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Eight races have been set down to be run and won at Doomben this Saturday. The weather is overcast, the track is heavy (10) and the rail is out half a metre for the entire circuit.

 

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Race One (13:07) : Kiss And Make Up Aquis Farm Handicap 1050m:

Back Me: 2 Snitz (Bet Now: $3.10) is a smart gelding for Matty Dunn who gave his rivals a nice touch up on debut at Grafton when leading all the way and bolting up, running sharp time for the meeting. Looks to have room for improvement and rates highly. Keen on his chances here. Clearly on top.
Big Danger: 1 Acceptile (Bet Now: $3.20) has race fitness/experience on his side and looks a key contender here off the back of a third at Eagle Farm last time out where he ran well behind Star filly Houtzen. Clearly not as much depth here, and is hard fit, ready to go. Ticks a lot of boxes here. Definite threat.
Long Shot: 12 Danish Bingo (Bet Now: $19.00) looks a likely improver from start one to start two. She debuted over 1000m at Eagle Farm three weeks ago and did a fair job I thought in defeat behind the Golden Slipper favourite Houtzen. Looks to have plenty of room for improvement, clearly less depth and will be suited here I think.

 

 

Race Two (13:45) : Qric Equine Welfare Handicap 2200m:

Back Me: 2 Outraged (Bet Now: $3.50) for me here with the scratchings. He ran over this track/distance a fortnight back where he got back in the small field and was left with too much to do but finished off quite nicely I thought behind Morendi. Small field again, but the compressed weights help his cause and he loves sting out of the track.
Big Danger: 5 Comacina  (Bet Now: $4.40) ran third to Morendi in that race mentioned above and I thought his effort was quite sound despite being well held. It was his first crack beyond 1800m and I thought he acquitted himself quite well. Can he turn the tables? I don’t think so, but he can get closer for sure.
Long Shot: 6 Caillebotte (Bet Now: $4.80) is on the back up after racing over 2400m at Eagle Farm a couple of weeks back where he really struggled on the shifty surface when finishing down the track behind Bronte Babe. Firmer footing will aid his cause, and though he hasn’t won for a while, he can figure somewhere around the money with the right run.

 

 

Race Three (14:22) : The Ray White Ascot Handicap 2000m:

Back Me: 4 Up The Tempo (Bet Now: $6.00) is bursting to win a race and I think he gets his chance here. Ran over this track/distance two weeks back where she tried hard but was just simply no match for Perilous Love. Now that she has the 2000m run under the belt, I think she can go right on with it.
Big Danger: 1 Perilous Love (Bet Now: $2.50) is the obvious threat here and rightfully so. Was a firmer late when racing over this track/distance two weeks back and the market fluc proved spot as she absolutely spanked her rivals. Rises in weights here, bit hard to be ignored off that last start win.
Long Shot: 2 Son Of A Brut  (Bet Now: $14.00) ran sixth in that race won by Perilous Love and I thought his effort was quite tidy considering he was back in the run and had to come wide on the turn. Can he turn the tables? Perhaps, but he needs to sit closer in the run. If that eventuates, he’s a threat.

 

 

Race Four (15:00) : Mitavite Handicap (Class 6) 1600m:

Back Me: 4 Sheiswhatsheis  (Bet Now: $1.45) on top for me here. This mare took an absolute eternity to win a race, but she finally got another win on the board over this track/distance two weeks ago when leading all the way and bolting up. Now that her win is on the board, her confidence is up and she can go right on with it.
Big Danger: 3 Deconstructed  (Bet Now: $5.50) came with a well timed to resume a winner here on Feb 4 before racing a month later at Eagle Farm when getting back in the run and finishing off his race with real purpose to run third. Got a really good record at Doomben, and being third up, he should be open to more improvement.
Long Shot: 13 Bayview Emperor (Bet Now: $21.00) is a Cessnock visitor for Jeremy Sylvester who comes here as a live threat. He comes through the Wellngton Cup (1700m) where he got back to near last in the run and was set an impossible task but finished off with purpose behind American Time in a race that had depth. That had 1700m outing should top him off for this and is a noted wet tracker.

