A bumper program has been assembled for Doomben on Saturday, where it is George Moore Stakes Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (3) and the rail is out four metres for the entire circuit.
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Race One (13:28) : Sky Racing Handicap 1050m:
Back Me: Spot The Diff (Best Odds: $1.95) gets the blinkers on for the first time at start number three. He didn’t beat much last time out but the manner in which he did it was quite impressive. Dittman remains on and he drops 1.5kg from last start. Looks the one.
Big Danger: Rainy Day Woman (Best Odds: $10.00) ran over this track/distance last start when running second to Zelady’s Night Out, who is my early pick for the Magic Millions, so I am tipping that form to hold up well, and she has the hard racing under the belt.
Roughie: Sundance (Best Odds: $19.00) is a first starter for Toby Edmonds who trialled on his home track at the Gold Coast where he ran second, and the time wasn’t too bad in comparison to other trials run that morning. Drawn wide, but stable is flying and rider is the form hoop in Brisbane at the moment.
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Race Two (14:03) : Club 100 Handicap (75) 2200m:
Back Me: Finding it hard to tip against Annaman (Best Odds: $3.80), who was good to myself and the followers of the tips last start when he just romped in over this track/distance, with a big help from Jim Byrne, who got the horse to settle beautifully near the speed before getting the splits and winning with ease. Has to rise in weight, but that doesn’t matter I think when it comes to these staying races in Brisbane. If they win, they generally keep winning.
Big Danger: Chillin’ With Dylan (Best Odds: $2.60) is on the back up from last Saturday where he ran in the Recognition and ran well without luck behind Traveston Girl. Up to 2200m is perfect and he is the clear class runner.
Roughie: Mr Lebrock (Best Odds: $16.00) makes his Brisbane debut after contesting a couple of races on his home track at the Gold Coast, the latest resulting in a gritty and determined win over 1800m. He gives the impression that the 2200m will suit and he comes from a different form reference.
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Race Three (14:38) : Mittys Handicap 1110m:
Back Me: Really interested to see how Le Chef (Best Odds: $4.60) goes here. He has been terrible in two runs since the Magic Millions win, the latest being at Randwick in the Roman Consul when last to Exosphere. If you take out Perignon, the form out of that Magic Millions race hasn’t really stood up at all in the feature races, so the question marks are well and truly out on him, but if he brings his best, he wins.
Big Danger: Privlaka (Best Odds: $4.60) is a handy type for Robert Heathcoate who looked pretty good last time in, including a second behind top tip Dram Of Red. Trial win at Deagon was sharp and only carries 52kg after the claim.
Roughie: Dram Of Red (Best Odds: $13.00) resumed over 1050m here and just wasn’t suited at all by the slow tempo when finishing fourth to Secret Saga, beaten eight lengths. Slight drop in grade, fitter, and though drawn wide, the speed should be good, so he will get his chance.
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Race Four (15:17) : The Blue Ribbon Group Handicap (80) 1110m:
Back Me: Dantga (Best Odds: $4.80) was backed off the map when resuming over 1050m here where he went enormous, charging home from last on the turn to run a close up third to Espritu, beaten 0.7L. Should take improvement off that and gee this looks a lovely race for him.
Big Danger: Treatmelikealady (Best Odds: $7.00) should be forgiven for her failure last time out behind Casual Choice given she pulled up with Cardiac Arrhythmia. That was two months back, and she is lethal when produced fresh.
Roughie: Big Decision (Best Odds: $21.00) resumes here for Rob Heathcoate after a pretty solid Autumn/Winter prep, which included a win over 1350m here in April. No trials leading in, but he has a very good first up record.
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Race Five (15:57) : Matthews Builders Handicap (0MW) 1350m:
Back Me: Hi Son (Best Odds: $13.00) was very good when resuming in an Open Handicap over this track/distance where he was wide no cover for the entire trip yet stuck on well to run fifth to Victory Hotel, beaten just over three lengths. Has since trialled and won that brilliantly. Ticks plenty of boxes here and is the clear class runner engaged.
