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Eight races will be run and won on the Parks track at Morphettville this Saturday. The weather forecast is for showers, the track is soft (5) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Race 1. (12:31) AAMI Handicap 1250m

Back Me

3 Grinzinger Express (Bet Now: $2.45) on top. The Hayes/Dabernig stable trains this filly, who was solid enough in betting when debuting over 1100m at Wodonga, sat on speed under Cory Parish and was there to be beaten late when challenged but found plenty late and clung on to win. Don’t think this is the strongest city 2YO race going around, so she doesn’t have to be anything special to win.

Danger

4 Hard Press (Bet Now: $2.20) is a son of Shamexpress for Richard Laming who had good specking at odds when debuting in a Sale 2YO maiden on June 12 where he got a fair way back off the speed and was never really in the hunt but got to the outside and found the line okay in defeat. Very thin 2YO race this and should improve with the run under the belt. Definite threat.

Long Shot

Up to 1250m will really suit 1 Magic Phantom (Bet Now: $3.90). He ran over 1100m on the course proper two weeks ago where he was well off the speed and looked like he would place at best, but the last 150m, he really attacked the line and surged hard under Ryan Hurdle to score a most impressive win. He’ll eat up the extra 150m and third up, should just about be at peak fitness.

Race 2. (13:06) Hughes LImousines Handicap (82) 1550m

Back Me

D-Day for 5 Debt Collector (Bet Now: $1.50). Looks his race on paper but it’s been like that a couple of times this prep and he hasn’t won. He ran over 1400m at Flemington three weeks ago where he got a mile back off the speed and spotted those near the front a huge start but he got clear and worked home strongly to run a narrow second to Bad Wolf. That form wasn’t exactly ticked off last week, but compare that to SA form, it looks the better reference.

Danger

6 Polar Vortex (Bet Now: $10.00) interests me with the light weight for Jess Eaton. This Travis Doudle trained runner hasn’t raced for a month since contesting a race at this track/distance where not much went his way behind Waging War in a race which had far more depth than what he faces here. 51kg on his back, fresh legs, not much overall depth…I think he’s the main and perhaps only threat.

Long Shot

Really interesting runner is 1 Up ‘N’ Rolling (Bet Now: $6.50), a former Chris Waller galloper that is now with Grant Young. He has had three runs back from a near year off and while he hasn’t done a great deal in each outing, the three races have clearly been superior to what he’ll face here. New home, new surroundings, new training regime…could spark something positive.

Race 3. (13:41) Schweppes Handicap (70) 1400m

Back Me

Like the look of 6 Helmaz (Bet Now: $8.00) for Kav. He was a few weeks between runs when racing over 1400m at Echuca last time where I thought young Kersley gave the three year old every chance and he tried hard but was no match late for Howlowcanyougo, who was nominated for this race and would be a $1.50 pop against this lot, so I think that form reads well and has upside, plus good 1400m form.

Danger

5 Blow Torch (Bet Now: $4.60) is three weeks between runs for the Tony McEvoy stable since resuming over 1300m here where he was unwanted in betting late but despite that, he sat off the speed and tried very hard, looking the winner for a few strides, but was nailed near the line by the in form Regalo Di Gaetano. Another with plenty of upside and is a key threat for sure.

Long Shot

2 Ice Ghost (Bet Now: $5.50) has been up forever it seems for Gordon Richards but continues to race really well. He ran over the mile on the course proper a fortnight back and I thought his effort behind Rapid Bay was enormous. Just had far too much to do from the back, being set an impossible task, but he did make up significant ground in the straight to run fourth. If he can sit closer in the run, he’ll take some beating.

Race 4. (14:16) Heineken 3 Handicap (82) 2400m

Back Me

3 Meli Melo (Bet Now: $4.00) is a Barry Brook trained mare who was a month between runs when racing over 2500m on the course proper two weeks ago where she had to lump the 58kg on the wet track and she tried her guts out, but couldn’t quite get the win and had to settle for a narrow second to Sasko. Think with improvement left given the break between runs, she rates highly.

Danger

5 Super Swoop (Bet Now: $2.40) has really turned the corner in recent times for the Macdonald/Gluyas stable, winning three on the bounce, the latest coming over 2000m on the course proper a fortnight ago where Caitlin Jones got going early on the gelding, getting near the speed on the turn before asking for the big effort and he put them away quickly and held a comfortable margin to the line. 2400m should be fine and is the one to beat.

Long Shot

4 Pickelhaube (Bet Now: $9.50) is on the seven day back up after racing over 2000m on the course proper last Saturday where they really ran along in front, with this bloke just off that speed, and he tried hard but it was a race set up for those from behind and he couldn’t quite finish it off. An unknown at 2400m, but doubt they will go silly hard like last week, so he gets a chance at the trip.