 

 

Race Five (15:40) : Novotel Brisbane Airport Plate (Class 3) 1200m:

Back Me: 13 Candika  (Bet Now: $1.90) has been given a five week break since racing over 1500m at Eagle Farm where she looked a good thing on paper and lived up to that expectation with a dominant win over Lieder, who won last weekend to frank the form. 1200m is short of her best, but she has class on her side.
Big Danger: 9 Trois Choux (Bet Now: $5.00) is the very interesting runner here. Talented mare that is first up for David Vandyke and hasn’t raced since the latter part of the Spring where she failed twice in strong races. Been given a good break and looked to trial up well at the Sunny Coast, and she has wet track form. Interested to see what the market does.
Long Shot: 3 Heroism  (Bet Now: $11.00) looks a key threat here. Resumed over 1110m here a fortnight back where he had a nice sit just off the pace and tried hard but couldn’t quite get the job done and condition gave out late. Should only improve off that here and with the run under the belt, he should be stronger late.

 

 

Race Six (16:22) : Byrne Ford Kedron Handicap (Class 6) 1200m:

Back Me: 12 Queen Tara (Bet Now: $3.80) for me here but with not much confidence. Hasn’t raced since Feb 18 at eagle Farm when settling off the pace in a strong race and coming home strongly late when a close up fourth to Good Job Bro. Break between runs onto a heavy 10 here is the query, but she’s in the right stable.
Big Danger: 3 Privlaka  (Bet Now: $3.30) is an above average gelding that resumes here for the Heathcoate camp. Was very hot and cold last time in, but when he was hot, he was borderline blacktype grade. Comes here off the back of no trials, but he is a two time first up winner. Will be interesting to see what the market does.
Long Shot: 16 Round Mountain Gal (Bet Now: $31.00) is the horse that could surprise here at odds. She is on the back up after racing over 1110m at Toowoomba last Saturday where she settled back in the ruck and finished off strongly late behind the above average Isis Magic. Back up to 1200m is a tick, and she does have a liking for give in the ground.

 

 

Race Seven (17:02) : Southern Sheet & Coil Handicap 1350m:

Back Me: 2 Flamboyer  (Bet Now: $4.00) is on the seven day back up after racing in the Goodmarket last Saturday at the Gold Coast where he chased a hot speed set by the eventual winner Upstart Pride and he tried hard to reel him in but he couldn’t. Quick back up looks ideal and he maps very well.
Big Danger: 9 Beatniks  (Bet Now: $5.00) comes back to 1350m after racing over the mile in the Members Cup last time out where she had a nice sit near the speed and presented at the right time but was just no match late for Colour Charge. Got a tidy record at this trip and she does have a real liking for Doomben. Big threat.
Long Shot: 6 Beckham  (Bet Now: $8.50) is third up now, so he should be ready to show us something. Did a bit too much work last time out over this track/distance four weeks back when finishing down the track behind Cylinder Beach. If he can get on speed without much pressure, I think he can run a cheeky race at odds.

 

 

Race Eight (17:40) : Austack Saddlery Produce Handicap (0MW) 1350m:

Back Me: 23 Dennis Denuto (Bet Now: $34.00) for me here each way. Former Sydney sider for Bjorn Baker that has been with the McConachy camp in Rocky for some time and has been running some really good races, the latest resulting in a 1400m win on his home track. Has run well on wet ground before and he won’t know himself with only 54kg on his back.
Big Danger: 13 Jetsonic  (Bet Now: $5.50) ran over 1200m here four weeks ago and despite being an alarming drifter in the market, he ran home really well with purpose behind Tyzone, who franked the form by running a beauty last week at the Gold Coast. Break between runs should do him the world of good and he will be strong late.
Long Shot: 21 Wack’Em (Bet Now: $15.00) can be a hard horse to trust, but he is talented and with the wet track and scratchings, he comes right into this. Ran over 1200m on his home track at the Gold Coast and tried hard but couldn’t reel in the talented Excalibrator, who had it too good on speed. Got a liking for this racing surface and is another who will love the weight drop.

 

 

BEST BET: Race Seven Number 2 Flamboyer

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 2 Snitz

VALUE: Race Eight Number 23 Dennis Denuto

 

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 3, 8, 9, 13

Leg Two: 3, 12

Leg Three: 2, 3, 6, 9, 10

Leg Four: 2, 13, 21, 23

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