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Good Friday in Perth heads to Ascot for an eight event program. Weather is fine, track is good (4) and the rail is out twelve metres for the entire circuit.

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Melvista Stakes ๐Ÿ†: View the Field and Odds for the Melvista Stakes

Race 1. (16:15) Furphy (Rs0ly) 1000m

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5 Shilling Lane (Bet Now:ย $4.40) is on top for me. Steele Casey trained three year old that is on debut off the back of a win over 950m in a Lark Hill trial where he was clicked up near the speed and moved nicely to draw clear and win well in solid time, seemingly with something in reserve too. Harvey rode in the trial and he sticks here. Like him.

Danger

2 Cessation (Bet Now:ย $5.00) commands respect. He is unbeaten in two career outings, his latest run coming at Bunbury on Feb 28 when a strong on speed winner over this trip. The break between runs I find interesting but he does get in well after the claim and has a good racing style. Leading contender.

Long Shot

4 Finado (Bet Now:ย $7.00) is a son of Snippetson on debut for Team Casey. He ran in a Belmont trial last Monday where he led, was pushed out and while he was held late, he did beat the rest comfortably and moved well enough to my eye. Can press forward and give cheek I am sure.

Race 2. (16:50) Tabtouch - Have You Got The Touch Mdn 1200m

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8 Belta Of A Song (Bet Now:ย $2.20) looks ready to rock and roll for a maiden win. Brendon Fitzgerald trained mare that ran down the straight at Pinjarra when tucked in behind the speed and was badly held up before eventually getting clear and charging late, just missing out on the win, but she clearly should have won. That was in a Class 1. Now back to maiden grade, she’ll take beating.

Danger

15 Petite Vitesse (Bet Now:ย $6.50) is a Nicconi filly for Simon Miller that is on debut. She trialled at Belmont last Monday where she got back in the run and closed off with real purpose in a good piece of work behind Shilling Lane, who I like in the opener so you’ll know come jump time here how strong that form is.

Long Shot

4 Dutch Por (Bet Now:ย $35.00) is an interesting runner. Luke Fernie trained son of Ducmis that ran in a 400m trial at Belmont where he was near the front and niggled throughout but moved well enough to my eye and wasn’t beaten far in a solid effort behind Twain’s Angel. Given the trainer/jock combo, watch the market.

Race 3. (17:25) Schweppes Hcp 2200m

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6 Simply (Bet Now:ย $4.50) for me. Team Williams trained gelding that has been strong in recent runs, winning the maiden impressive two back at Bunbury over 2000m before going to 2200m at Belmont last time out where he got a fair way out of his ground and worked home well I thought behind Savorski. He has that 2200m run under the belt and will be strong at the end.

Danger

1 Savorski (Bet Now:ย $6.00) won the race mentioned above and with that, he commands respect. He was well supported at odds despite a flop the start prior and #They got it spot on as he came with a well timed run to finish best in a good effort. He only has to hold his form to be around the mark.

Long Shot

7 Manzor Magic (Bet Now:ย $4.00) is lightly raced and heading in the right direction for Team Williams. He ran in a 1900m maiden at Narrogin last time out where he seemingly got into a decent spot behind the speed and tried hard but couldn’t quite get there when a narrow second. He’ll appreciate a rise in trip and does get Pike to steer, so he has a bit in his corner.

Race 4. (18:03) Drummond Golf Hcp (C1) 1800m

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7 Win To Retire (Bet Now:ย $4.20) has found winning form and she can certainly go on with it. Paul Roberts trained mare that was racing really well without winning but that all changed last time out over the mile at Belmont, giving them a start and a beating to win and win well. 0/2 at Ascot but hard to knock how well she’s racing at the moment.

Danger

2 Beach Pad (Bet Now:ย  $SP.00) is a lightly raced three year old for Mitch Pateman that does have an engine under the hood. He has been strong in his two career outings, winning impressively on debut at Pinjarra before going here where he got back to near last and made up some ground but was never a factor. If she can settle closer, he’ll take holding out.

Long Shot

5 Be Awesome (Bet Now:ย $3.60) has to be given another chance. Team Williams trained gelding that ran at Narrogin last time out when wide no cover on speed throughout and that hard run just told late, finishing down the track behind Beermullah. Maps to get a much better run in transit and strikes a winnable race. Don’t dismiss.

