29/8/2020 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Morphettville, Leon Macdonald Stakes day

The Parks track at Morphettville is where Adelaide racing takes place on Saturday, where it is Leon Macdonald Stakes Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres from the 1000m-Winning Post; True for the remainder.

Leon Macdonald Stakes 🏆: View the Field for the Leon Macdonald Stakes

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4 So You Can (Bet Now: $3.10) is a nice three year old who I’m keen to butter up on. Macdonald/Gluyas trained youngster that resumed over 1100m two weeks ago and I thought on the turn was the winner, but he wanted to lay in under pressure and threw away any chance of winning, but loved the way he closed off. Eats up extra 150m and has a touch of class.

1 Crown Mint (Bet Now: $2.70) is a son of Hallowed Crown for Gordon Richards that resumes. This three year old is first up, having not raced since the SA Sires Produce when running a game third to Ringbolt after sitting wide no cover for the trip. Loved the way he went in a jumpout win last Tuesday and is a huge yard/market watch, because if he’s ready, he’s one of the hardest to beat.

Fascinating runner is 2 Trident (Bet Now: $8.50), a former Kiwi that makes his Australian debut for the Michael Hickmott team and we’ve seen with this stable in recent weeks, they have had good success with these NZ raiders. This guy has solid enough form next to his name, and Blinkers on first up tells me there is intent to run well.

I’m keen to see 2 Lord Vladivostok (Bet Now: $2.70) make his Australian debut for Michael Hickmott. Showed really good promise as a 3YO in NZ, eventually ending up in the Derby where he was outclassed behind Sherwood Forest. Better suited over a bit further, but liked the recent Murray Bridge jumpout and he’s got a touch of class/quality.

Paul Gatt getting back aboard 7 Puissance Dusoleil (Bet Now: $4.50) is a big, big tick. Resumed over 1500m on the course proper here two weeks ago and worked home pretty well without really threatening behind impressive winner Pearl Bandit, running fourth. Good record on the Parks track and Gatt knows the mare very well.

The best version of 3 Allusion (Bet Now: $5.00) is certainly capable of putting a margin on these, but it’s just a matter of which version of Allusion turns up. We saw last prep that at times he looked a disinterested horse and was really disappointing. Wasn’t knocked about in a Balaklava trial a couple of weeks ago but is clearly a market/yard watch.

Looks pretty straight forward here with 7 The Difference (Bet Now: $2.30), a Team McEvoy trained four year old that looked a near good thing on paper when racing here a few weeks ago and duly saluted under a lovely ride from Vorster, with the gelding going on to win by just over two lengths. He can go on with it now.

4 Danger Deal (Bet Now: $8.00) is a Macdonald/Gluyas trained gelding that is four weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance where I thought Stubby rode a perfect race on him, sitting back off a fast speed, and was there to win 250m out, but had no answers late for the finale produced by Silverhawk, who won again to frank the form. Hard to beat here.

6 May Be Fate (Bet Now: $14.00) is son of Reward For Effort for Jim Smith that ran over 1400m at Murray Bridge three weeks back where he was last in the run before slicing his way through the field and tried to chase down the leader, but Aqrduct was going too strong and he spanked them, but May Be Fate was good in defeat. First look at 1400m for the prep and off that, he’ll be fine here.

Fitter and up to 2250m, in the corner of 2 Andrea Mantegna (Bet Now: $4.50) for David Jolly. Was around a month between runs when racing over 2000m on the course proper here a fortnight back where he led and was flat footed when those around sprinted, but picked up in the straight and just missed when beaten a lip by Classy Joe. The one to beat IMO.

4 Exalted Ruth (Bet Now: $4.80) is somewhat of an iron mare for Grant Young that nearly seems to race every Saturday but continues to hold her form really well. Just missed out on the win three weeks back at Murray Bridge before backing up a week later on the course proper here when wide and doing work, fighting on bravely behind Ourkhani. If she continues to hold her form, she’ll take some beating.

On face value, 3 Box On Collins (Bet Now: $23.00) is going terrible this time in, but I think for the most part, you just have to scrap his recent runs because they have come on wet ground and he’s a horse who clearly races best on firmer footing. The weather forecast looks kind for his chances, so he can be a big improver.

2 Tatalina (Bet Now: $2.70) deserves another chance. Team McEvoy trained mare that was heavily supported when resuming over 1800m at Murray Bridge, but she just got too far back in the run and was never ever a winning threat, albeit did make up good ground late behind Ace Of Clubs. She can sit much closer in the run and if she does, she’ll take a power of beating.

