Group l racing returns to Randwick this Saturday with the $600,000 Chipping Norton Stakes (1000m) featuring a star studded field, most notably star mare Winx. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.
Race One (12:40) : All Too Hard Handicap (82) 2400m:
Back Me: 8 Dee I Cee (Best Odds: $7.00) is a former kiwi who was originally sent to Gai in search of the Queensland Derby, but injuries forced him to the paddock. He had a good break and resumed over the mile here when running third to Testashadow. 1600m to 2400m is never easy, but he has a touch of class on his NZ form and has enormous upside.
Big Danger: 3 Springbok Flyer (Best Odds: $5.50) has really found his best form in recent times, winning two on the bounce, with the latest resulting in a tough on speed win at this track/distance, beating home stablemate Defrost My Heart. Meets that horse 2kg worse off here, but I simply think he is a better stayer and will prove hard to beat.
Roughie: 7 Mr Steal (Best Odds: $13.00) is a tough galloper that ran third to Springboj Flyer and his effort was pretty good in defeat. He draws gate one here, so I expect Avdulla to kick up, lead, roll along and give them something to think about.
Race Two (13:20) : Pro-Ride Skyline Stakes 1200m:
Back Me: 2 Souchez (Best Odds: $4.20) debuted over 1100m at Rosehill in December and produced a brilliant finish to get the job done impressively in what looks now to be a handy form race. Why I like him is the trial he produced at Rosehill last week…it just oozed class. Keen on him.
Big Danger: 1 Telperion (Best Odds: $2.20) resumed in the Lonhro Plate here and was absolutely smashed in betting. That support was justified as he sat last in the run, peeled out and just bolted in. He has the race fitness on his side and will prove hard to beat.
Roughie: 3 Good Standing (Best Odds: $4.20) debuted at Rosehill in November where he attempted to lead all the way and looked home, but was nailed late by Yankee Rose, who I really like as a two year old and horse. His trials leading in have been impressive, trained on the track and looks to have really strengthened up.
Race Three (13:55) : TAB Highway Plate (Class 3) 1600m:
Back Me: 3 Appoint Percy (Best Odds: $2.10) ran under the lights at Canterbury a couple of weeks back and tried hard when running second to Tower Of Song. The key to these highway races is if they have proper city form, they will more often than not win here, and I am confident this Luke Pepper trained galloper will.
Big Danger: 6 Destined To Win (Best Odds: $18.00) was specked at odds when racing over the Hawkesbury mile last time out where he attempted to lead all the way and kicked on strongly, but was nailed in the last couple of strides by Triple Ex and Second Obsession. He is another who has city form and did run second in a Highway at this track/distance.
Roughie: 8 Chaos (Best Odds: $41.00) is on the back up from last Saturday when racing in his hometown of Tuncurry for the Tuncurry Cup (2100m) where he was well backed in betting but just failed to run the trip out when fourth to Winter Reign. He toughed it out well there I thought and I think the Randwick mile will suit him, plus the stable knows when to send them to down.
Race Four (14:30) : Les Johnson Memorial Sweet Embrace Stakes 1200m:
Back Me: 2 Scarlett Rain (Best Odds: $4.60) is one of the best youngsters in Sydney who hasn’t raced since January 23 when winning over 1000m here, beating home Twist Tops, who franked the form by winning the Inglis Nursery (1200m). I think she is a little query at running 1200m, but her talent and class might just be enough for her to get home again.
Big Danger: 7 In The Vanguard (Best Odds: $3.80) was awfully impressive when debuting with a win over 1100m at Canterbury on February 3, leading all the way and winning by a space, and the time compared well with the older horses at the same distance on the afternoon, which is always a good sign. The trials were impressive and the debut win confirmed that. She can definitely measure up here.
Roughie: 1 Twist Tops (Best Odds: $6.50) was pretty impressive I thought in winning the Inglis Classic at this track/distance considering she was wide no cover for the trip yet just kept finding under hard riding from Tommy Berry. Harder here, but hard fit, Berry is riding in super form and should take some beating.
Race Five (15:05) : Coolmore Surround Stakes 1400m:
Back Me: 7 Ghisoni (Best Odds: $2.25) looks a potential star in the making. She toughed it out strongly to win on debut at Warwick Farm before going to Rosehill and proving far too classy for her rivals, and both jockey and trainer stated that this filly was one of the best in the stable, which is a big wrap. Loved her trial win here on January 29, and she looks very well placed here.
Big Danger: 1 Single Gaze (Best Odds: $10.00) produced one of the runs of the afternoon on Magic Millions Day in the Guineas when running a close up second to Mahuta on a day where it was hard to make up ground. She loves racing fresh and her recent trial win was outstanding.