Big Danger: Total Authority (Best Odds: $8.00) was given a gun ride by Sammy Payne to win over this distance at Ipswich last start, jumping out brilliantly to sit behind the leader before peeling clear and getting the job done impressively. He has proven before he can run well in town and is a definite winning chance.
Roughie: Playtime (Best Odds: $17.00) has been given a five week freshen up after being ridden upside down over this track/distance when running fifth to Trubia. He is better ridden with something to chase, and with the form apprentice on board from a good gate, he is a knockout hope.
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Race Six (16:37) : Zetta1 Mode Plate 1200m:
Back Me: Madotti (Best Odds: $8.50) was a shade unlucky last start, getting held up a touch in the straight before eventually getting clear and powering home late for a close up third. Drawn well here, so she won’t be far off and prove hard to beat.
Big Danger: Secret Saga (Best Odds: $3.40) was a short priced elect when racing over 1050m here a couple of weeks back and aided by a peach steer from Jim Byrne, the filly proved far too good for her rivals. I’d declare her over 1000m, but she is just a slight query at 1200m, especially a Stakes race here where there will be pressure. But she is the class factor.
Roughie: Banda Spice (Best Odds: $8.00) was given every chance in the run last start, but couldn’t quite reel In His Stride and had to settle for a close up third. D Browne jumps back on and he rode the filly to its first up win. Draws well, hard to hold out.
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Race Seven (17:17) : Channel 7 George Moore Stakes 1200m:
Back Me: Keen here on the very good mare Miss Cover Girl (Best Odds: $6.00). She had two runs in the Spring about 6-7 weeks back, starting off with a third here to Architect before going to the Nivison (1200m) at Randwick and was nearly home, but was grabbed in the last couple of strides by Nayeli. Recent trial win at Deagon was very sharp, running sub 45, which was 2 seconds or quicker than the other four 800m trials that morning.
Big Danger: Architect is nearly impossible to back, because he just cannot be trusted. He travels like a Group l horse, but as soon as pressure is applied, all he wants to do is duck in, as he did last start when a disappointing third to Didntcostalot (Best Odds: $5.50). He trialled behind Miss Cover Girl and travelled sweetly in running second.
Roughie: There was specking for Neo (Best Odds: $41.00) when he ran in the Keith Noud (1200m) here a couple of weeks back, and he didn’t run a bad race at all when finishing sixth to Steel Zip, beaten just over three lengths. He is third up, so he should be at peak fitness, and he will be strong at the end of a tough 1200m.
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Race Eight (17:53) : Twilight Raceday Handicap (75) 1615m:
Back Me: Glorious Red (Best Odds: $15.00) for me here. She tried very hard last time out over this track/distance but was gobbled up late by the in form Deconstructed and Comacina. That was her third up run, so fourth up now, she should be ready. Just doesn’t want the rain to dampen her chances.
Big Danger: The step up to the mile could well suit the enigmatic Homehill (Best Odds: $7.50). He loomed to win over 1350m here a fortnight back but he just wanted to duck in and throw his head about. That’s why he has only won just the one race in 16 outings, but if he puts it all together, he’ll probably take care of this bunch.
Roughie: I’m Hector (Best Odds: $21.00) resumed over 1350m at Ipswich and though he didn’t look entirely happy around the tight turns, he found the line alright late in the piece, beaten just under four lengths. He ran well at start two last time in, and he will only appreciate the added fitness and extra trip.
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BEST BET: Race Seven Number 5 Miss Cover Girl
NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 4 Annaman
VALUE: Race Seven Number 6 Neo
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 2, 4, 8, 9, 13
Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 6, 9, 10, 14
Leg Three: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Leg Four: 1, 3, 9, 10, 16, 17, 19
$50 Investment= 4.08% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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