29/12/2018 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Randwick, Christmas Classic day

Nine races will be run and won at Randwick on Saturday, backing up from their Boxing Day program on Wednesday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.

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12 Yitai Synergy (Bet Now: $2.00) looks pretty good. Team Snowden trained filly who could be off to the Magic Millions with a win here. She has looked outstanding in her two trials to date, and has shown real professionalism as a juvenile, jumping on speed, relaxing and then showing change up speed when asked. If she runs up to her trials, I think she’ll be winning.

10 Iconic Star (Bet Now: $8.50) is a Brazen Beau filly for Kris Lees which is having her first start. She has had just the one trial, which came just under two weeks back at Gosford over 800m when leading all the way and looking to do it rather comfortably under Mitch Bell. Time was nothing flash but it was okay relative to the morning. Always on guard with Kris Lees when he debuts one in town, and she does hold a nomination for the Magic Millions.

1 Hightail (Bet Now: $7.50) is an interesting runner. Stablemate of Yitai Synergy who is also potentially on the Magic Millions path should he run well here. He debuted at Kembla and despite being green in the straight he was too good for his rivals. Paris, who was runner up, is a filly I don’t mind, so I think the form is alright and he’s got that all important race experience.

5 Risk And Reward (Bet Now: $5.50) on top in what looks a rather tricky Highway. Resumed over 1000m here a fortnight ago in a Highway where he was wide no cover on speed and couldn’t finish it off behind impressive winner Sei Stella. Depth here doesn’t look as strong and with better luck in running I think he’ll be quite dangerous and his prior form doesn’t read too bad.

2 Ori On Fire (Bet Now: $5.00) is a Cameron Crockett trained five year old who had trialled up really well prior to resuming in the feature sprint on Mudgee Cup Day where he was a bit disappointing I thought. Sat on speed, was under riding a fair way out and never really looked like the winner behind Our Dasha. He’s much better than that, so give him another chance.

1 Equal Balance (Bet Now: $8.00) is certainly capable of beating these. Ran at Goulburn last time and just looked a little flat footed when the sprint went on but was more than sound late, beaten 1.5L. Fresh, back to 1100m, sits back off a likely hot speed, he could well get to the outside and have last look. At near double figures, he’s certainly a watch.

8 Bondi (Bet Now: $2.80) looks the one to beat. He was a bit of an enigma once upon a time but in recent times he’s becoming more consistent. Resumed in the Wyong 3&4YO Magic Millions and closed off strongly from the back to run second to Problem Solver. Back to his own age now and up to 1400m looks ideal, and he does have a touch of class on his side.

Hard to knock a mare in form and that is what 3 Sweet Deal (Bet Now: $4.20) is. John Thompson trains her, winning her last two, taking on the boys and beating them two before facing her own sex and repeating the dose. You could make an argument both ways as to whether this is weaker or stronger than what she’s been racing. Slightly stronger, but gets the sweet draw.

1 New Universe (Bet Now: $8.00) is ticking over well but can’t quite crack it for a win. Ran over 1400m at Rosehill three weeks where he last in a fast run race and he tried hard but the leader/winner Irithea ran along and proved too good. His record, numerically, at Randwick, doesn’t read great, but he has run some good races here in the past, so it’s a bit misleading.

3 Mister Songman (Bet Now: $1.70) looks the horse to beat. Former Tassie galloper who has been quite good in two runs for the WaterBott team, the latest coming a fortnight back here when on speed and fighting on strongly to run a close up third to Deprive. Up to 1400m looks perfect. Just has to get on speed without doing too much work and he’ll look the winner for the most part I’m sure.

1 Generalissimo (Bet Now: $7.50) isn’t one of mine but concede he’s a chance if the fav is off his game. Hasn’t won in a long time but his recent efforts in stronger company have been okay, his latest run seeing him finish three lengths off Irithea, who was beaten a lip in the Belle Of The Turf yesterday, so the form reads well, drops to 76 grade, inside gate and Collett on, he looks the main and perhaps only threat.

I’m interested to see how 6 Shock Alert (Bet Now: $19.00) goes. Bjorn Baker trains this gelding, who can be hit and miss at times but at his best, he’s up to these for sure. Can sprint well fresh and there looks to be intent for a first up assault. Two slick trial wins, the latest at 1300m. Looks wound up enough to my eye to run a bold race fresh at seven furlongs.

9 Zip A Dee Doo Dah (Bet Now: $9.50) has had a great opening prep in Australia for Kris Lees. He was unwanted in betting last time at Canterbury but despite the market saying no, he ran a beauty without much luck behind Fuel, who dominated from the front. Think the bigger track and rise to 1800m looks perfect. I think he and Asterius are the two to beat here.

He’s ready to win 3 Asterius (Bet Now: $4.40) but the gate has put me off. He has been outstanding in two runs back from a break. Unlucky resumption behind Sweet Deal before racing over 1500m at Rosehill and running a narrow third to Reflectivity. Randwick 1800m, third up with improvement to come, he looks so well placed…just wish he drew a better barrier.

