A really good card of racing has been assembled for Belmont on Saturday, where the feature race is the Group lll Belmont Sprint (1400m). The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Race One (13:58) : Schweppes Plate 1400m:
Back Me: 1 Stored Energy (Bet Now: $2.50) ran over 1300m here a fortnight back and produced a lovely turn of foot from off the speed to win impressively. Extra 100m looks only beneficial and only has to overcome the wide gate to take care of them again I suspect.
Big Danger: 3 Kilkenny Joe (Bet Now: $21.00) ran over 1200m at Pinjarra last Thursday where he sat on speed and fought on pretty well late when a close up second to Prince Mouritz. Meets that horse here again, but I think he can turn the tables.
Roughie: 11 Too Lippy (Bet Now: $21.00) is an interesting runner. She has done bugger all in two runs for Dan Morton, but take note that Pike sticks despite the filly not showing much on race day. Is she showing something in trackwork?
Race Two (14:38) : Terrace Restaurant- Book Now Handicap (78+) 2000m:
Back Me: 2 Tonto (Bet Now: $7.50) won well here two back over the mile before racing at the same track/distance and running fourth to Military Ruler. Up to 2000m is what he is looking for now, and this isn’t a strong race.
Big Danger: 1 Respondent (Bet Now: $4.80) ran second to Tonto in that race he won above, before running second to Military Ruler in that same race mentioned above. He hasn’t won in a long time, but he looks a genuine threat.
Roughie: 4 Dark Musket (Bet Now: $3.10) ran over 2100m here last Saturday where he failed to handle the wet track it seemed behind Star Exhibit. If he gets a firmer track here, especially wit only 51kg on his back, he’ll be hard to hold out late.
Race Three (15:13) : James Boags Premium Handicap (72+) 1000m:
Back Me: 2 Bourne Supremacy (Bet Now: $2.50) looks a good thing here. He drops miles in grade after contesting the Roma Cup (1200m) last time out where he ran a fifth to Battle Hero. His form prior was outstanding, and really, normal luck and he’ll win.
Big Danger: 8 Showy Chloe (Bet Now: $3.60) drops back to the short course after running over the mile last time out behind North Ridge at Ascot, which was six weeks. Pike sticks which is a good lead and given she is a Stakes winner, she is well weighted.
Roughie: 4 Mad Brad (Bet Now: $7.50) resumes here after just one run last prep, which saw him run eighth at Bunbury on Australia Day. No trials, so fitness is unknown, but on his best form, he’d be ultra competitive here.
Race Four (15:52) : Fasttrack To 2016/17 Membership Handicap (1MW) 1200m:
Back Me: 9 King River (Bet Now: $3.40) resumed here a couple of weeks back and looked a little unlucky I thought when running third to Red Publisher. He only has upside and stable are ready to fire again after a frustrating afternoon last Saturday.
Big Danger: 3 Cool Passion (Bet Now: $2.90) won impressively first up after a great ride from Lucy Warwick before racing over this track/distance a fortnight back and running a game second to Red Publisher. Not sure he can hold out King River here, but he should be respected enormously.
Roughie: 1 Grey Enigma (Bet Now: $14.00) won well here two back before racing over this track/distance last Wednesday when running a close up third to On Trend. Rises to Saturday grade and is topweight, so on that basis, I’m not sure he can win, but he draws well, he’s in form and hard fit.
Race Five (16:33) : Perth Racing Young Membership Handicap (1MW) 2100m:
Back Me: 5 Romelo (Best Odds: $2.00) made his Australian debut over the mile here a fortnight back and closed for strongly late to run a narrow second to In His Life. Enormous upside with this bloke and he looks one of the better bets on the program.
Big Danger: 1 Caralabek (Best Odds: $7.00) ran over this track/distance three weeks ago and tried hard but had to settle for a close up second to Shinta Mani. The little break should do him the world of good and looks the only threat.
Roughie: 8 Our Mate Al (Best Odds: $9.50) ran at the midweeks over the mile here on May 18 and closed off hard from near last to run fifth to Le Schiller, beaten just under a length. Out in trip is exactly what he is looking for and he has plenty of upside.
Race Six (17:10) : Pink Ladies Day Luncheon Handicap 1400m:
Back Me: 3 Scales Of Justice (Bet Now: $3.10) looks the way to go here. He resumed over 1300m here a fortnight back and stuck to the task very well when second to Great Shot. Meets that horse 2kg better here and draws better, so he can turn the tables and win here.
Big Danger: 7 Sigil (Bet Now: $11.00) ran at the midweeks here last Wednesday and was quite dominant in getting the job done under Pike, who remains on the son of Saxon, which is a good lead. He only has upside and is a chance.
Roughie: 12 Klondike Kenny (Bet Now: $31.00) ran over 1300m here a fortnight back and just got too far back in a slowly run race behind Great Shot. Remains down in the weights and draws well again. If he can sit closer he is a knockout chance.
Race Seven (17:50) : Belmont Sprint 1400m:
Back Me: Most of these come through the Roma Cup and I think the champ 1 Luckygray (Bet Now: $4.80) has to go on top. He was off the scene for a year when resuming in that race and closed off hard to run third to Battle Hero, running the fastest final 600m of the race. The concern is that he may race flat second up but I’ll take the chance.
Big Danger: 7 Hazzabeel (Bet Now: $9.50) was also first up and he too got back in a race which suited horses near the speed. He finished fourth in what was a pleasing return. Has the potential to be the best horse in WA. Needs to stand up in a race like this.
Roughie: 10 Balmont Girl (Bet Now: $31.00) is a talented mare that also comes through the Roma Cup where she just couldn’t win from last and the slow sectionals they ran early. Up in trip will suit her and she can unleash late.
Race Eight (18:30) : Amelia Park Beef Handicap (72+) 1400m:
Back Me: 11 Dezzies Dream (Bet Now: $4.20) would have been a good thing beaten had he not got the gap first up here, but Johnston-Porter got him through and he dashed to win. Tumbles in weight here and has enormous upside, so he ticks the boxes for me.
Big Danger: 4 Military Ruler (Bet Now: $2.80) ran over the mile here a fortnight back and was given a lovely on speed steer from Pike to get the job done in good fashion in what looks as though it will be a strong form race. Back to 1400m is no issue, fitter and Pike sticks.
Roughie: 16 Present Arms (Bet Now: $41.00) ended his Summer/Autumn prep with three wins on the trot, albeit over further trips than this. I like horses that go to the paddock in winning form, because they often come back and run well fresh, which is what I am expecting from this galloper.
BEST BET: Race Five Number 5 Romelo
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 2 Bourne Supremacy
VALUE: Race Two Number 2 Tonto
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 5
Leg Two: 2, 3, 4, 7, 12
Leg Three: 1, 3, 7, 10, 11,1 2
Leg Four: 3, 4, 7, 9, 11, 12, 16
$50 Investment= 23.80% of the dividend if successful
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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