Race 5. (18:38) Glenroy Chaff Hcp (C1) 1000m

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I am quite keen on 6 Ocean Outlaw (Bet Now:ย $7.00). He resumes for Simon Miller after a three run Spring prep where he contested benchmark races and ran well for the most part. Given a good break and he sizzled in a recent Belmont trial when stalking the leader, angled clear and worked to the line under a hold to win, beating Finado, who goes around in the first. Think he can resume with a win.

Danger

4 Ahyeahrighto (Bet Now:ย $3.80) looks a nice horse for Brad Graham. He was kept very safe in betting when debuting down the straight at Pinjarra where he was a touch keen in the run behind the speed before angling clear and finishing best for a sharp win at start one. Good improvement to come and Harvey sticks with him.

Long Shot

3 Wicked Venom (Bet Now:ย $12.00) is capable with his best. Rhys Radford trained galloper that ran down the straight at Pinjarra last time where he was near the speed, with cover, and tried hard, but couldn’t quite get involved, finishing down the track. First up run was strong so perhaps back to a bending track, he can bounce back.

Race 6. (19:13) Quokka Slot Race 20Th April (C5) 1600m

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9 His Eminence (Bet Now:ย $6.50) has a good third up record and should be ready to go for Colin Webster. Ran a beauty first up behind Oaks favourite Own The Queen before going to the mile a few weeks ago when wide with cover and tried to get involved but was a bit one paced in the straight behind Our Rocky Bay. Good third up record and maps a touch better this time around.

Danger

5 Oceanzara (Bet Now:ย $4.80) should appreciate getting back up to the mile. She was 1600m back to 1400m when racing here a few weeks ago. She was just off the speed throughout and just kept finding the line in a really good effort when third to the in form Rogues Point. Like her back up in trip and from the good draw, she’ll get every chance.

Long Shot

10 Justamiddy (Bet Now:ย $3.40) is dangerous with his best. Neville Parnham trained gelding that ran in the Our Rocky Bay race mentioned above where he was wide no cover throughout and he tried hard but that hard run just told late in the piece but that said, he was far from disgraced. Maps better and his best is good enough.

Race 7. (19:48) Melvista Stakes 2200m

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2 A Lot Of Good Men (Bet Now:ย $4.80) is bursting to win. He just needs to use the inside gate to advantage and I think if he does, good luck beating him. Wide no cover, should have won two back, before going to the JC Roberts over 1800m where he got too far back but worked home with real purpose. Like him up in trip, inside gate…surely his time to shine is now.

Danger

1 Lord Vampi (Bet Now:ย $4.40) is flying for Team Pearce and commands respect. This guy won the JC Roberts, giving them a start and a beating in an electric performance, finishing best to win and win well. He’s the #1 seed for the Derby and can easily confirm that furthermore with a win here.

Long Shot

15 Beach Pad (Bet Now:ย $31.00) is a lightly raced three year old for Mitch Pateman that does have an engine under the hood. He has been strong in his two career outings, winning impressively on debut at Pinjarra before going here where he got back to near last and made up some ground but was never a factor. If he can settle closer, he’ll be a threat at odds.

Race 8. (20:23) Morley Growers Market Hcp (C3) 1400m

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4 Fly With Caution (Bet Now:ย $2.05) on top but not really a race I want to get involved in. This guy resumed over 1300m at Belmont where he was met with good market support and he tried his guts out but couldn’t quite get the win when a narrow second to Influencing. Better for the run under the belt, more genuine tempo this time around, he’ll take beating.

Danger

5 China Spirit (Bet Now:ย $5.50) will jump on the speed and take running down I’d suggest. He has placed his past two, firstly over this track/distance before going to Belmont when attempting to lead throughout and giving a strong kick but just couldn’t quite see it through. If this track is playing up/in, he’ll become more dangerous.

Long Shot

3 Selby Park (Bet Now:ย $101.00) is a fruit loop upstairs but I am convinced he has an engine under the hood. He resumed over 1200m at Belmont where he was quite difficult to load and I think he ran his race behind the barriers when down the track. His best is good enough. Just needs to show it.

Best Bets & Quaddie Tips

BEST BET: Race Five Number 6 Ocean Outlaw

NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 2 A Lot Of Good Men

LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 9 His Eminence

 

Quaddie (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 6

Leg Two: 2, 5, 7, 9, 10

Leg Three: 1, 2

Leg Four: 3, 4, 5, 6

$50 Investment = 125% of the dividend if successful.

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