The return of superstar The Autumn Sun in the Hobartville Stakes (1400m) is the highlight on a ripping nine race card at Rosehill this Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is soft (7) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (12:50) TAB Highway Handicap (Class 2) 1100m
Most eyes and money will be on Burning Crown, but have a look at the way 6 Caprera (Bet Now: $7.00) has trialled. Formerly with Bjorn Baker, this bloke is now with Cameron Crockett and interestingly he has trialled in Sydney on a couple of occasions for his return to the races, both at Warwick Farm and each time he has looked very impressive. Potentially on trial for a Country Championships Qualifier start, I’ll be keen to see how he goes.
The obvious is 2 Burning Crown (Bet Now: $1.80) for Sue Grills, who is first up with eyes on the Country Championship. He had three runs in the Spring to start his career, winning the first two before being a little unlucky but held in a Randwick Highway won by The Lion, who is a pretty good measuring stick for this type of race. The trial win was outstanding, both visually and on the clock. Just want to see him do it rather than take short odds.
7 Zardoro (Bet Now: $10.00) should be better suited on firmer footing. Not sure the sticky track was to his liking at Warwick Farm a fortnight ago but he stuck to the task well in defeat behind a horse who I have a lot of time for, Noble Boy. Terry Robinson has really been firing lately when it comes to the Highway and this bloke does have hard race fitness under the belt.
Race 2. (13:30) Silver Slipper Stakes 1100m
Mouth watering race this. The WaterBott stable are starting to hum along when it comes to their juveniles and they could well unleash their best one yet in the shape of 7 Faretti (Bet Now: $4.60), who is a son of I Am Invincible on debut. He has had two trials in readiness for his first day the races, both over 700m at Randwick, which I’m always on guard with, but in the trials, when he has been given a squeeze, there has been an instant response. I think he’s the real X Factor re Golden Slipper and I’ll take a chance on him.
I’m jumping up and down about 3 Tassort (Bet Now: $1.95) as the Golden Slipper like most. Visually, he looks very good and the turn of foot he produced on debut was electric, winning impressively and running great time relative to the day, a huge tick for a two year old on debut. But you can find negatives. IMO, he beat scrubs on debut and the form since has been ordinary. Then the trial…on one hand, you can say he looked very good and wasn’t asked at all…but on the other side, the time he ran was comfortably the slowest of the two year old trials. I could have egg on my face, not for the first time, but I think he won’t be ready for this and he’ll be the flashing light run for the Slipper. Not to say he can’t win, but I don’t want to be taking shorts.
The unknown is 4 Chicago Bull (Bet Now: $13.00) for the Gelagotis boys. I was keen on him when he debuted in the Maribyrnong Plate during Cup Week. Looked the winner for a few strides but I think condition just gave way in what was an interrupted prep given he was due to run on Cox Plate Day. Been prepped in Sydney for the Slipper, has got better with each trial…a win wouldn’t surprise at all.
Race 3. (14:05) Ranvet Handicap (78) 1350m
Happy to side with the Gerald Ryan trained 10 Coterie (Bet Now: $4.40), who resumed in the Inglis 3YO Sprint at Warwick Farm where he was well held but far from disgraced when fourth to Fiesta, which is proper Group l form for three year olds. Think he’ll take good improvement from that and his lone Rosehill run saw him run a huge second to the well performed Royal Celebration. Happy to be in his corner.
Fascinating runner is 7 Archedemus (Bet Now: $3.50) who is no doubt tuning up for the Kembla Qualifier for the Provincial Championships. Looked to trial up enormous at Warwick Farm prior to resuming there last Wednesday where he sat up outside the speed and when asked for the effort by Chad Lever, the change up speed was there and he won like a good horse. Good test here but I think he can measure up.
Not sure he wins, but for multiples I’d definitely be including 6 So Spirited (Bet Now: $27.00). Ran some good late splits first up behind Junglized at Randwick before racing at Canterbury last Friday night where he was back and never really in the hunt but he worked home okay. I think he’s better suited at the midweeks, but I just don’t want to let him go without being included.
Race 4. (14:40) Schweppes Handicap 1500m
Looks a lovely race for the Chris Waller trained 7 Seaway (Bet Now: $1.70). 12/10 steer from J Mac was a large factor as to why he won here first up three weeks back, sitting just off the speed before being presented clear and putting them away impressively. Tick over trial at Randwick on Monday looked very good, especially past the line where he charged and was nearly in front of the field. Keen on him.
10 New Universe (Bet Now: $4.20) has really found some good form, his best since his three year old days. Dominant winner two back at Randwick before going to Warwick Farm where Samadoubt controlled things in front and dashed away, but this bloke stuck on and was good late. Right down in the weights, hard fit, in form, draws well, he’ll be popular with punters I’m sure.
Fascinating runner is 6 Shraaoh (Bet Now: $26.00), a stayer for Chris Waller and Australian Bloodstock that is first up. He’s being aimed at the Sydney Cup so whatever he does here he’ll take improvement from, but his two trials haven’t been too bad to the eye and he did score a very impressive win on Cup Day over 2800m at his Australian debut. I think he could easily measure up in a Sydney Cup and potentially a Melbourne Cup so he’s a big watch here.
Race 5. (15:15) Hobartville Stakes 1400m
1 The Autumn Sun (Bet Now: $1.70 PROMO ODDS) is the best horse in this race by many lengths, no disputing that. Probably second best horse in Australia behind Winx. What to make of his two trials? I think he did trial a bit better leading into his Spring prep, where he stamped himself as a world class horse, with the Caulfield Guineas win being one of the wins of 2018. The two trials tell me he’s looking for ground, possibly 2000m, but Chris Waller has been very bullish about the horse and how he’s come back. I’ll bank on class getting him home.
