Racing in Sydney continues at Randwick on Saturday with a nine race card, and while there are no feature races, the depth is strong. The weather is fine, the track is soft (6) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
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Race One (12:55) : Men Of League Corporate Members Handicap (85) 1400m:
Back Me: Looks a lovely race for Redoutable Heart (Best Odds: $2.10). This Chris Waller trained gelding resumed at Warwick Farm and worked home very strongly late with 60kg on his back when a close up second to Gamblestown. Gets weight relief here and he has run well at Randwick in the past.
Big Danger: In a race with little depth, a horse like Figtree (Best Odds: $5.00) could be a major player here. His win at Kembla Grange was huge last start given he missed the start and had to make ground near the inside, which wasn’t the spot to be. No depth here really, so despite the rise in grade, he will prove hard to beat.
Roughie: The race really falls away outside this pair…who knows what to put in for third? If the track continues to have give in it, then perhaps Lampedusa (Best Odds: $8.50), but his last start win was at Leeton…hardly city form.
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Race Two (13:30) : Simplicity Funerals Pierro Plate 1100m:
Back Me: Going with Chapinda (Best Odds: $2.50). This daughter of Sepoy looked very sharp in winning her lone trial, sitting on speed at Warwick Farm before dashing clear under no pressure. Gate one and stable is in form with their youngsters.
Big Danger: Star Turn (Best Odds: $1.95) debuted over 1000m here and was a little unlucky behind Conchita given he bombed the start, then got hit on the head by a fellow riders whip in the straight, which cost him momentum. His trial prior was excellent, so give him another chance.
Roughie: Waldo Waldorf (Best Odds: $51.00) has only had one barrier trial, at Warwick Farm where he looked green, but his racing action looked pretty good. I doubt he can get the job done here on debut, but he could well fill a place at odds.
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Race Three (14:05) : The Lakemba Club Filante Handicap 1600m:
Back Me: Keen on Frespanol (Best Odds: $4.20). He worked home very strongly on the worst part of the track over this distance a couple of weeks back when a close up second to impressive all the way winner Nevagotavote. He should be cherry ripe fitness wise now, and he has the most upside, so he should take a power of beating for mine.
Big Danger: The interesting runner is Sir John Hawkwood (Best Odds: $26.00), who is now under the care of David Vandyke after formerly being with Peter Moody. His best form is over further, but he is a two time first up winner and he did look sharp in a recent Warwick Farm barrier trial. Keep an eye on market moves with this horse because I am tipping him to run quite well.
Roughie: Vilanova (Best Odds: $31.00) finished off his race okay late when resuming over 1400m here, finishing seventh to Music Magnate, beaten just under four lengths. He will appreciate the step up in trip and is fitter, and this race, as a whole, isn’t overly strong.
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Race Four (14:40) : Road Tech Marine Handicap (85) 1200m:
Back Me: Happy Clapper (Best Odds: $2.70) on top for me here. He is a talented gelding for Pat Webster who had one run during the Winter and was far from disgraced on a heavy track over 1300m here behind Idance. Recent trial win was very sharp and for mine he looks ready to win first up.
Big Danger: Returning to a wet could spark Kasiano Lad (Best Odds: $2.70) back into winning form. He ran over this track/distance last time out and just paddled late on the bone dry surface when fifth to Dream Choice. He does get a 3kg weight pull on that horse and as stated earlier, the wet track gives him extra.
Roughie: Another Greg Kolivos runner that was with Gai and is now with Team Snowden is Ryker (Best Odds: $10.00). He has performed at a high level when trained by Gai, but his form tapered off a bit last prep. Change of scenery and his two trials leading in have been solid. He does run well fresh and on his best form, he is a Stakes class horse.
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Race Five (15:20) : TAB Bill Rutledge Tribue Highway Handicap (Class 3) 1000m:
Back Me: Immy (Best Odds: $7.50) was a very impressive winner last time out over 920m at Moruya where she punched up to lead near the inside before darting clear over the final furlong and won with a fair bit of ease. She can be ridden off speed, which is an advantage given there appears to be several speed runners engaged here.
Big Danger: Noble Joey (Best Odds: $4.00) is the clear market watch horse. This son of Shellscrape is unbeaten in two career runs, both on his home track at Nowra where he led and bolted in on both occasions. No trials, but looks above average and is only carrying 51.5kg after the claim for Winona Costin.