Race 5. (14:56) Evright.com Maiden Plate 1000m

Back Me

3 Need The Yen (Bet Now: $4.20) looks the winner. Will Clarken trains this son of Reward For Effort who has had only had the one career start, which came in a Strathalbyn maiden back on January 16 where he was odds on but could only manage third, but the winner of the race was Terbium, who has since gone on to be a blacktype winner and a potential Group l horse. Clearly reads well for this and recent trial was a nice piece of work.

Danger

10 Queen’s Song (Bet Now: $8.00) is a Phillip Stokes trained filly who has let the punters down in each run but taking the punter hat off, the runs have been good, the latest at Balaklava over 1050m when fourth to Rebel Tantrum after doing work to hold a spot near the speed. Good little maiden this and will need to improve, but no reason to suggest he can’t, and that last start has seen Counter Drive win his maiden then win again last Saturday.

Long Shot

11 Sophina Diva (Bet Now: $7.00) is a daughter of Akeed Mofeed for the Jolly camp who has been solid in a couple of runs back from a spell. Wide throughout in a total forgive first up behind Counter Drive at this track/distance before racing at Balaklava where she tried to hold the lead and inside, spending petrol tickets, but fought on strongly, only to be nabbed late by a bolter in Heroes Quest. Needs to improve but overall form doesn’t read too bad.

Race 6. (15:36) TAB Handicap (86) 1000m

Back Me

I think the best version of 7 Columbia (Bet Now: $4.00) is good enough to beat these. Handy sprinter for Will Clarken who came on in leaps and bounds last time in, winning several races and even going on to be competitive in Melbourne. Resumes here in what looks a very winnable race and he has had the benefit of a couple of trials to tune him up for his return. Has class and I think that just about gets him home.

Danger

5 Creativity (Bet Now: $2.80) is the interesting one. Will Clarken trains this mare, who had her first run for the new stable back on May 25 where she looked a good thing on paper but was very weak in the straight and on face value, was awful, but did pull up distressed and had a poor post race recovery. Been freshened up and has had a quiet trial to prepare for her return. Her best is good enough…just want to watch her first.

Long Shot

1 Cashed (Bet Now: $8.50)is an absolute beauty for Ryan Balfour. Every prep he runs honestly and he started this prep with a brilliant win from the back over this track/distance three weeks ago, sitting back in the field off a good speed before being presented clear air wider and he finished hard to get the win. Not sure he can win again, but I think he’s a must for exotics.

Race 7. (16:16) Terry Howe Printing Handicap (70) 1550m

Back Me

11 Cavalry Gold (Bet Now: $14.00) comes here with a lightweight for the Sue Jaensch stable and I don’t think this is a strong race. This Charge Forward gelding was a month between runs when racing over 1550m at Mount Gambier when on speed and fighting hard but just failing to hold on when a narrow second to Tzarevna. Gets down to 52kg, lands on speed and will be tough to get past.

Danger

4 Canford (Bet Now: $3.80) is a son of Canford Cliffs for Ryan Balfour who had good late specking when scoring an impressive win over the mile on the course proper two weeks ago, charging home from off the pace under Pannell to land the bets at odds. That followed an eye catching run at this track/distance so he’s clearly going well and has to be regarded as a winning chance.

Long Shot

9 Rothmoore (Bet Now: $10.00) stunned most with a win here first up at $51 and in two runs since, he’s been solid, the latest coming two weeks ago over the mile on the course proper behind Canford after getting back and held up. Gets a 2.5kg weight swing and does get back to the Parks track plus a better barrier, so turning the tables isn’t out of the question IMO.

Race 8. (16:55) Teys Australia Handicap (70) 1400m

Back Me

I’ll take a punt on 11 Amerissa (Bet Now: $12.00), a daughter of Americain for Tony McEvoy that resumes. Doesn’t have the greatest of overall records, but has shown enough talent to suggest she can measure up in town, and I loved the way she went in a recent 1250m trial win here in sharp time relative to the morning. Will be better over further, but think she’s forward enough for a first up showing.

Danger

6 Charossa (Bet Now: $3.90) hasn’t had much go his way this time in. First up over 1250m here, didn’t have much room in the straight when fifth to Rothmoore before racing over 1200m on the course proper where he got badly checked a couple of times in a real horror show behind Beautiful Flyer. Up to 1400m looks a big tick and with normal luck, he’ll take some beating.

Long Shot

8 Pewter (Bet Now: $14.00) is a very consistent type for Sue Murphy who was rewarded for his honesty with a pretty dominant win at Mount Gambier over 1400m, settling just off the speed before Puls got him going on the turn towards the dog leg and he kept going to win impressively. His last couple of metro runs going back to March, both over unsuitable trips, were really good and that form reads well for this.

Best Bets & Quaddie Tips

BEST BET: Race Two Number 5 Debt Collector

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 3 Need The Yen

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 11 Cavalry Gold

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 3

Leg Two: 5, 7

Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 9, 11

Leg Four: 6, 8, 9, 11

$50 Investment = 125% of the dividend if successful

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