You don’t know how good they are til they’re beaten so I am giving 6 Vegadaze (Bet Now: $4.40) respect. He’s 3/3 for Anthony Cummings and each time the bar has been raised, he has passed with flying colours. Clearly his toughest test to date, but if ever he’s going to beat a horse like The Autumn Sun, it’s here. Got race fitness, likely soft lead and did handle a wet track last time when winning.
2 Bondi (Bet Now: $6.50) is a very interesting runner. Team Snowden trains this colt, who hasn’t raced since the Magic Millions Guineas where he pulled his head off in the run yet still loomed large to win and probably hit the front for a stride or two but Boomsara kicked back and proved too good. Been freshened up and his trial win recently was very good. Just needs to bring his best manners.
Race 6. (15:50) Spark Of Life Handicap 1100m
There will be a few of these potentially wanting further, so I’ll side with a horse who has sustained and a bit of quality, 9 Baller (Bet Now: $5.00), who resumes for Anthony Cummings. He won two of his four runs to kick off his career in the Spring, with the two defeats coming at the hands of Royal Celebration and Roheryn, so that form just reads very well and his Randwick trial looked very good to the eye.
4 So Taken (Bet Now: $3,30) probably lacks the class of some of these, but she’s got race fitness on her side, a good racing pattern and a soft draw. Lovely ride by Bowman saw her win first up at Warwick Farm, sitting just off the speed before angling clear and having last say. Does no work from the good draw, stalks a likely hot speed and will be there to pounce when they’re tiring.
I think 6 Roosevelt (Bet Now: $6.00) is probably the pick of this bunch when it comes to ability. Just want to see him produce better race day matters. They’ve let him down on a couple of occasions, most notably last run last run prep in the Brian Crowley behind Diplomatico when pulling his head off. Just brings one soft 900m trial leading up to the return, so whatever he does here, he’ll improve on, but has got class no doubt.
Race 7. (16:30) Millie Fox Stakes 1300m
I’m hot on her winning the Coolmore Legacy and perhaps even the Coolmore Classic so whatever the case, I’m really confident about 7 I Am Serious (Bet Now: $3.30). Had to take the step up from a benchmark mare to a Group mare in the Spring and she passed with flying colours, running a couple of ripping races behind Avilius before finally winning blacktype in the Angst. Her two trials have clearly been the best of any mare so far in the Autumn, with two 1000m trials telling me she’s ready first up.
I’m very wary of 10 Savatiano, (Bet Now: $5.50) who resumes for James Cummings. This mare had a pretty good Spring prep, highlighted by a win in the Mona Lisa on Wyong Cup Day. Tried to stretch her out to 1600m and I don’t think that’s her go. 1400-1500 sees her out I think. Brings one soft trial leading into this, but is 3/4 fresh and anything the stable is saddling up at the moment is winning.
2 Daysee Doom (Bet Now: $13.00) is the unknown. She’s a beauty for Ron Quinton and has been for a while. She looked to race like a really tired horse in two runs during the Spring, which followed a very solid Autumn/Winter prep. She’s a good fresh horse and has trialled up okay. The key is what does Atkins do from the barrier. If she can get over on speed without spending petrol tickets, she does have class.
Race 8. (17:10) Parramatta Cup 1900m
I want to give 11 Tangled (Bet Now: $5.00) another look. He was well fancied when racing at Warwick Farm two weeks ago but I think just a line through that run. Samadoubt dominated from the front, Tangled was back and never really in the hunt, plus I don’t think he was entirely happy on the shifty surface. Much better suited on firmer footing here and did run a ripping third fresh.
6 Allergic (Bet Now: $23.00) could be a sharp improver also. He resumed in the Samadoubt race at Warwick Farm and was another that just got too far back in the run in a leader dominated affair but given he was fresh, the run wasn’t too bad. Much better suited on firmer footing for mine, is a second up winner, up in trip suits and could be a definite improver at odds.
9 High Bridge (Bet Now: $9.00) is a talented stayer for Chris Waller that likely kicks off his Sydney Cup prep. He created a pretty good impression in his first Australian prep, graduating from a midweek horse to being a Group l performer where he was far from disgraced in the Metropolitan. The trials tell me he’ll need the run, but he has got a touch of class/quality.
Race 9. (17:50) Golden Slipper Hospitality Handicap (94) 1100m
Want to give 5 She Knows (Bet Now: $8.00) another chance. On first look, I thought the Warwick Farm resumption was just a pass mark, but when looking at the replays for the meeting and seeing that the inside was the no go zone, her run was better than what it looks behind Badajoz. Much better suited on firmer footing and back on a track she loves. Could easily bounce back.
Hard to knock a horse in winning form and that is certainly what 6 All Too Royal (Bet Now: $5.00) is, winning his past three with some help from beautiful placement via the stable. Takes on some decent boys and girls here, but is three weeks between runs so should have relatively fresh legs, he should carve over from the wide gate and Dolan got on well with him last start and he sticks.
1 Camdus (Bet Now: $16.00) is a son of Street Cry for John Thompson who resumes. This bloke was formerly with Darren Weir but is now in the stables of Thompson and comes here off the back of two trials, the latest over 1000m at Randwick when fifth to Major Wager. He’s got the class/quality to beat these. Just want to see what the market does with him here first up.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Seven Number 7 I Am Serious
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 7 Seaway
LONG SHOT: Race Two Number 7 Faretti
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 4, 5, 6, 9
Leg Two: 7
Leg Three: 6, 7, 9, 10, 11
Leg Four: 1, 5, 6, 13
$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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