24/7/2021 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Caulfield, Bletchingly Stakes day

Nine races will be run and won at Caulfield on Saturday where it is Bletchingly Stakes Day. The weather forecast is for showers, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out four metres for the entire circuit.

Bletchingly Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Bletchingly Stakes

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1 Mahamdeis (Bet Now: $4.80 TOP ODDS) has class and that will carry him a long way. I reckon his days as a proper Saturday class horse are limited but his sweet spot is these VOBIS races. Bolted up in this race last year and I reckon the depth was stronger there compared to this time around. His recent form has been plain, but this type of race can see him bounce back.

8 Cakewalk Baby (Bet Now: $3.50 TOP ODDS) should have no issue with the trip at this level. She was tardy away in the Mahogany Final but despite that, she made up good ground and was great in defeat when second to Token Spirit. Her barrier manners need to improve but if they do, she’ll be hard to beat.

7 Reflect The Stars (Bet Now: $3.50 TOP ODDS) deserves another chance. Danny O’Brien trained mare that ran over that ran here two weeks ago. She just did far too much work from the wide gate and tired late, but the run was better than what the form guide says. Proven at the trip and has upside to come.

I reckon 8 Why Choose Her (Bet Now: $8.50 TOP ODDS) is sneaky flying for Lindsey Smith and I think she’ll prove hard to beat. Ran three weeks ago in the Leilani Final. Ridden very cold by Declan Bates and was never really a winning threat, but did make up ground in a good effort. She can settle much closer in the run and be strong late.

1 Great Again (Bet Now: $3.30 TOP ODDS) is six weeks between runs for Lindsey Smith since racing over 1000m at Sandown, a trip clearly short of his best, and he felt the pinch late behind Zipping Boy. Much better suited at this distance range and the wet track on the cards plays right into his hands.

Big watch on 2 Dark Dream (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS), who returns to Australia under the care of Team Hayes. This horse won the Queensland Derby a couple of years ago before going to Hong Kong where he ran well in some big races there. Returns to Australia and looked to close off really well in a recent Bendigo jumpout so keen to see how he goes.

5 Regulus (Bet Now: $5.00 TOP ODDS), off the debut, should eat up the 1400m. Debuted over 1200m down the Flemington straight three weeks ago and closed off well from off the speed when a narrow third to Jagar. He has staying bloodlines so the extra 200m is a big tick and I think he’ll be better around a bending track.

1 Sunfall (Bet Now: $4.00 TOP ODDS) looks a likely type. Price/Kent trained juvenile that produced a strong finale from near last in the run off a slow speed to get up and get the job done. He can settle much closer in the run from a better gate and will be strong late in what looks a competitive race.

I like the look of 7 Lord Paramount (Bet Now: $14.00 TOP ODDS) for the Maher/Eustace camp. Several weeks since his debut at Nowra where he looked to travel sweetly behind the speed and he looked home, but was nabbed on the peg. Had trialled well prior to that and I think 1400m will be fine for him.

6 Miss Albania (Bet Now: $2.05 TOP ODDS) is a talented mare that resumes. This girl really came of age during the Summer, winning a couple of races in town in good style before a game second at Caulfield behind Stakes winner La Mexicana. Liked her recent jumpout and stable is going really well at the moment.

2 Absolute Flirt (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) can continue her winning ways. Resumed several weeks ago at Caulfield where she was backed with confidence late and under a lovely ride from Lane, the mare sliced her way through the field at the right time and finished best to win. Fresh legs is the key to her so she commands respect.

4 Propelle (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS) should appreciate racing back against her own sex. Thrown in the deep end last time out in the Monash and I don’t think she disgraced herself at all behind Red Can Man in what was an on speed domination. She’s racing really well this girl and a win isn’t far off.

Big test here for Lachie Neindorf to steer, potentially, the best horse in Tassie in the shape of 4 And Beyond (Bet Now: $5.00). Unbeaten in six career outings, and did measure up last prep in Melbourne when a sharp winner at Sandown. 2/2 this prep, both coming on the Synthetic at Devonport, and each time he has been dominant. Confident he can measure up.

8 Scantoon (Bet Now: $4.20) is hard to beat. Grahame Begg trains this mare, who raced here two weeks ago. Thought it was a peach steer by Egan and she was there to win. Just couldn’t quite finish it off when third to King Magnus. That was 84. Back to 78 grade, she appeals big time.