7 Kalamon (Bet Now: $4.00) should love the rise to the 1950m for the Jolly camp. Ran over the mile on the course proper here last Saturday when back in the run and spotted the leader/eventual winner Cannot Be Serios a tidy start, but really liked the way he finished his race off. Off that, should eat up the extra ground and is hard to beat.

9 Ken’s Thunder (Bet Now: $17.00) has to step up to Saturday metro grade, but he has found some solid form this time in. He dead heated with Mulga Lil last Wednesday at Gawler, and looking at the replay again, how he maintained a share of the win I do not know. He’s quirky, but recently Jess Eaton has learned to pull the whip to the left hand, and that will be handy with this guy.

On top is 5 Streetcar Stranger (Bet Now: $2.40). David Jolly trained gelding who is five weeks between runs, having not raced since the Lightning on the course proper here when a closing second to the very impressive winner Parlophone, and while that filly was disappointing next time out, the form reads much better than anything else engaged here. Hopefully gate one is used to advantage.

10 Nature Deel (Bet Now: $9.50) is a daughter of Dundeel for Phillip Stokes that resumes. This mare hasn’t raced since her debut back in May 2019 when leading throughout to win at Balaklava, beating home a handy one in the shape of The Pugilist. Had a jumpout at Morphettville before trialling at Balaklava, each time looking like she would need the run, so I think watch the market.

3 Star Of Monsoon (Bet Now: $11.00) is now with the Steve Schrader team after formerly being with Grant Young. He raced really well with Young but just couldn’t quite get a win on the board, so a switch of stable again, tinkering with the gear, could spark improvement, and his form did suggest a win here wouldn’t surprise.

9 Dalasan (Bet Now: $1.50) should be putting this field away. Was on him in the Spring Stakes two weeks ago and he went back to his old habits of laying in badly under pressure, but was never beating Behemoth, who was impressive, while Dalasan was a definite pass mark. Fitter, up to 1400m, he should be beating this lot.

4 Fox Hall (Bet Now: $9.00) is a Team McEvoy trained gelding that should love the rise to 1400m. I thought he was very good from off the pace in the Spring Stakes, working home with purpose when fourth to Behemoth. Not quite as dynamic second up, but off that resumption, he’ll prove hard to hold out up to a more ideal trip.

Not sure he wins, but for multiples, certainly including 6 Balf’s Choice (Bet Now: $27.00). Had his first run in over a year when resuming in the Spring Stakes and I thought he was good from the back, actually passing runners late behind Behemoth. Loves racing on the Parks track. The knock on him is that potentially second up syndrome.

This looks a lovely race for the Justin Pickering trained 1 Chucky (Bet Now: $4.40). He ran over 1100m on the course proper here two weeks ago when back near last in the run and worked home strongly late when second to Sonic Deed. Yet to prove himself beyond 1100m but is racing as if he will eat up 1300m and is one of the hardest to beat.

5 Sadente (Bet Now: $4.20) is an interesting runner. Andrew Clarken trained mare who is six weeks between runs, having not raced since July 18 over 1400m here when sitting back near last in the run before Pannell weaved some magic and the mare charged home late to win. Break between runs, but overall, this isn’t a strong 58.

3 Archway To Heaven (Bet Now: $17.00) is a Scott Whittle trained gelding that should love the rise to 1300m. Resumed over 1100m on the course proper here a fortnight back and finished his race off with real purpose behind Sonic Deed, albeit was never really a winning threat. Has a good second up record and the extra furlong is a big tick.

14 Fields Of Ivy (Bet Now: $4.60) has to be given another chance. Team McEvoy trained mare that resumed over 1400m at Murray Bridge three weeks back where the leader/winner Aqueduct really ran along in front at a good clip, and Fields Of Ivy, being first up, just couldn’t sustain it and tired late to run fourth. Doubt the tempo will be as strong this time around, so giving her another chance.

5 Wounded Soldier (Bet Now: $7.00) has done a really good job since joining the Karen Byrnes team. Impressive win from off the speed to win two back on the Parks track here before going to Murray Bridge where he got back and worked home strongly when a close up third to I’m A Legend. If he can sit a pair closer in the run, he’ll take some holding out.

Second up syndrome is a query with 6 Galahad Guru (Bet Now: $8.50), but I’m including him. He was backed with confidence when racing over 1200m on the course proper a fortnight back and was there to win at the top of the straight, but first up since March 2019, condition gave out late. Fitter, up in trip…just whether he needs one more.

BEST BET: Race Seven Number 9 Dalasan

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 7 The Difference

LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 14 Fields Of Ivy

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 3, 4, 5, 10

Leg Two: 9

Leg Three: 1, 3, 4, 5, 7

Leg Four: 2, 5, 6, 14

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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