Roughie: Urban Knight (Best Odds: $9.00) is another that resumes. This Todd Howlett trained gelding hasn’t raced since February when finishing down the track at Doomben in a Class 6. Drops miles in grade, trialled well at Wyong and is a dead set dry tracker, so keep an eye on conditions.
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Race Six (16:00) : Sydney Markets Handicap (72) 1400m:
Back Me: Going to stick solid with More Than Fabulous (Best Odds: $10.00). Just put a line through his run in the Dulcify I think because I don’t think he appreciated the bone dry surface. His runs prior were all on tracks with give in it. Back in trip IMO is ideal, and the drop in class suits.
Big Danger: Wudang Mountain (Best Odds: $3.60) is a very talented horse, but he is a real nutcase. He attempted to lead all the way in the Dulcify but was simply no match for Ambience. That filly ran well last weekend to frank the form, and back to 1400m and back in grade will suit Wudang Mountain.
Roughie: Cockles (Best Odds: $16.00) charged home from the back to win on debut at Hawkesbury before going to Gosford and kicking on strongly when a close up second to Dorf Star, getting bloused in the last couple of strides. He is in the right stable and the step up to 1400m should suit this son of Nadeem
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Race Seven (16:40) : Canterbury League Club (78) 1000m:
Back Me: Hot Hit (Best Odds: $5.50) for me here in a good little sprint race. This Mark Mason trained speedster was too nippy for his rivals last time out at Scone over 1100m under Greg Ryan. Only carries 56kg after the claim for in form apprentice Sam Clenton and she will give you a great run for your money at odds.
Big Danger: Orujo (Best Odds: $8.50) maps very well here. This Godolphin runner hasn’t really fired a shot in recent times, but she draws a good gate and should get the box seat sit behind Hot Hit and have the last say, and I’d say he will be stronger at the end of 1000m. Hasn’t won for a while is the negative.
Roughie: If they go hard in front, then a horse like Adaboy Ross (Best Odds: $81.00) could well be the blowout at huge odds. He resumes for Con Karatkasanis off the back of a pleasing trial at Warwick Farm where he made up solid ground late. He can run well fresh and will be charging late if they go mad in front, and there is a serious chance that will eventuate.
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Race Eight (17:20) : Jaycar Electronics Handicap (81) 2000m:
Back Me: Despite the weight rise, I’ll go with Herne’s Oak (Best Odds: $4.20). He was given a beaut steer from Avdulla when winning over this track/distance last start, fending off the fast finishing Scherzoso. He actually meets the runner up half a kilo better at the weights despite beating home. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: Scherzoso (Best Odds: $3.80) worked to the line very strongly in that race mentioned above and ran Herne’s Oak to a neck. Bursting to win a race. Gets his chance here.
Roughie: Danjeu (Best Odds: $10.00) is another that has upside and should be ready to show his best now. He has looked in need of the two runs so far, the latest being in that Herne’s Oak race where got too far back and couldn’t get into it. Definite winning chance on his best form
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Race Nine (17:55) : ICAP Handicap (78) 1400m:
Back Me: Danish Twist (Best Odds: $5.00) for me in the last with the scratching of Nancy. She wasn’t beaten far two back at Rosehill before trainer Kris Lees sent her to Doomben in hope for an easy kill. It was a kill…but she only won in the last stride. Runner up ran on Wednesday and ran a bad last, so the form is suspect, but Sam Clenton is riding as well as any apprentice in the state at the moment and stable is in form.
Big Danger: All Cerise (Best Odds: $11.00) has been excellent in two runs back from a spell, finishing on the heels on the placegetters on both occasions, including a 1.8L sixth to Nancy. Has since trialled at Rosehill and looked very sharp in winning that trial. Draws well and is a definite threat.
Roughie: Sebrina (Best Odds: $10.00) is a talented mare that hasn’t really fired a shot this time in, but she did show a bit of improvement in a recent Warwick Farm trial when second to Tuscan Falls, who ran well without luck last week. Draws well here, Brodie Loy back on, and outside Nancy, this is a thin race.
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BEST BET: Race Nine Number 4 Danish Twist
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 2 Frespanol
VALUE: Race Nine Number 5 Sebrina
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6
Leg Two: 3, 4, 5, 7, 8
Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 5, 8, 10
Leg Four: 2, 3, 4, 5, 9
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