11 Laussel (Bet Now: $11.00) is a James Cummings trained mare who steps out to an ideal trip. She comes through the Reflectivity race from three weeks ago where she was just off the speed and tried hard all the way when a close up fifth to the Team Hawkes runner. Think she’ll appreciate extra ground and with the right run can fill a minor spot. But will need to improve sharply to win.

Big fan of 8 Problem Solver (Bet Now: $5.50) and I’m confident she can measure up. I liked her at odds to beat the cat that is Invincible Star in the 3&4YO Magic Millions at Wyong and if you were on, it was a painless watch from the 400m onwards. She dashed right away and ran really good time. Off that, she should be fine here and I think she has room for improvement. Hopefully she’s at each way odds.

I would be leaning the way of 1 Alizee (Bet Now: $2.10) but the gate just puts me off. I think there are enough question marks to just sit back and watch but clearly on ability/class, she’s got a few lengths on these. Hasn’t raced since scoring an outstanding win in the Queen Of The Turf during the Championships. Being aimed at the All Star Mile, so this will be a cameo before being set for that, and her two trials leading in have been great. Can she win giving them a start?

At 1200m I’d say no, but he’s such a tease is 5 Husson Eagle (Bet Now: $10.00) that I have to include him. He resumed down the Flemington straight a fortnight back and closed off strongly late to run a close up third to Whispering Brook. He seems a 1000m-1100m specialist, but if they go quick here and he gets a drag up into the straight, he could well be effective.

7 Gresham (Bet Now: $3.20) for me. Change of tactics last time were to ride more positive and that is what happened. He found the front, looked to travel well and gave a really good kick but couldn’t quite see it through and was nabbed late by Penske. Think with cover, he’ll be far more effective and third up at the mile with weight relief looks an ideal recipe for mine.

8 Reflectivity (Bet Now: $3.50) is racing really well at the moment. Just found Organza too good two back before racing again at Rosehill where he was tardy away but Brock Ryan kept his cool and rode the lovely race to guide the All Too Hard gelding home. Little bit of a query at a strong mile, but he’s just about in career best form and has to be respected here.

I reckon 9 Vaucluse Bay (Bet Now: $16.00) is ticking over nicely. Chris Waller trains and this gelding is two weeks between runs after racing at this track/distance on Villiers Day where he wasn’t too bad in defeat from the back behind Tip Top, beaten just under four lengths. Think he might want further, and was accepted for a 2100m race last Saturday so he’s an interesting runner.

4 Deprive (Bet Now: $2.15) looks the good thing on the program. Just didn’t handle the bog first up at Warwick Farm behind subsequent winner Heart Conquered before getting back on firmer footing here a fortnight back and aided by a peach from Bowman, he proved far too good. Should get even firmer footing this time around and we saw in the trials on dry ground how explosive his change up speed was. Really keen.

6 Southern Lad (Bet Now: $6.00) is a promising animal for John O’Shea who gets another chance at Saturday grade. Was okay two back at this level behind Sweet Deal before going to the Friday night meeting at Canterbury and getting the job done. Kept up to the mark with a nice trial behind Alizee, gets the claim for Robbie Dolan and with luck, he can threaten.

5 Junglized (Bet Now: $11.00) is three weeks between runs since resuming over 1100m at Rosehill where he was up near a pretty fast speed and he had every right to drop out but he kept finding and was only beaten a couple of lengths by Bon Amis. Second up record is good and he’s got the right racing pattern, plus a good dosage of toughness. Outside winning claims with a good run near the pace.

1 Savvan (Bet Now: $4.50) is a handy mare for John O’Shea who has been a bit of a tease for a long time. In saying that, I think the Kensington win at the end of last prep looks to have done her confidence the world of good. Trialled up very well prior to resuming here where she ran a close up third to surprise winner Star Reflection. Good second up record and this race is much easier.

5 Pumpkin Pie (Bet Now: $8.50) looks a threat. This mare was formerly with Danny Williams but is now with Richard Freedman. She has showed good talent since day one and has been touted as a blacktype class mare. Just hasn’t quite done the job. Now with Freedman, she’s looked great in a couple of trials and can sprint well fresh. Just want a market push.

I’ll be backing Savvan but also having something very small each way on 7 Malmoosa (Bet Now: $41.00), resuming for Daniel Bowen. This mare really came of age last prep, winning several races, including the Beef Week Cup at Casino, along with being placed in town at Doomben. The two trials have been as good as you’ll see for a North Coast runner, she resumes in town and regular rider Matty McGuren probably gives up decent rides at the Gold Coast for this one ride. $40+ seems rather silly.

BEST BET: Race Eight Number 4 Deprive

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 12 Yitai Synergy

LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 9 Zip A Dee Doo Dah

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 2, 5, 8

Leg Two: 3, 7, 8, 9, 10

Leg Three: 4

Leg Four: 1, 2, 5, 7

$50 Investment= 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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