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Racing in Sydney heads to Rosehill on Saturday with a nine race card, and while there are no feature races, the depth is strong. The weather is fine, the track is good (3) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.

 

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Race One (12:45) : Kiwi Handicap (81) 2400m:

Back Me: Hard to tip against Quick Strike (Best Odds: $6.00) here. He appreciated a strong tempo to win impressively last start over 1900m at Canterbury and won with real authority. Last time he was at this sort of distance he was making ground in the Queensland Derby. Class factor and he will take a power of beating.
Big Danger: Jiayuguan (Best Odds: $3.20) looked in bother on Cup Day at Randwick but he just savaged the line when clear and balanced up to grab Danjeu in the last couple of strides. He has failed badly previously at Saturday level, but he finds a suitable race now.
Roughie: Hudson County (Best Odds: $4.40) is just loving his racing at the moment under Joe Cleary, winning his hometown cup at Queanbeyan before going to Warwick Farm and scoring a dominant on speed win. Hardest test to date, but why not have a throw at the stumps while he is in this sort of form.

 

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Race Two (13:20) : Jimmy “The Pumper” Cassidy Golden Gift 1100m:

Back Me: Yankee Rose (Best Odds: $4.60) was a very impressive debut winner over this track/distance on October 31, showing a nice turn of foot along the rail and hitting the line with purpose despite being very green in the run. Stable has a high opinion of her, so I want to see her do it again here for her to be considered a serious horse IMO.
Roughie: Jericho (Best Odds: $3.30) is a first starter for Team Snowden who has won both of his barrier trials, the latest being on November 10 at Rosehill. Should be noted that the time was much slower than the time Palomino ran the same morning. Nonetheless, he looks a handy type, so watch market moves.
Roughie: Julius Caesar (Best Odds: $4.60) is a stablemate of Jericho who probably lacks the brilliance and natural early ability of him, but he is very good. Plenty to like about his recent trial win and he is very well bred, so keep tabs on market moves.

 

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Race Three (13:55) : Might And Power Handicap (72) 1400m:

Back Me: Feast For Eyes (Best Odds: $4.40) was given a lovely front running ride by Sam Clipperton last time out at Canterbury where he looked home as soon as he straightened up, but he paddled the last few strides and barely held on for third. Should get the run of the race from gate one and McDonald is on, which is a positive for sure.
Big Danger: Un De Sceaux (Best Odds: $26.00) is a very interesting runner engaged here. The margin was only narrow last time out at Cranbourne when he won his maiden, but the win was dominant and he travelled so sweetly in the run. This isn’t the strongest 3YO race going around and the stable won’t be here for a sight seeing adventure.
Roughie: Axion (Best Odds: $18.00) was wide all the way last start at Goulburn but he came with a well timed run to score an impressive win under the circumstances. Danny Williams doesn’t send them to town for a holiday. Watch market moves.

 

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Race Four (14:30) : TAB Ros Cribb OBE Tribue Highway Handicap (Class 3) 1100m:

Back Me: Noble Joey (Best Odds: $4.20) took an unbeaten career into one of these highway races at Randwick where he led and looked home, but was nabbed right on the peg by Bulls ‘N’ Bears. Scott Pollard is on and he rode the horse to its two career victories last time in, so that’s a big positive for mine.
Big Danger: Bitburg (Best Odds: $3.80) is another galloper with an impressive record. He is unbeaten in three runs, with two of them on his home track at Canberra. Resumes here, but no doubt he will be wound up to win fresh and regular rider Jay Ford is on. Bitburg
Roughie: Captain Shazam (Best Odds: $51.00) has been given a two month break since failing with a big weight at Armidale. Form prior was very good, and he won’t know himself with this weight on his back, plus a senior rider is on board. He represents the value.

 

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Race Five (15:05) : Ascend Sales Trophies Handicap (78) 1900m:

Back Me: Song And Laughter (Best Odds: $8.00) was given every chance on speed last time out over this distance at Canterbury but was no match for a Group l performer when second to Quick Strike. He is a swimmer, so if the track remains to have give in it, he will be a leading contender.
Big Danger: Sebrina (Best Odds: $4.40) wasn’t suited by the slow tempo last time out at Canterbury yet she stuck on quite well when second to Nevagotavote. That was 1550m and now she is up to 1900m, which just suits her perfectly. She has upside and should take some beating.
Roughie: Really interested to see how Award Season (Best Odds: $34.00) returns. He hasn’t raced since March 2013 when winning at Warwick Farm. Couple of tendons since then, but the stable has persevered with him and his two trials leading in haven’t been too bad. Watch market moves with this horse, especially if the track firms up.

