. He ran over 1700m at Sale last time after being well backed in betting and closed off strongly, but had to settle for a narrow second to Epic Saga. Untried at the trip, but gives the impression he will handle it and is so well weighted after the claim.
Big Danger: 5 Zerprise Journey (Best Odds: $3.20) ran over this track/distance a fortnight back and slogged it out best to win well and beat home a much stronger field than what she faces here. This is easier and she looks one of the leading contenders again.
Roughie: The wet track brings a horse like 9 Elmantosh (Best Odds: $3.20) into the mix. He is on the back up from last Saturday where he ran over the mile here when a closing fifth to Jim’s Journey. He loves a track with give in it and Lindop goes back on. Definite threat.
Race Seven (17:33) : Adelaide Galvanising Handicap (90) 1200m:
Back Me: 3 Enduro (Best Odds: $3.70) is a real credit to the great horsemanship of Richard Jolly. This horse was off the scene for 14 months, but has won four from four this time in, the latest over this track/distance when beating a similar field. He is lethal at the track/distance and with normal luck, he should just about take care of these.
Big Danger: 11 Fastcar (Best Odds: $21.00) is a son of Sebring who resumes here for Lloyd Kennewell. He is another who has been away for a long time, with the five year old resuming from a 12 month break. Recent trial behind Group l performer Iconic was sharp and despite the poor first up record, I am tipping he will go close here.
Roughie: 2 Red Eclipse (Best Odds: $31.00) is the Spring Stakes winner who also resumes here. His form was a bit off after that Stakes triumph, and the trial behind Iconic was below par, but he has class, runs well at the track and can run well fresh.
Race Eight (18:13) : MAC Drink Driving? GROW UP Handicap (64) 1200m:
Back Me: 4 Tangier Sun (Best Odds: $3.80) for me in a tricky ending to the program. He was heavily backed to win here a fortnight back but just never got into the race when finishing near last behind Husson’s Shout. Third up now, he should be at peak fitness and strikes a very winnable race from the good draw.
Big Danger: 2 Bay Road (Best Odds: $3.80) attempted to lead all the way over 1050m here last time out and just felt the pinch late when running fourth to Regal Spur, beaten just under two lengths. He should be ready now fitness wise and if he can overcome the draw, he is a winning chance
Roughie: 11 The Gee Train (Best Odds: $15.00) resumed over this trip at Gawler and worked home well without threatening when fifth to Joamble. Another that loves a wet track, has upside and does get weight relief from their first up effort.
BEST BET: Race Six Number 10 Mr Pago
NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 6 Sawaiki
VALUE: Race One Number 5 Scarlet Ice
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 5, 10
Leg Two: 5, 10
Leg Three: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 11
Leg Four: 1, 2, 4, 7, 9, 11
$50 Investment= 13.88% of the dividend if successful.
We recommend BET365 for all Quadrella punters. Sign-up at Bet365.com.au via this link for a $200 BONUS!
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
|Bookmaker||Why Bet||Sign Up||Full Review|
|Sign up and start betting in minutes!||Join||Review|
|Back Yourself with Ladbrokes!||Join||Review|
|Back a Winner with Neds!||Join||Review|
|Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!||Join||Review|
|Sign up to TAB and start betting in minutes!||Join||Review|
|Sign up to PlayUp and start betting in minutes!||Join||Review|