The big6 for Victorian punters on Wednesday has a $3,000 jackpot. It is on races 3-8 at Betfair Park. Here is my $20 strategy.
Leg 1 – Still was pretty good when winning last start and two starts back ran well on a heavy track. Rockette looks the big improver. Had no idea what to do on debut last week, but a weaker field and the run under her belt puts her in calculations. I think those two should fight this out because I can’t make a case for the others.
Leg 2 – Looks to be a race in three. Pass Me By travelled big time in the run when resuming and was home before fitness gave way late and was nosed out on the line. Fitter, loves the wet tracks, 3kg claim for Stackhouse, ticks all the boxes. Summarise was gallant in defeat when contesting the Swan Hill Cup second up over an unsuitable trip. Third up, steps up to 2100m and handles the wet surface well. Stoneblack was touted as a jumper but he didn’t like that at all so he is back on the flat and his last start effort was a beauty in the same race mentioned with Pass Me By.
Leg 3 – I’m very keen on Testacana for Moody and Nolen. Didn’t have the best of runs first up but still found the line well enough to suggest he is in for a good prep. Should get the gun run, but the 58.5kg is a concern. For that reason, put in Devils Quest. Former Tasmanian on debut in Victoria. His form over there was ok and it is hard to line that form against some of his rivals, but he flies fresh, in the wet and at the distance.
Leg 4 – Kudeta was solid enough in a heat of the Winter Championship at Warnambool last start. Very weak race here and if he was at his best, he’d win easily. Beowolf has done well since joining the Brendan McCarthy stable. She is a swimmer. Cheronbutch showed glimpses of his best form when resuming at Cranbourne. Can he bring that form to the city? Good Value was superb first up behind Mr Make Believe. Was two lengths away from the winner but he spanked the others. Go For Home was given a poor ride by Luke Nolen last start, being held up and in a pocket most of the way.The magic hands of Damien Oliver take over.
Leg 5 – An absolute nightmare race here. Ben Zena was ultra impressive at Moonee Valley when sitting on the speed and powering away. Can he do a repeat of that? Season Of Fortune has the class, but the weight and the barrier is a worry. Agitato is a nice three-year-old resuming for Mick Kent. Might need this run but the fact the trainer has sent him to the city first up suggests this one can win first up.
Leg 6 – I am going to be brave here and stand out Sky Rubi. She was luckless on debut at Geelong after settling last and being forced to peel out five and six deep. She then went to Swan Hill for the carnival and after being held in the early part of the straight, she burst through a gap and exploded away for a dominant win. Only has to carry 51kg, Malouf knows the filly well and she looks to have plenty of upside.
Leg 1: 1, 3
Leg 2: 2, 3, 5
Leg 3: 3, 6
Leg 4: 2, 5, 6, 7, 9
Leg 5: 2, 3, 10
Leg 6: 12
A $20 investment = 11.11% of the dividend if successful.
Written by Adam Page
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