 

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Race Six (15:45) : Schweppes Farewells Jimmy Cassidy Handicap (90) 1400m:

Back Me: Medcaut (Best Odds: $5.00) is the interesting runner here. Godolphin galloper who hasn’t raced since finishing down the track in the Scone Cup (1600m) behind Tales Of Grimm. Two recent trials leading in have been fantastic and he is two from four first up with another placing. Looks very well placed here by the stable and I am expecting him to go close here.
Big Danger: Better Not Blue (Best Odds: $9.00) is a talented galloper for Michelle Ritchie who was given a peach from Jess Taylor to win last start at Canterbury, nailing Sanzio right on the peg. He is a Stakes performer from previous preparations, so the rise back in class is no issue and he loves a rain affected track.
Roughie: High Esteem (Best Odds: $11.00) ran in a four horse race at Canterbury and was the despised outsider, but he ran well I thought when running third to in form mare Slots, beaten just over two lengths. He is a horse who normally needs a couple of runs to find his best, but there was plenty of merit in that effort last time out, and he should improve here.

 

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Race Seven (16:20) : Thoroughbred Breeders NSW Handicap (78) 1400m:

Back Me: I’m going to get sucked in by All Cerise (Best Odds: $13.00) again. Her last run was a month back at Randwick where she attempted to lead all the way and I think that’s not the way to ride her yet she stuck on okay behind stablemate Rockalicious. Blinkers go back on and if the track firms up, then that will really enhance her winning chances.
Big Danger: Festivity (Best Odds: $4.40) has been excellent in two runs back from a break, both at Canterbury, with the latest being a fighting second to impressive Rule The River. Had she drawn a decent gate, I’d declare her. That’s the negative, but she ticks the rest of the boxes.
Roughie: All Salsa (Best Odds: $26.00) ran over 1250m at Canterbury against the boys last start and worked to the line with purpose when fourth to Better Not Blue, who I think is a serious chance in the race above. Up to 1400m is the query, but like All Cerise, she will be a better prospect if the track is drying out.

 

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Race Eight (17:00) : Chris Waller Racing Farewells Jimmy Cassidy Handicap (78) 1100m:

Back Me: Going with Sports Edition (Best Odds: $4.40). He hasn’t raced in nearly 18 months but in his two runs during the Winter of 2014, he showed well above average ability, running second to Group l winner Almalad on debut. Two trials leading in have been fantastic and stable is having a very good run at the moment.
Big Danger: Lord Leofric (Best Odds: $6.50) was one of the finds of the Winter, stringing together three on the bounce before going to the Missile Stakes (1200m) and was far from disgraced behind Burbero. Spelled soon after and his trials leading in have been very good. Two from three first up and handles all conditions.
Roughie: Huka Eagle (Best Odds: $11.00) is the most interesting runner of the program. Former kiwi with Tony Pike but is now under the care of Allan Denham. He was touted as a Stradbroke horse in the Winter but wet tracks and bad barriers plagued his preparation. Bolted up in a Cessnock trial last week and the time was very slick. Go back four runs and he was Group l placed, with the second horse being Sardaaj, who has run very well in Melbourne during the Spring.

 

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Race Nine (17:40) : ATC Farewells Jimmy Cassidy Handicap (78) 1500m:

Back Me: Siegfried (Best Odds: $14.00) comes to Sydney after running over 1400m on Cup Day at Flemington and sticking to the task gamely behind in form galloper Malaguerra, who won again a few days later to frank the form. Give in the track suits him and this is a big drop in class.
Big Danger: Tan Tat Diamond (Best Odds: $12.00) brokethrough for a well deserved win last time out on Cup Day at Randwick, aided by a lovely ride from gun Melbourne apprentice Jordan Childs. The key to this horse is a wet track and that is what he gets here. Hard to beat.
Roughie: Mary Lou (Best Odds: $17.00) resumed at Randwick a month back and worked to the line pretty well late behind Rockalicious. Form out of that race has held up with Danish Twist, the runner up, running a beauty last weekend. This mare runs well second up and strikes a winnable race.

 

 

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BEST BET: Race Six Number 4 Medcaut

NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 13 Noble Joey

VALUE: Race Nine Number 14 Mary Lou

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 4, 5, 7

Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8

Leg Three: 1, 3, 6, 10, 11, 12, 13

Leg Four: 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 12, 14, 19

$50 Investment= 3.30% of the dividend if successful.

 

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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