1 Scarlet Tufty (Bet Now: $34.00) is a big query here. Former French galloper that makes his Australian debut for the Maher/Eustace camp. Just one soft 850m jumpout back in June to get ready, so fitness levels are unknown, but I do think his French form reads well for an off season 78.

3 Murrumbidgee River (Bet Now: $2.20) has the talent under the hood to give this a shake. Maher/Eustace trained three year old that has had two career outings. Debuted with an electric win on the Synthetic at Ballarat. He then went to Sandown and threw the race away by wanting to lay in under pressure. If he puts it all together, he can win this.

I’m a fan of 7 Za’Ex (Bet Now: $9.50) for Cindy Alderson. Resumed with a strong maiden win on the Synthetic at Pakenham over the mile. He then went to 2000m here and didn’t disgrace himself at all when fourth to Red Santa, keeping on chipping away. He’ll eat up 2400m and has got upside to come I’d suggest.

10 Cru Classe (Bet Now: $8.00) should eat up the extra ground. He comes through the Red Santa race that Za’Ex ran fourth in. He was back in the ruck and took a while to get into his work, but was good late, looking like a horse that will appreciate a trip, which he gets here, and is in a good camp for a progressive stayer.

A first starter at Saturday level isn’t normally in the wheel house of 15 Holt (Bet Now: $19.00), but I reckon the Jusufovic camp has a smart three year old on his hands here. On debut off the back of two jumpouts this prep, the latest coming on Monday where he was an impressive winner and ran the second quickest time of the morning. Hard to beat.

Hindsight is a wonderful thing but how did 2 The Big Easy (Bet Now: $4.00) get to double figures last time out at Rosehill given the form around him from Melbourne behind the likes of Ayrton and La Mexicana. Like him up to 1200m and he’ll be strong at the end in a race like this.

Interesting runner is 5 Duke Of Neworleans (Bet Now: $11.00). He led and tired badly fresh at Moe. He then went to Sale when ridden with cover and he unleashed a powerful finale to get up and win. He has got the talent to measure up in town but prefer to see it rather than back him to do it.

I want to give 3 Order Of Command (Bet Now: $9.50) another chance. Comes through the Monash where he was a notable drifter late in betting and ran accordingly in a down the track effort behind Red Can Man. The forecast for rain is music to his ears and if this track does get genuine give in it, he comes right into play.

2 Viridine (Bet Now: $4.80) deserves another look. He was well fancied in the Monash but just got too far back in the run and was never really a winning factor in an on pace domination won by Red Can Man. Think the tempo here will be more genuine, and he won’t mind a drop of rain.

12 Sansom (Bet Now: $13.00) is a very genuine horse for Phillip Stokes that resumes. Hasn’t raced since Feb 27 over 1400m at Flemington when on speed and tiring late behind Morvada, but was at the end of his prep and looking for the paddock. He’ll roll forward, he sprints well fresh and likes wet ground.

8 Bubbly Lass (Bet Now: $8.00) is flying for the Maher/Eustace camp. Ran last time out at Caulfield in what looked a tidy race on paper. She was the run of the meeting I thought given the race shape and the fact she didn’t get a drag into the race due to the favourite in front of her going nowhere. Did a remarkable job to get as close as she did. Think she’s one of the better bets on the card.

12 Sugartown (Bet Now: $4.40) is a Danny O’Brien trained filly who should prove hard to beat. Ran over 1100m here two weeks ago where she was wide and on speed throughout. Tried hard but couldn’t quite finish it off and was nabbed late by Belsielle. Better luck in the run, she can win for sure.

Back to 1200m I like for 5 Miss Divine Em (Bet Now: $15.00), who ran over 1400m at Bendigo last time out against the Mares when on speed and fighting on solidly despite having every chance when fourth. Back to her own age/sex, lands in a good spot from the draw, I think she’s a must for exotics.

BEST BET: Race Five Number 4 And Beyond

NEXT BEST: Race Nine Number 8 Bubbly Lass

LONG SHOT: Race Two Number 8 Why Choose Her

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 2, 3, 7, 10

Leg Two: 2, 4, 5, 9, 15

Leg Three: 2, 3, 9, 12

Leg Four: 8

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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