Morphettville will host one of its feature meetings of the year on Saturday where it is The Goodwood day. The eight race card provides some competitive betting races which will provide punters with plenty of value.
Race One (13:00): Quayclean National Stakes 1200m:
Back Me: 4 I Am A Star (Bet Now: $3.40) was ultra impressive in winning last start and looks a horse that will go on with it and improve. This looks a similar quality field so there is no reason why we won’t be seeing her win again.
Big Danger: 7 Phoenix Rising (Bet Now: $4.00) beat was very good on debut at Caulfield and should take a lot from that run. She beat home I Am A Star on that occasion although there is still a bit of an unknown about her due to his limited form.
Roughie: 6 Bangs (Bet Now: $10.00) couldn’t have been more impressive in winning last start by a big margin. She finds a quality field on Saturday though hence her price but if there is one to cause an upset to the Victorian raiders it could be her.
Race Two (13:35) : Mittys Port Adelaide Cup 2500m:
Back Me: Punters would have been counting their money when 4 Master Zyphyr (Bet Now: $3.20) hit the lead in the Warrnambool Cup but he didn’t finish off the race. He will take good fitness from the race and he comes into this race well weighted against the rest of the field. He will need a bit of luck from the barrier but has the class to beat this field.
Big Danger: 9 Adirondack (Bet Now: $6.00) i thought was unlucky not to have gone close in the Wagga Cup last start and that looks to be a similar quality field as he faces here. He is well weighted and will get a good run from the barrier so he should be right in the finish.
Roughie: 5 Tunes (Bet Now: $21.00) stuck on well to run second last start and he does have the class to win a race like this he just needs things to go in his favourite. Likely to take up the running again and with an easy run he could be hard to catch.
Race Three (14:15) : Ubet Sa Fillies Classic 2500m:
Back Me: 8 Teoflyte (Bet Now: $41.00) was disappointing running poorly last start where she started as the favourite. Happy to forgive that run and on prior form she can definitely win this race at the massive odds. She will need some luck from the barrier but drops weight on recent starts and looks a good bet at the big price.
Big Danger: 1 Believe (Bet Now: $3.80) put in a good run in the Australasian Oaks which is always a good form race in the SA Fillies Classic. She has plenty of upside although the barrier is a bit of a concern and she will need some luck to be in the finish but if she gets it she is the horse to beat.
Roughie: 13 Concubine (Bet Now: $15.00) comes out of the Chairman’s Stakes which the form has been franked with Howard Be Thy Name coming out and winning the G1 SA Derby. She has drawn wide but will get back in the race anyways and she looks a type with plenty of improvement in her.
Race Four (14:55) : Centaurea Stakes 2015m:
Back Me: 6 Gabella (Bet Now: $5.00) is yet to win a race but she has shown she has plenty of ability. She has been crying out for more distance which she showed she relishes last start at Sandown. She will be fitter for the run and she gets in well in the weights. The stable has a very good record at Morphettville so their runners should always be kept safe. Im expecting a big run from her and there is no reason why she can’t break her maiden status in the race.
Big Danger: 1 Into The Mist (Bet Now: $6.00) scored a good win last start in the G2 Queen Of The South Stakes and this looks no harder. She will carry the big weight but she has been flying of late and nothing suggests that will change on Saturday.
Roughie: 7 Inishowen (Bet Now: $8.50) won a decent quality race at Flemington last start and she has found a a very winnable black type race on Saturday. She is a very honest galloper and she has been good this preparation and will be in the finish.
Race Five (15:35) : R & F Gerard R A Lee Stakes 1600m:
Back Me: 2 Alpine Eagle (Bet Now: $2.90) was disappointing last preparation where he was touted has a genuine G1 contender in the Spring but an injury put pay to that. He returns in what looks to be a very winnable race for him even though he probably needs a run or two to find his best. He looks to be by far the best miler in the race and he will be hard to beat.
Big Danger: 5 Atlantis Dream (Bet Now: $4.80) was very good when hitting the line hard to finish a close second in the G2 Queen Of The South Stakes. She gets a weight allowance here and has drawn to get a perfect run. She will need an ounce of luck from the barrier but when mares are in form its worth following them.
Roughie: 3 Tall Ship (Bet Now: $14.00) will be looking for further although he has shown he can win races around the mile distance. I have a feeling Weir will have him a bit further forward on Saturday and i think he could run a cheeky race at the odds.
Race Six (16:15) : Ubet Proud Miss Stakes 1200m:
Back Me: 9 Private Secretary (Bet Now: $7.50) i thought ran a massive race in the G1 Robert Sangster Stakes last start getting way back in the field and hitting the line hard. She finds the weights better here and the barrier isn’t an issue as she will get back anyways. She is a quality runner and this is a very winnable race for her.
Big Danger: 1 I Love It (Bet Now: $4.40) is such an honest mare who always puts in. She has to carry the top weight in the race but her third placed finish in the G1 Sangster Stakes suggests she is more than capable of winning this.
Roughie: 15 Rationality (Bet Now: $31.00) comes in under the radar here and is likely to start at big odds. She has a very good winning record and has drawn to get a sit behind the leaders on the rail. If things go her way she has the ability to cause an upset.
Race Seven (16:50) : Darley Goodwood 1200m:
Back Me: 3 Black Heart Bart (Bet Now: $3.70) was super impressive in the G1 All Aged Stakes which looks by far the best form heading into this race after that form was franked with Malaguerra winning the BTC Cup. He has drawn an ideal barrier and at handicap conditions he gets into the weights very well. Weir has been winning everything of late and he looks like he will add The Goodwood to his list of accomplishments.
Big Danger: 19 Shiedel (Bet Now: $13.00) was a top line horse in WA and nothing has changed since she came to the East. She was very good in the G1 Sangster Stakes last start and she gets in the weights better on Saturday. She will need a bit of luck from the barrier but she loves the distance and shows she handles the track so there is nothing to say she can’t win.
Roughie: 20 Sooboog (Bet Now: $15.00) had a massive boom on him but continued to disappoint his backers. Since moving stables to Weir he has shown a glimpse of his early talent and i think he can improve enough to win this with the light weight and plenty of good judges agree.
Race Eight (17:25) : Stamford Hotels (bm75) 1200m:
Back Me: 5 Tipperary Lil (Bet Now: $10.00) is a lightly raced mare who has a very good strike rate so i am surprised at the odds she has opened at. She has drawn poorly which is a concern but she has shown she is versatile in where she sits throughout the run. With a bit of luck she will go close at a good price.
Big Danger: 11 Manhattan Blues (Bet Now: $18.00) had excuses last start so im happy to forgive that run and the start before that was a hot form race. This looks an easier task and the stable wouldn’t be running him if he didn’t have a chance in the race.
Roughie: 13 Shacarde (Bet Now: $15.00) is a very honest mare who is never far away in her races. She drops in weight from her run at Warrnambool and from the barrier she will be able to cross to the rail and dictate the race. There doesn’t look to be a lot of speed in the race so if they go slow she is right in this.
BEST BET: Race Six Number 9 Private Secretary
NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 3 Black Heart Bart
VALUE: Race Three Number 8 Teoflyte
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 2, 5
Leg Two: 1, 2, 9, 15
Leg Three: 1, 2, 3, 11, 19, 20
Leg Four: 5, 8, 9, 11, 13
$50 Investment= 20% of the dividend if successful
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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