Roughie: 2 Honesta (Best Odds: $15.00) is the class filly that resumes for John Thompson. She was up for a long time during the Winter/Spring, which ended with a very game second to Jameka in the Crown Oaks (2500m). Her two trials leading in have been quite impressive, she has the class on her side and she will be very strong at the end of 1400m.
Race Six (15:45) : Guy Walter Stakes 1400m:
Back Me: 4 Peeping (Best Odds: $4.00) for me here in what looks a really good race for the mares. She resumed in the Triscay (1200m) and looked the winner with about 200m to go but she had to give the eventual winner Sultry Feeling 5kg in weight. Just a little query on her running a strong 1400m, but she has class, she’s fitter and should prove hard to beat.
Big Danger: 3 Solicit (Best Odds: $2.40) drops big time in depth since contesting the Apollo Stakes (1400m) here a fortnight back where she ran along in front and beat all but star mare Winx. 1400m is her pet distance, and now she is back to her own sex, gee she looks extremely hard to hold out, especially if she can get a cheap sectional on speed.
Roughie: 5 Slightly Sweet (Best Odds: $18.00) also comes through the Triscay where she wasn’t suited by the slow tempo behind Sultry Feeling. She ran behind Peeping second up last time in in the Golden Pendant (1400m) where she was again not suited by the tempo. If the speed is on, she will finish the race off just about better than anything else.
Race Seven (16:25) : Precise Air Chipping Norton Stakes 1600m:
Back Me: Going to go for some value in the shape of 3 Hartnell (Best Odds: $7.00). I was on his back nearly every run in the Spring and while he didn’t win, he ran some outstanding races. His last run was in the Melbourne Cup where he, like most, had no hope from the back given it was a slowly run race. Returns to Sydney and his two trials leading in have caught my attention. Expecting him to run a cracker.
Big Danger: 11 Winx (Best Odds: $1.30) is rated by many as the best in Australia. I am not sure about that but she does look the one to beat after her brilliant win in the Apollo Stakes (1400m), aided by a pearler from Hugh Bowman. This is her hardest assignment to date and touch wood, there is no bias, so she’ll have to beat some quality gallopers here on her own merits, but she certainly can.
Roughie: 7 Dibayani (Best Odds: $18.00) resumed in the Apollo behind Winx and didn’t do a bad job I thought when running fourth, beaten just under four lengths where he looked to be run off his legs courtesy of Solicit. He will improve fitness wise and up in trip, and while I doubt he can win, he will be a threat in regards to exotics.
Race Eight (17:05) : Liverpool City Cup 1300m:
Back Me: 11 Silverball (Best Odds: $13.00) has the potential to be a real star of the Autumn. He was knocking on the door to be a Caulfield Cup contender after a brilliant win in the Kingston Town, but the pin was pulled and he went to the paddock. His trials leading in have been outstanding, Avdulla on and he can sprint well fresh.
Big Danger: 5 Generalife (Best Odds: $5.50) resumed in the Southern Cross (1200m) and worked home strongly late when running fourth to Big Money in what looked to be a pleasing first up effort. He gets a nice weight pull on Big Money here and has more upside, so I am confident he will go close.
Roughie: 9 Kool Kompany (Best Odds: $21.00) is a former UK galloper who makes his Sydney debut for Chris Waller after having one run in the Spring, which resulted in an eye catching fifth to Disposition on Derby Day. His best will come over further, but he has now had a full prep under Waller and you always have to respect these imports.
Race Nine (17:45) : Schweppes Handicap (84) 1200m:
Back Me: Really keen here on the former Hong Kong galloper 2 My Favorite (Best Odds: $6.50). He was specked at odds when resuming here a couple of weeks back and arguably should have won the race but just had no luck at all. Bowman jumps on now and with normal luck here, he’ll take a power of beating.
Big Danger: Had My Favorite not been in the race, I’d be all over 11 Nancy (Best Odds: $4.40). I am a big fan of this girl and I think she is a future Stakes winner. I loved her trial win at Warwick Farm and the form out of that trial looks pretty good. Randwick 1200m first up looks perfect for this Team Snowden mare.
Roughie: 4 Dragon Flyer (Best Odds: $31.00) is a handy type that resumes here for John Thompson. His highlight last time in was a second to Group l performer The Offer in the Rowley Mile (1600m) at Hawkesbury. He trialled there recently and looked pretty good in winning that trial he contested. He can sprint well fresh so watch for market moves.
BEST BET: Race Nine Number 2 My Favorite
NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 7 Ghisoni
VALUE: Race Seven Number 3 Hartnell
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 3, 4, 5, 9
Leg Two: 1, 3, 11
Leg Three: 1, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11
Leg Four: 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, 11
$50 Investment= 11.57% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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